Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Ludogorets
- Aggregate:
- Ludogorets 2 4 Hapoel Tel Aviv
- Advances:
- Hapoel Tel Aviv
Match recap
Hapoel Tel Aviv beat Ludogorets 2–0 in their UEFA Europa Conference League fixture.
Fipster’s pre-match call
Predicted
1-0 Hapoel Tel Aviv win
Actual
2–0
Outcome probability
This clash between Hapoel Tel Aviv and Ludogorets promises a closely fought encounter, with both sides eager to progress in the 2nd Qualifying Round. Expect a tactical battle where defensive discipline will be key.
Match factors
Hapoel Tel Aviv's defensive solidity at home
Hapoel's defense concedes only 0.33 goals per home game, well below league average, giving them an edge against Ludogorets' attack
Hapoel Tel Aviv's recent scoring consistency
Hapoel scored in 3 of last 5 matches, including 2 goals vs Ludogorets recently, supporting their predicted narrow win
Ludogorets' defensive struggles away
Ludogorets concede 2 goals per away game on average, indicating vulnerability to Hapoel's attack
Recent Hapoel wins over Ludogorets
Hapoel won 2-0 at home and 2-0 in previous fixture vs Ludogorets, showing psychological and tactical advantage
The context
Hapoel Tel Aviv have a balanced recent record in this competition with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, scoring 7 and conceding 5 goals. Ludogorets, on the other hand, have yet to taste victory here, with 1 draw and 1 loss, scoring 2 and conceding 4. Their previous head-to-head meeting saw Hapoel Tel Aviv triumph 2-0, adding a psychological edge.
Key insights
- C
Chico
Hapoel Tel Aviv
Chico's strong defensive performances and high passing volume make him crucial for maintaining a clean sheet.
UEFA Europa Conference League 26/2761 passes and a 6.9 rating in last home game
- O
O. Altman
Hapoel Tel Aviv
Altman's creativity and recent goal contributions provide the spark needed to break down Ludogorets' defence.
UEFA Europa Conference League 26/2727 passes and a 7.2 rating in last home game
Analysis
Hapoel Tel Aviv's defensive solidity at home is notable, conceding just 0.33 goals per game, which bodes well against Ludogorets' leaky away defence that concedes an average of 2 goals per match. Key defenders like Chico and captain F. Mayembo provide a sturdy backline, while midfield maestro O. Altman offers creativity. Ludogorets will need to tighten up if they hope to break through, but recent form suggests Hapoel's narrow win is the likeliest outcome.
Key facts
- 1.Hapoel Tel Aviv have a 2-2-2 record in this competition, scoring 7 and conceding 5 goals.
- 2.Ludogorets have no wins in this competition, with 1 draw and 1 loss, scoring 2 and conceding 4.
- 3.Hapoel Tel Aviv won the only previous head-to-head meeting 2-0.
- 4.Hapoel concede just 0.33 goals per home game, below league average.
- 5.Ludogorets concede 2 goals per away game on average, indicating defensive vulnerability.
- 6.The most probable home win scoreline is 1-0, with a 50% chance of a home win overall.
- 7.Key defender Chico averaged 61 passes and a 6.9 rating in recent home matches.
- 8.Midfielder O. Altman contributed goals and assists recently, with a 7.2 rating in the last home game.
Prediction
The prediction favours a home win for Hapoel Tel Aviv by a slender 1-0 margin. The most probable scoreline within home victories is 1-0, reflecting a tight contest where defensive organisation will be decisive. Expect a disciplined performance from the hosts to secure progression.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Hapoel Tel Aviv
Away — Ludogorets
No standout best passers flagged for Ludogorets
The verdict
In summary, Hapoel Tel Aviv's home defensive strength and recent success against Ludogorets set the stage for a narrow but deserved victory. While Ludogorets will pose challenges, the home side's tactical edge should see them through this qualifying round.
Prediction generated 13 Oct 2026, 10:26 UTC · Fipster Model v1.163
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Yellow Card
Goal
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Yellow Card
Yellow Card
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Yellow Card
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Goal
Hapoel Tel Aviv
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 4ChicoD
- 5F. MayemboD
- 6A. KraevM
- 9E. BoatengF
- 10Xande SilvaF
- 11S. TorialM
- 16D. LeidnerD
- 22A. Tzur
- 51O. AltmanF
- 97M. CocoD
- 98FalcãoM
Substitutes
- 8Y. FerberM
- 13Shon Ben NesherG
- 14E. KancepolskyM
- 15R. Alkoukin
- 17Itay ShavitM
- 18T. ArchelD
- 20O. IsraelovD
- 21S. PivenD
- 23A. LemkinM
- 27M. BuskilaF
- 33Y. BazdogG
- 44D. DappaF
Ludogorets
4-1-4-1Starting XI
- 3A. NedyalkovD
- 7A. Salido TajeroF
- 12Rwan CruzF
- 14P. StanićM
- 15E. KurtulusD
- 17SonD
- 20A. CamaraM
- 26F. KaločM
- 27Vinícius NogueiraD
- 29E. BilleF
- 39H. BonmannG
Substitutes
- 1S. PadtG
- 2J. AnderssonD
- 9K. DuahF
- 18I. ChochevM
- 24O. VerdonD
- 25E. RodríguezM
- 37B. TekpeteyM
- 40A. MarinovM
- 42S. ShishkovD
- 55I. NachmiasD
- 67A. PanayotovG
- 99S. IvanovM
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Ludogorets?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Hapoel Tel Aviv to win against Ludogorets.
- What score did Fipster predict for Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Ludogorets?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Hapoel Tel Aviv 1–0 Ludogorets.
- What were the win probabilities for Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Ludogorets?
- Fipster's model gave Hapoel Tel Aviv a 54% chance of winning, Ludogorets a 23% chance, and a 23% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 54% confidence — a medium-confidence call.