Heart Of Midlothian vs Sturm Graz
- First leg:
- Sturm Graz 4 0 Heart Of Midlothian
- Aggregate:
- Heart Of Midlothian 0 6 Sturm Graz
- Advances:
- Sturm Graz
Match recap
Sturm Graz beat Heart Of Midlothian 2–0 in their UEFA Champions League fixture. Seidl and Soglo scored for Sturm Graz. Heart Of Midlothian held 64% possession to 36% for Sturm Graz.
Fipster’s pre-match call
Predicted
1-0 Heart Of Midlothian win
Actual
0–2
Outcome probability
The 2nd Qualifying Round fixture between Heart Of Midlothian and Sturm Graz promises a closely fought encounter. Both sides have shown contrasting fortunes in this competition so far, setting the stage for a tactical battle.
Match factors
Sturm Graz's defenders contribute significantly to scoring
Multiple defenders including Jürgen Heil and Jeyland Mitchell have scored this season, adding offensive threat
Jon Gorenc Stankovič's dual threat as scorer and assister
He has 1 goal and 1 assist in 4 games, showing strong midfield impact
Heart Of Midlothian's defensive leaders key to limiting Sturm Graz
Captains Kingsley and Milne provide defensive stability despite recent conceding streak
Sturm Graz's recent scoring form stronger than Heart Of Midlothian
Sturm Graz averages 1.5 goals per game vs Hearts' 0, indicating offensive momentum
No confirmed injuries for either team, full squads expected
Both teams have no confirmed outs, so tactical plans likely unchanged
The context
Heart Of Midlothian have struggled in this competition with two losses and no goals scored, while Sturm Graz have a mixed record of two wins and two losses, netting six goals. Previous head-to-head meetings favour Sturm Graz with two wins from two, but form can be a fickle friend in qualifiers.
Key insights
Jürgen Heil
Sturm Graz
Sturm Graz's defenders add an offensive threat, with Heil scoring 1 goal this season.
UEFA Champions League 26/271 goal in 4 appearances, 302 mins avg 75.5 per game
Jon Gorenc Stankovič
Sturm Graz
Stankovič is a dual threat with 1 goal and 1 assist in 4 games, showing strong midfield impact.
UEFA Champions League 26/271 goal and 1 assist in 4 appearances, 331 mins avg 82.75 per game
- S
Stephen Kingsley
Heart Of Midlothian
Kingsley provides defensive leadership crucial to Hearts' organisation despite recent conceding.
UEFA Champions League 26/27Consistent starter with solid defensive stats
Simon Seidl
Sturm Graz
Seidl scored in this fixture, highlighting his attacking threat for Sturm Graz.
UEFA Champions League 26/271 goal in 4 appearances, 292 mins avg 73 per game
Analysis
Sturm Graz boast several players contributing offensively, including midfielder Simon Seidl who scored in this fixture. Their defenders also chip in with goals, adding an extra dimension to their attack. However, Hearts' defensive leaders, captains Stephen Kingsley and Harry Milne, are key to keeping the Austrian side at bay. Despite Hearts' recent defensive woes, their organisation and leadership could be the difference in a tight match.
Key facts
- 1.Heart Of Midlothian have played 2 matches in this competition (W0 D0 L2, GF 0 / GA 6).
- 2.Sturm Graz have played 4 matches in this competition (W2 D0 L2, GF 6 / GA 3).
- 3.In 2 head-to-head meetings, Heart Of Midlothian have won 0, Sturm Graz have won 2, with 0 draws.
- 4.Simon Seidl scored 1 goal in this fixture for Sturm Graz.
- 5.Heart Of Midlothian captains Stephen Kingsley and Harry Milne are key defensive figures.
- 6.Sturm Graz defenders contribute offensively, with players like Jürgen Heil scoring this season.
- 7.Jon Gorenc Stankovič has 1 goal and 1 assist in 4 games, showing midfield impact.
- 8.No confirmed injuries for either team, full squads expected.
Prediction
The forecast is a narrow 1-0 win for Heart Of Midlothian, with the predicted halftime score also 1-0. This scoreline aligns with the highest probability among home win outcomes. While Sturm Graz have shown scoring prowess, Hearts are expected to edge this one with a disciplined defensive display and a crucial goal.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Heart Of Midlothian
No standout top scorers flagged for Heart Of Midlothian
Away — Sturm Graz
The verdict
In what should be a tactical and tense qualifier, Heart Of Midlothian are tipped to claim a slender victory. Sturm Graz will pose threats, but the home side's defensive resilience and timely scoring could see them through to the next round.
Prediction generated 13 Oct 2026, 10:12 UTC · Fipster Model v1.163
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Goal Disallowed - Foul
Kingsley
Weinhandl
Vallci
Yellow Card
Seidl
Assist: Gorenc Stankovič
Soglo
Miller
Guendouz
Spittal
Włodarczyk
Soglo
Jacob Peter Hödl
Kyziridis
Gorenc Stankovič
Match Statistics
Heart Of Midlothian
4-3-3Starting XI
- 1A. SchwolowG
- 3S. KingsleyD
- 6O. McEnteeM
- 7C. MillerF
- 10Cláudio BragaF
- 16B. SpittalM
- 18H. MilneD
- 19S. GuendouzM
- 23J. AltenaD
- 64M. Fagan-WalcottD
- 89A. KyziridisF
Substitutes
- 5J. McCartD
- 11P. KaboreF
- 12T. RenaudM
- 17S. FindlayD
- 21J. WilsonF
- 22T. MagnússonM
- 28Z. ClarkG
- 29S. KerjotaF
- 30R. FultonG
- 77A. Ba-SyF
Sturm Graz
4-4-2Starting XI
- 2J. MitchellD
- 4J. Gorenc StankovičM
- 5A. VallciD
- 17S. WłodarczykF
- 18E. SogloD
- 19S. SeidlM
- 20S. JattaF
- 28J. HeilD
- 39Luca WeinhandlM
- 43Jacob Peter HödlM
- 53D. KhudyakovG
Substitutes
- 10O. KiteishviliM
- 11A. KayomboF
- 15G. MamageishviliM
- 21P. PetrovićD
- 22A. HelacG
- 23A. MalicD
- 26B. BeganovićF
- 30P. KollerD
- 41E. LorenzG
- 44N. WeiperF
- 80R. FossoM
Heart Of Midlothian
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Schwolow | G | 94 | 9.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Calvin Miller | F | 69 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Blair Spittal | M | 69 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | — | 3 | — |
| Stephen Kingsley(C) | D | 47 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Oisin McEntee | M | 94 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0/2 |
| Jordi Altena | D | 94 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 2/4 |
| Harry Milne | D | 94 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/2 |
| Cláudio Braga | F | 94 | 6.6 | — | — | 4 | 1 | — | 0/2 |
| Alexandros Kyziridis | F | 80 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0/1 |
| Malachi Fagan-Walcott | D | 94 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Severin Sabri Guendouz | M | 69 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| James Wilson | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sabah Kerjota | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tomas Magnusson | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Zander Clark | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ryan Fulton | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tom Renaud | M | 25 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pierre Landry Kaboré | F | 25 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 2/3 |
| Jamie McCart | D | 14 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Stuart Findlay | D | 47 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Amadou Ba-Sy | F | 25 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1/2 |
Sturm Graz
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Simon Seidl | M | 94 | 8.3 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1/2 |
| Emran Soglo | D | 76 | 7.9 | 1 | — | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1/1 |
| Daniil Khudyakov | G | 94 | 7.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jon Gorenc Stanković(C) | M | 81 | 7.9 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0/2 |
| Szymon Włodarczyk | F | 72 | 7.9 | — | — | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1/1 |
| Albert Vallci | D | 94 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jeyland Mitchell | D | 94 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Luca Weinhandl | M | 45 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Jacob Hödl | M | 77 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5/8 |
| Jurgen Heil | D | 94 | 6.6 | — | — | 2 | — | — | 1/2 |
| Seedy Jatta | F | 94 | 5.9 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Axel Kayombo | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Elias Lorenz | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nelson Weiper | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Paul Koller | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Otar Kiteishvili | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ammar Helac | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Petar Petrović | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Arjan Malić | D | 18 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ryan Fosso | M | 49 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gizo Mamageishvili | M | 17 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Belmin Beganović | F | 22 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/2 |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Heart Of Midlothian vs Sturm Graz?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Heart Of Midlothian to win against Sturm Graz.
- What score did Fipster predict for Heart Of Midlothian vs Sturm Graz?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Heart Of Midlothian 1–0 Sturm Graz.
- What were the win probabilities for Heart Of Midlothian vs Sturm Graz?
- Fipster's model gave Heart Of Midlothian a 35% chance of winning, Sturm Graz a 32% chance, and a 33% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 35% confidence — a low-confidence call.