Guimaraes vs Maritimo

Primeira LigaMatchweek 9
Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques, Guimarães · 30,165 cap
Fipster Pick
Home Winhigh

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As the regular season unfolds, Guimaraes and Maritimo face off in what promises to be a closely contested encounter. Both teams have had their struggles this season, but Guimaraes look poised to claim a narrow victory.

FıpsterPredicted Scoreline
Pre-Match
1–0
Half-time1–0
Guimaraes Win
HIGH
Confidence
Guimaraes 85%Draw 8%Maritimo 7%

The context

Guimaraes currently sit 15th in the league with 5 points from 7 games, while Maritimo are slightly better placed at 11th with 8 points from 8 games. Neither side has been prolific in front of goal, and both will be eager to improve their standings as the season progresses.

Match factors

Statistical Edgehigh

Maritimo's key players show better individual attacking stats

Maritimo has multiple players with goals and assists this season, while Guimaraes has no top scorers listed, indicating Maritimo's attacking players have more direct impact

Tactical Advantagehigh

Romain Correia's passing and offensive threat from defense

Correia leads Maritimo in passes per game with high accuracy and has scored a goal, providing both defensive stability and offensive support

Form Momentummedium

Maritimo's attacking players have recent goal involvement

Players like Martín Tejón and Maurice Osei Boakye have recent assists and goals, showing form that could influence the match

Injury Impacthigh

No confirmed injuries for either team

Both teams have no confirmed out players, so full squads available, making tactical and form factors more decisive

Analysis

Maritimo boast some attacking talent, with players like Adrián Butzke and Martín Tejón contributing goals and assists this season. Romain Correia stands out for his passing accuracy and offensive support from defence. However, Guimaraes' home advantage and tactical discipline could prove decisive. Both teams have players with disciplinary risks, such as Raphael Guzzo and Igor Julião, who will need to keep their cool to avoid costly bookings. The prediction leans towards a tight 1-0 win for Guimaraes, with the halftime score reflecting the same margin.

Key insights

Prediction

The most probable outcome is a 1-0 victory for Guimaraes, with the home side taking the lead by halftime and holding on to secure all three points. The match is expected to be competitive, with a moderate number of cards likely to be shown, reflecting the intensity of the contest.

Key facts

  1. 1.Guimaraes are 15th in the league with 5 points from 7 games (W1 D2 L4).
  2. 2.Maritimo are 11th with 8 points from 8 games (W2 D2 L4).
  3. 3.The predicted final score is 1-0 in favour of Guimaraes.
  4. 4.Halftime score is also predicted as 1-0, indicating an early goal and tight defence.
  5. 5.Four cards are expected in the match, suggesting a moderately physical game.
  6. 6.Maritimo's Romain Correia leads his team in passing with 57.9 passes per game at 89% accuracy.
  7. 7.Maritimo's Adrián Butzke and Martín Tejón have contributed goals and assists this season.
  8. 8.Guimaraes have no standout top scorers this season, relying on team effort.

The verdict

In summary, Guimaraes are favoured to edge out Maritimo in a low-scoring affair. The home side's ability to maintain a slender lead and manage the game will be key, while Maritimo will need to find a way past a disciplined defence to avoid a frustrating defeat.

Player Insights

Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists

Home — Guimaraes

No standout playmakers flagged for Guimaraes

Away — Maritimo

Maurice Osei Boakye

Maurice Osei Boakye

Attacker

Maritimo

Total Assists
1
League avg: 0.22
7 played
114 mins
~16 mins/game
Martín Tejón

Martín Tejón

Midfielder

Maritimo

Total Assists
1
League avg: 0.22
7 played
7 starts
588 mins
~84 mins/game

Prediction generated 11 Oct 2026, 18:56 UTC · Fipster Model v1.163

Prediction Q&A

Who does Fipster predict will win Guimaraes vs Maritimo?
Fipster's AI model predicts Guimaraes to win against Maritimo.
What is the predicted score for Guimaraes vs Maritimo?
Fipster predicts a final score of Guimaraes 1–0 Maritimo.
What are the win probabilities for Guimaraes vs Maritimo?
Fipster's model gives Guimaraes a 85% chance of winning, Maritimo a 7% chance, and a 8% chance of a draw.
How confident is Fipster in this prediction?
Fipster's model assigns this prediction 85% confidence — a high-confidence call.