Groningen vs Twente
Groningen and Twente share spoils in lively draw
A four-goal thriller sees both sides cancelling each other out after an early exchange of blows.
Twente's M. Pjaca struck early to give the visitors the lead, but Groningen responded with two first-half goals from T. van Bergen and T. Land to turn the game on its head. W. Weghorst's strike before the break ensured Twente left with a point in a 2-2 draw. This result defied Fipster's high-confidence prediction of an away win, proving the hosts more resilient than expected.
Outcome probability
As the new season kicks off, Groningen and Twente prepare to face off in what promises to be an intriguing encounter. Both teams have made some summer moves, with Twente notably bolstering their ranks, setting the stage for a competitive match.
Key facts
- 1.Twente finished 4th in the league last season, while Groningen were 9th.
- 2.Twente have a significantly better goal difference than Groningen from last season.
- 3.Twente have signed J. Drommel, W. Weghorst, and A. Adelgaard ahead of the new season.
- 4.Groningen have lost S. Resink during the summer transfer window.
- 5.The predicted fulltime score is 3-1 in favour of Twente.
- 6.The halftime score prediction is 2-1 to Twente.
- 7.Three total cards are expected in the match.
The context
This fixture marks the start of the regular season, with both sides eager to make a strong first impression. Groningen have parted ways with S. Resink, while Twente have welcomed J. Drommel, W. Weghorst, and A. Adelgaard, aiming to improve on last season's performances. Twente finished higher in the league standings and carry a better goal difference, factors that add weight to their prospects in this opener.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Groningen
Away — Twente
Analysis
Twente's superior league position and goal difference from last season suggest they enter this match with an edge. Their summer signings, including the arrival of W. Weghorst on a free transfer, add firepower and experience to their squad. Groningen, meanwhile, have lost S. Resink, which may impact their depth. Statistical models strongly favour an away win, with a predicted scoreline of 3-1 in Twente's favour, reflecting their attacking potential and defensive solidity.
Prediction
The forecast is for Twente to take the win with a 3-1 scoreline, leading 2-1 at halftime. The match is expected to feature three cards, indicating a competitive but controlled contest. Twente's strengthened squad and higher league standing make them the likely victors in this season opener.
The verdict
In summary, Twente's summer business and last season's superior league metrics position them well to start the campaign with a win. Groningen will need to find answers quickly if they are to challenge effectively. Fans can expect an engaging match with Twente edging out Groningen 3-1.
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Pjaca
Assist: Weghorst
Zerrouki
Yellow Card
van Bergen
Assist: van der Werff
Land
Assist: Blokzijl
Weghorst
Assist: Taha
Csinger
Yellow Card
Csinger
Willumsson
Clement
Pjaca
Ørjasæter
Weidmann
Land
Prins
Taha
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  AZ Alkmaar | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | +12 | 19 |
| 3 |  PSV Eindhoven | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | +14 | 16 |
| 4 |  Twente | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | +8 | 16 |
| 5 |  Ajax | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +12 | 14 |
| 7 |  Excelsior | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +6 | 11 |
| 8 |  Groningen | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 11 |
| 9 |  GO Ahead Eagles | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | +2 | 9 |
Match Statistics
Groningen
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1E. VaessenG
- 2Wouter PrinsD
- 3T. BlokzijlD
- 4M. CsingerD
- 8T. de JongeM
- 9B. WillumssonF
- 14J. SchreudersD
- 17D. van der WerffM
- 18T. LandM
- 24P. ClementM
- 26T. van BergenM
Substitutes
- 7T. HernesM
- 11J. OndrejkaF
- 12M. BrandisD
- 13L. ŠtubljarG
- 15E. van der LaanD
- 16A. NordinM
- 19O. ZawadaF
- 20Nils EggensF
- 42J. MosselaarD
- 44Besnik MashukuM
- 53J. HallM
Twente
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1L. UnnerstallG
- 3R. PröpperD
- 4R. NijstadD
- 6R. ZerroukiM
- 7M. PjacaM
- 8D. WeidmannM
- 9W. WeghorstF
- 10Y. TahaM
- 27S. ØrjasæterM
- 28B. van RooijD
- 38M. BrunsD
Substitutes
- 11D. RotsF
- 16J. DrommelG
- 18Jordy BawuahM
- 20T. van den BeltM
- 22R. PasveerG
- 24K. KurowskiD
- 25Lucas Vennegoor of HesselinkF
- 29A. AdelgaardD
- 37N. ÜnüvarF
Groningen
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Land | M | 80 | 8.1 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1/1 |
| T. van Bergen | M | 90 | 7.7 | 1 | — | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2/4 |
| D. van der Werff | M | 90 | 7.5 | — | 1 | 4 | — | 4 | 1/1 |
| T. de Jonge | M | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | 4 | 1 | 3 | 4/5 |
| T. Blokzijl | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | — |
| J. Schreuders | D | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | 2 | — | — | 1/1 |
| J. Ondrejka | F | 30 | 6.7 | — | — | 2 | — | — | 1/4 |
| B. Willumsson | F | 60 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1/1 |
| O. Zawada | F | 30 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| M. Csinger | D | 60 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Vaessen | G | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Brandis | D | 7 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| E. van der Laan | D | 30 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wouter Prins | D | 83 | 6.1 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | 1/3 |
| T. Hernes | M | 10 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| P. Clement | M | 60 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nils Eggens | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Štubljar | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Nordin | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Hall | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Mosselaar | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Besnik Mashuku | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Twente
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W. Weghorst | F | 90 | 8.1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | — |
| Y. Taha | M | 88 | 7.6 | — | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0/3 |
| M. Pjaca | M | 61 | 7.3 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| B. van Rooij | D | 90 | 7.1 | — | — | — | — | 4 | — |
| D. Weidmann | M | 75 | 6.8 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | 0/4 |
| S. Ørjasæter | M | 75 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | 0/4 |
| D. Rots | F | 29 | 6.6 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — |
| Lucas Vennegoor of Hesselink | F | 2 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Pröpper | D | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| R. Zerrouki | M | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | — | — | 0/1 |
| M. Bruns | D | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| R. Nijstad | D | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| L. Unnerstall | G | 90 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| T. van den Belt | M | 15 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Drommel | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Adelgaard | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| K. Kurowski | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jordy Bawuah | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Pasveer | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Ünüvar | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Groningen vs Twente?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Twente to win against Groningen.
- What score did Fipster predict for Groningen vs Twente?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Groningen 1–3 Twente.
- What were the win probabilities for Groningen vs Twente?
- Fipster's model gave Groningen a 2% chance of winning, Twente a 95% chance, and a 3% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 95% confidence — a high-confidence call.