Heerenveen vs Ajax
Match recap
Heerenveen and Ajax drew 0–0 in their Eredivisie fixture. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 1.61 for Heerenveen versus 1.84 for Ajax. Heerenveen sit 8th in the Eredivisie table while Ajax are 5th.
Analysis
The Eredivisie regular season finale sees Heerenveen hosting Ajax in what promises to be a lively encounter. Both teams have shown attacking prowess this season, setting the stage for an entertaining match.
Heerenveen sit 8th with 50 points, while Ajax are 5th with 55 points. Historically, Ajax dominate head-to-heads but recent matches have been competitive. Both teams have full squads available, ensuring a fair contest.
Statistically, the match leans towards a draw with a predicted 2-2 scoreline. Heerenveen's Lasse Selvåg Nordås and Ajax's Mika Godts are key attacking threats, supported by creative midfielders like Joris van Overeem. Both sides have scored consistently at home and away, suggesting goals at both ends.
Prediction
Our forecast is a 2-2 draw, with a halftime score of 1-1. The match is expected to be competitive and open, with four total cards likely as discipline remains stable. Confidence in this prediction stands at 36%.
Outcome probability
Key Insights
Heerenveen's Midfield Creativity vs Ajax Defense
Van Overeem and Trenskow's high assist rates could exploit Ajax's defensive gaps.
Ajax's Consistent Scoring Form
Ajax has scored in last 5 away games, indicating strong attacking momentum.
Heerenveen's Home Scoring Streak
Heerenveen scored in all last 5 home matches, boosting confidence for goals.
Balanced Recent Encounters
Previous matches between teams often ended in draws or close scorelines, supporting predicted draw.
No Significant Injuries Reported
Both teams have full squads available, no impact from missing key players.
Key Takeaways
In summary, expect a balanced and entertaining match with goals aplenty. Both teams have the firepower and form to find the net, making a draw the most probable outcome.
- Heerenveen are 8th with 50 points from 33 games (14W, 8D, 11L).
- Ajax are 5th with 55 points from 33 games (14W, 13D, 6L).
- Ajax have a superior goal difference (+17) compared to Heerenveen.
- In 20 head-to-head meetings, Ajax have won 17, Heerenveen 1, with 2 draws.
- Head-to-head matches average 4.3 goals per game.
- Heerenveen have scored in all last 5 home matches.
- Ajax have scored in their last 5 away games.
- No significant injuries reported for either team.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Heerenveen
Away — Ajax
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Mokio
Yellow Card
Rosa
Yellow Card
Klaassen
Berghuis
Regeer
Yellow Card
Zagaritis
Steur
Vente
Meerveld
Oyen
Godts
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  PSV Eindhoven | 34 | 27 | 3 | 4 | +56 | 84 |
| 4 |  Twente | 34 | 15 | 13 | 6 | +19 | 58 |
| 5 |  Ajax | 34 | 14 | 14 | 6 | +21 | 56 |
| 6 |  Utrecht | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | +13 | 53 |
| 7 |  AZ Alkmaar | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | +7 | 52 |
| 8 |  Heerenveen | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | +4 | 51 |
| 9 |  Groningen | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | +4 | 48 |
Match Statistics
Heerenveen
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 3Maas WillemsenD
- 4Sam KerstenD
- 6Joris van OvereemM
- 9Dylan VenteF
- 10Ringo MeerveldM
- 11Luca OyenM
- 16Marcus LindayM
- 19Vasilios ZagaritisD
- 20Jacob Bennedsen TrenskowM
- 22Bernt KlaverboerG
- 45Oliver Johansen BraudeD
Substitutes
- 8Luuk BrouwersM
- 15Mats EgbringD
- 17Nikolai Søyset HoplandD
- 18Lasse Selvåg NordåsF
- 28Hristiyan Ivaylov PetrovD
- 31Nordin BakkerG
- 35Isaiah AhmedM
- 36Nolhan Allan Courtens MabeneyshiM
- 38I. MulderD
- 44Andries NoppertG
- 50Eser GürbüzF
Ajax
4-3-3Starting XI
- 2Lucas RosaD
- 3Anton GaaeiD
- 4Ko ItakuraD
- 11Mika Marcel GodtsF
- 15Youri BaasD
- 18Davy KlaassenM
- 23Steven BerghuisF
- 24Jorthy MokioM
- 25Wout WeghorstF
- 26Maarten Vincent PaesG
- 48Sean SteurM
Substitutes
- 6Youri Pieter RegeerM
- 7Maher Mauricio CarrizoF
- 9Kasper Dolberg RasmussenF
- 10Oscar GloukhM
- 19Don-Angelo Christoffel Annum-Assamoah KonaduF
- 30Aaron BouwmanD
- 32Takehiro TomiyasuD
- 43Rayane BounidaF
- 45Ryan van de PavertD
- 52Paul Peters ReversonG
Heerenveen
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bernt Klaverboer | G | 90 | 9.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Joris van Overeem(C) | M | 90 | 8.9 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Sam Kersten | D | 90 | 8.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Oliver Braude | D | 90 | 7.7 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/1 |
| Marcus Linday | M | 90 | 7.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Vasilios Zagaritis | D | 75 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2/2 |
| Maas Willemsen | D | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dylan Vente | F | 84 | 6.9 | — | — | 3 | 2 | 2 | — |
| Luca Oyen | M | 84 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1/4 |
| Jacob Trenskow | M | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2/5 |
| Ringo Meerveld | M | 84 | 6.2 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2/4 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Ingmar Mulder | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Andries Noppert | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nordin Bakker | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nikolai Soyset Hopland | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nolhan Courtens | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mats Egbring | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Isaiah Ahmed | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Hristiyan Petrov | D | 15 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Luuk Brouwers | M | 13 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lasse Selvåg Nordås | F | 13 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Eser Gürbüz | F | 13 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/4 |
Ajax
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ko Itakura | D | 90 | 8.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Steven Berghuis | F | 69 | 8.0 | — | — | 2 | — | 4 | 1/1 |
| Sean Steur | M | 79 | 7.9 | — | — | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0/1 |
| Davy Klaassen(C) | M | 69 | 7.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Maarten Paes | G | 90 | 7.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Youri Baas | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Jorthy Mokio | M | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| Anton Gaaei | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | 3 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| Lucas Rosa | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/2 |
| Mika Godts | F | 85 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 4 | 2/9 |
| Wout Weghorst | F | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | 3 | — | 7 | 1/3 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Takehiro Tomiyasu | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Oscar Gloukh | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Paul Reverson | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Aaron Bouwman | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Don-Angelo Konadu | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ryan van de Pavert | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rayane Bounida | F | 21 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Youri Regeer | M | 21 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Maher Carrizo | F | 12 | 6.6 | — | — | 2 | 2 | — | 0/1 |
| Kasper Dolberg | F | 11 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |