Guimaraes vs Casa Pia
Guimaraes held to stalemate by Casa Pia
Neither side could find a breakthrough in a goalless Primeira Liga encounter.
Guimaraes and Casa Pia played out a 0-0 draw in the Primeira Liga, with neither team managing to score. This result defied Fipster's medium-confidence prediction of a narrow home win, as the match ended in a stalemate rather than the expected victory for Guimaraes.
Outcome probability
The new season kicks off with Guimaraes facing Casa Pia in what promises to be a closely contested encounter. Both teams have made some summer changes and will be eager to start their campaigns on a positive note.
Key facts
- 1.Guimaraes have lost R. Abascal and N. Saviolo to transfers this summer.
- 2.Casa Pia have signed André Gomes and lost Gaizka Larrazabal as a free agent.
- 3.Guimaraes hold a better goal difference than Casa Pia this season.
- 4.The predicted scoreline is 1-0 in favour of Guimaraes.
- 5.Halftime and fulltime scores are both expected to be 1-0.
- 6.This is the first competitive fixture of the new season for both teams.
The context
Guimaraes enter this fixture having lost key players R. Abascal and N. Saviolo to transfers, which could test their squad depth early on. Casa Pia, meanwhile, have bolstered their ranks with the arrival of André Gomes but have also parted ways with Gaizka Larrazabal, who left as a free agent. These moves set the stage for an intriguing tactical battle as both sides look to establish their rhythm in the league.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Guimaraes
Away — Casa Pia
Analysis
The prediction leans towards a home win for Guimaraes, with a 1-0 scoreline being the most likely outcome. This narrow margin reflects the expected tightness of the match, with Guimaraes holding a slight edge in goal difference and overall squad strength. The consistency between the predicted halftime and fulltime scores suggests Guimaraes may take an early lead and then focus on maintaining their advantage. Casa Pia will no doubt be looking to break down their opponents' defence, but the visitors' recent summer signing could provide some attacking impetus.
Prediction
Expect Guimaraes to edge this one 1-0, taking an early lead and holding firm through the second half. The match is likely to be competitive, but the home side's slight superiority should see them through to a winning start.
The verdict
In summary, Guimaraes are favoured to start their season with a narrow victory over Casa Pia. Both teams have made notable summer changes, but the home side's advantage in squad quality and goal difference should prove decisive in this opener.
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Gomes
Prieto
Jatta
Pauwels
Gustavo
Yellow Card
Mandić
Yellow Card
Ndoye
Yellow Card
Kaly
Miguel Nogueira
Sidibé
Yellow Card
Balieiro
Yellow Card
Doucet
Samu
Match Statistics
Guimaraes
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 5A. SidibéD
- 11GustavoM
- 13João MendesD
- 16BeniM
- 17Miguel NogueiraM
- 20SamuM
- 23T. StrataD
- 24A. NdoyeF
- 28Thiago BalieiroD
- 44L. DoucetM
- 48O. ZychG
Substitutes
- 2Miguel MagaD
- 4Óscar RivasD
- 6M. MitrovićM
- 7O. CamaraF
- 8Gonçalo NogueiraM
- 9A. JakupovicF
- 18Telmo ArcanjoM
- 19V. AnderssonM
- 22J. CastilloG
- 29V. OuotroF
- 56S. VerdiM
- 82F. DiasD
Casa Pia
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 3KalyD
- 16SilviM
- 18GeraldesD
- 19K. PrietoM
- 20A. JattaF
- 31André GomesG
- 43David SousaD
- 70João Pedro Seno Luís RêgoM
- 75Pedro RosasD
- 77B. PauwelsM
- 80L. OforiM
Substitutes
- 4João GoulartD
- 8Gabi PereiraM
- 9Henrique AraújoF
- 10RochinhaF
- 21A. ZouinF
- 24S. PérezM
- 59Abdu DafeM
- 90CassianoF
- 95Ivan MandićG
Guimaraes
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Ndoye | F | 63 | 7.5 | — | — | 4 | 1 | 3 | 3/3 |
| João Mendes | D | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1/3 |
| T. Strata | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | — | 5 | 3/4 |
| L. Doucet | M | 87 | 7.2 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| A. Sidibé | D | 71 | 7.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| O. Zych | G | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| O. Camara | F | 20 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 3/4 |
| Beni | M | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 0/1 |
| Thiago Balieiro | D | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0/1 |
| Miguel Nogueira | M | 70 | 6.7 | — | — | 3 | — | — | 1/4 |
| Gustavo | M | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | 4 | 1 | 7 | — |
| A. Jakupovic | F | 27 | 6.6 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — |
| Gonçalo Nogueira | M | 3 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Óscar Rivas | D | 19 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| V. Ouotro | F | 3 | 6.4 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| Samu | M | 87 | 6.2 | — | — | 4 | 2 | — | 0/1 |
| J. Castillo | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Telmo Arcanjo | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Miguel Maga | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| V. Andersson | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Mitrović | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Verdi | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| F. Dias | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Casa Pia
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ivan Mandić | G | 61 | 8.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| B. Pauwels | M | 57 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Kaly | D | 70 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pedro Rosas | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| João Pedro Seno Luís Rêgo | M | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1/2 |
| David Sousa | D | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/1 |
| Silvi | M | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 2/2 |
| André Gomes | G | 29 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| João Goulart | D | 20 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Henrique Araújo | F | 33 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Geraldes | D | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| L. Ofori | M | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| K. Prieto | M | 46 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| A. Jatta | F | 57 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Abdu Dafe | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Cassiano | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rochinha | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Pérez | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gabi Pereira | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Zouin | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Guimaraes vs Casa Pia?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Guimaraes to win against Casa Pia.
- What score did Fipster predict for Guimaraes vs Casa Pia?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Guimaraes 1–0 Casa Pia.
- What were the win probabilities for Guimaraes vs Casa Pia?
- Fipster's model gave Guimaraes a 55% chance of winning, Casa Pia a 22% chance, and a 23% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 55% confidence — a medium-confidence call.