Hamburger SV vs SC Freiburg
Match recap
Hamburger SV beat SC Freiburg 3–2 in their Bundesliga fixture. Jatta, Vušković, and Fabio Amadu Uri Baldé scored for Hamburger SV; Matanović and Matanović replied for SC Freiburg. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 1.98 for Hamburger SV versus 0.41 for SC Freiburg. Hamburger SV sit 13th in the Bundesliga table while SC Freiburg are 7th.
Analysis
As Hamburger SV host SC Freiburg, fans can anticipate a competitive match where both teams are evenly matched, leading to a likely stalemate.
Historically, SC Freiburg have the upper hand with 9 wins to Hamburger SV's 4 in 19 meetings, but recent form and home advantage could level the playing field.
Hamburger SV's creative midfield duo, Albert Grønbæk and Nicolai Remberg, pose a significant threat to Freiburg's defence. Meanwhile, SC Freiburg's Igor Matanović remains a key scoring threat. Both teams have shown resilience, suggesting a tight scoreline.
Prediction
The forecast is a 1-1 draw, reflecting the balanced nature of the contest. Both sides are expected to find the net once, with a total of four cards likely to keep the referee busy.
Outcome probability
Key Insights
Hamburger SV's midfield creativity vs Freiburg's defense
Grønbæk and Remberg's high key passes challenge Freiburg's defensive line, creating scoring chances.
Königsdörffer's home scoring form
He has a strong home goal rate, increasing likelihood to score in this fixture.
Vušković's recent standout performances
Vušković's high ratings and goal contributions indicate strong form impacting both defense and attack.
Matanović's scoring threat against Hamburger SV
Matanović has scored multiple goals in recent encounters, posing a key threat for Freiburg.
No significant injuries affecting starting lineups
Both teams have full squads available, so no major impact from absences.
Key Takeaways
With no major injuries and key players in form, this match promises a tactical battle ending in a fair draw, leaving fans eager for the next encounter.
- SC Freiburg lead head-to-head with 9 wins to Hamburger SV's 4 in 19 matches.
- The last meeting ended 3-2 in favour of Hamburger SV, showing competitive spirit.
- SC Freiburg have a superior goal difference (+5) compared to Hamburger SV (-14) this season.
- Igor Matanović scored twice in the recent fixture, highlighting his threat.
- Luka Vušković contributed a goal for Hamburger SV in the last match.
- Hamburger SV's Albert Grønbæk has 6 assists this season, showcasing his creativity.
- Total cards expected in the match are around 4, indicating a moderately physical game.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Hamburger SV
Away — SC Freiburg
No standout top scorers flagged for SC Freiburg
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Jatta
Assist: Grønbæk
Matanović
Assist: Kübler
Kübler
Yellow Card
Manzambi
Beste
Vušković
Vušković
Yellow Card
Emerson Stange
Jatta
Fabio Amadu Uri Baldé
Assist: Remberg
Ogbus
Kübler
Ginter
Sambi Lokonga
Capaldo
Yellow Card
Höler
Yellow Card
Matanović
Assist: Grifo
Fábio Vieira
Vušković
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bayern München | 34 | 28 | 5 | 1 | +86 | 89 |
| 6 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | +21 | 59 |
| 7 |  SC Freiburg | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | -6 | 47 |
| 8 |  Eintracht Frankfurt | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | -4 | 44 |
| 12 |  Borussia Mönchengladbach | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | -11 | 38 |
| 13 |  Hamburger SV | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | -14 | 38 |
| 14 |  1. FC Köln | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | -14 | 32 |
Match Statistics
Hamburger SV
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 1Daniel Heuer FernandesG
- 6Albert-Mboyo Sambi LokongaM
- 11Ransford-Yeboah KönigsdörfferF
- 17Warmed OmariD
- 18Bakery JattaM
- 20Fábio VieiraF
- 21Nicolai RembergM
- 23Albert Grønbæk ErlykkeM
- 24Nicolás Capaldo TaboasD
- 44Luka VuškovićD
- 49Otto Emerson StangeF
Substitutes
- 8Daniel ElfadliM
- 12Sander TangvikG
- 14Rayan PhilippeF
- 15Yussuf Yurary PoulsenF
- 25Jordan TorunarighaD
- 27Philip Porwei OteleF
- 37L. LemkeD
- 43Shafiq Bello NandjaD
- 45Fabio Amadu Uri BaldéF
SC Freiburg
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1Noah AtuboluG
- 8Maximilian EggesteinM
- 9Lucas HölerM
- 17Lukas KüblerD
- 19Jan-Niklas BesteM
- 28Matthias Lukas GinterD
- 29Philipp TreuD
- 31Igor MatanovićF
- 32Vincenzo GrifoM
- 43Bruno Ifechukwu OgbusD
- 44Johan ManzambiM
Substitutes
- 3Philipp LienhartD
- 5Anthony JungD
- 7Derry Lionel ScherhantF
- 21Florian Lorenz MüllerG
- 22Cyriaque Kalou IriéF
- 26Maximilian Marcus PhilippF
- 27Nicolas HöflerM
- 30Christian GünterD
- 33Jordy Makengo BasambunduD
Hamburger SV
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicolai Remberg | M | 90 | 7.9 | — | 1 | — | — | 4 | — |
| Albert Grønbæk | M | 90 | 7.9 | — | 1 | — | — | 4 | 1/2 |
| Luka Vušković | D | 89 | 7.9 | 1 | — | 2 | 2 | — | — |
| Fábio Vieira | F | 89 | 7.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 2/3 |
| Bakery Jatta | M | 65 | 7.2 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| Daniel Fernandes | G | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Warmed Omari | D | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nicolás Capaldo(C) | D | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 0/1 |
| Albert Sambi Lokonga | M | 80 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Ransford Yeboah Königsdörffer | F | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/1 |
| Otto Stange | F | 65 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/1 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Jordan Torunarigha | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Philip Otele | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sander Tangvik | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Daniel Elfadli | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Shafiq Nandja | D | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Louis Lemke | D | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fabio Baldé | F | 25 | 7.6 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Yussuf Poulsen | F | 10 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rayan Philippe | F | 25 | 6.0 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
SC Freiburg
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Igor Matanović | F | 90 | 8.3 | 2 | — | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1/2 |
| Johan Manzambi | M | 58 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Matthias Ginter | D | 71 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Lukas Kübler | D | 68 | 6.6 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Jan-Niklas Beste | M | 59 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Vincenzo Grifo(C) | M | 90 | 6.3 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Philipp Treu | D | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Maximilian Eggestein | M | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Lucas Höler | M | 90 | 6.0 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Noah Atubolu | G | 90 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Bruno Ogbus | D | 68 | 5.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Maximilian Philipp | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Florian Müller | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Christian Günter | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Cyriaque Irié | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Philipp Lienhart | D | 22 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Anthony Jung | D | 19 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Derry Scherhant | F | 22 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 3/5 |
| Jordy Makengo | D | 31 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Nicolas Höfler | M | 32 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |