Gremio vs Vasco DA Gama
Vasco DA Gama snatch win at Gremio
A late double from Thiago Mendes and F. Colidio turns the tide in Serie A clash.
Gremio looked set to take the points after M. Villasanti's first-half strike, but Vasco DA Gama fought back with two goals in the second half from Thiago Mendes and F. Colidio to secure a 2-1 victory. This result was a surprise, defying Fipster's high-confidence prediction of a dominant 4-0 home win for Gremio.
Outcome probability
Gremio and Vasco DA Gama face off in a crucial regular season clash where the home side's recent form and attacking prowess suggest a one-sided affair.
Match factors
Gremio's attacking trio in strong form
Carlos Vinícius leads with 10 goals, supported by Cristian Pavón's assists and Gustavo Martins' set-piece threat
Gremio's superior home scoring rate
Gremio averages 1.8 goals per home game, well above Vasco's 1.0 away average, supporting predicted 4-0 score
Cristian Pavón's recent impact
Pavón scored 2 goals and provided multiple assists in last 5 home games, boosting Gremio's attack
Vasco's creative midfield presence
Carlos Gómez Hinestroza and José Rodríguez Bebanz lead Vasco's attack and assists but face tough defense
No confirmed absences for either team
Both teams have full squads available, ensuring strongest lineups and tactical plans
The context
Currently sitting 15th with 28 points from 24 games, Gremio hold a slight edge over Vasco DA Gama, who are 17th with 25 points from 25 matches. Gremio also boast a better goal difference this season, which adds weight to their chances in this encounter.
Key insights
Carlos Vinícius
Gremio
Top scorer for Gremio with 10 goals, boasting a strong home scoring rate of 0.43 goals per game, making him a constant threat.
Serie A 26/2710 goals in 23 appearances, 0.43 goals/game
Cristian Pavón
Gremio
Key playmaker with 4 assists and recent home form including 2 goals, boosting Gremio’s attacking threat.
Serie A 26/272 goals and 4 assists in 22 appearances, 0.18 assists/game
Gustavo Martins
Gremio
Defender with notable scoring threat on set pieces, contributing 2 goals in recent home games.
Serie A 26/272 goals in 17 appearances, 0.12 goals/game
- C
Carlos Gómez Hinestroza
Vasco DA Gama
Top scorer for Vasco with 4 goals, but limited recent form and away scoring impact.
Serie A 26/274 goals in 22 appearances, 0.18 goals/game
Analysis
Gremio's attacking trio is firing on all cylinders, led by Carlos Vinícius who has netted 10 goals this season with a strong home scoring rate. Cristian Pavón complements this threat with his recent home goals and assists, while defender Gustavo Martins adds danger on set pieces. Vasco DA Gama's key players, including Carlos Gómez Hinestroza and José Rodríguez Bebanz, face a tough defensive challenge. The predicted 4-0 scoreline aligns with Gremio's superior home scoring average of 1.8 goals per game compared to Vasco's 1.0 away average.
Key facts
- 1.Gremio have won 11 of 20 head-to-head matches against Vasco DA Gama.
- 2.Gremio are ranked 15th with 28 points from 24 games; Vasco DA Gama are 17th with 25 points from 25 games.
- 3.Gremio have a better goal difference (8 goals) than Vasco DA Gama this season.
- 4.Gremio average 1.8 goals per home game, compared to Vasco's 1.0 goals per away game.
- 5.Carlos Vinícius is Gremio's top scorer with 10 goals this season.
- 6.Cristian Pavón has contributed 2 goals and 4 assists, mainly at home.
- 7.Vasco DA Gama's Carlos Gómez Hinestroza leads their scoring with 4 goals.
- 8.No confirmed absences for either team, ensuring full-strength lineups.
Prediction
Expect Gremio to take control early, leading 2-0 at halftime before extending their dominance to a 4-0 fulltime victory. The match is also likely to see around four cards, reflecting a competitive but controlled encounter.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Gremio
Away — Vasco DA Gama
The verdict
With full squads available and Gremio's attacking momentum, Vasco DA Gama will struggle to contain the home side's firepower. This match promises a comfortable win for Gremio, reinforcing their position in the league standings.
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Pedro Gabriel
Yellow Card
Tchê Tchê
Yellow Card
Wallace
Yellow Card
Villasanti
Cuiabano
Yellow Card
Robert Renan
Yellow Card
Paulo Henrique
Adson
Diego Caito
Yellow Card
Jovane Cabral
Tetê
Cuesta
Tchê Tchê
Thiago Mendes
Cuiabano
Colidio
Assist: Duarte
Kannemann
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Palmeiras | 27 | 16 | 8 | 3 | +26 | 56 |
| 15 |  Mirassol | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | -11 | 29 |
| 16 |  Gremio | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | -7 | 28 |
| 17 |  Vasco DA Gama | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | -12 | 28 |
| 18 |  Internacional | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | -5 | 28 |
Match Statistics
Gremio
4-1-4-1Starting XI
- 1WevertonG
- 4W. KannemannD
- 8E. NoriegaM
- 10F. KrovinovićM
- 11TetêM
- 20M. VillasantiM
- 27Diego CaitoD
- 54Pedro GabrielD
- 77Jovane CabralM
- 82WallaceD
- 95Carlos ViníciusF
Substitutes
- 3Wagner LeonardoD
- 5J. NardoniM
- 6Gustavo MartinsD
- 12Gabriel GrandoG
- 14Marcos RochaD
- 15Danilo BarbosaM
- 18João PedroD
- 22M. BraithwaiteF
- 30Matheus NascimentoF
- 50Bernardo ZorteaM
- 65Riquelme FreitasM
- 99J. EnamoradoF
Vasco DA Gama
4-1-4-1Starting XI
- 1Léo JardimG
- 3Tchê TchêM
- 5S. SosaM
- 9F. ColidioF
- 11A. GómezM
- 23Thiago MendesM
- 28AdsonM
- 30Robert RenanD
- 46C. CuestaD
- 66CuiabanoD
- 96Paulo HenriqueD
Substitutes
- 2J. RodríguezD
- 6Lucas PitonD
- 7DavidF
- 8JairM
- 13Daniel FuzatoG
- 17Nuno MoreiraM
- 18M. HinestrozaF
- 19Bruno DuarteF
- 22A. LescanoM
- 43Lucas FreitasD
- 83Ramon RiqueM
- 88Cauan BarrosM
Gremio
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Villasanti | M | 90 | 7.9 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2/2 |
| W. Kannemann | D | 86 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| F. Krovinović | M | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Jovane Cabral | M | 61 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Matheus Nascimento | F | 4 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 2/2 |
| Wallace | D | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Diego Caito | D | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | 2 | 2 | — | 4/6 |
| J. Enamorado | F | 19 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Weverton | G | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Noriega | M | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Pedro Gabriel | D | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Tetê | M | 71 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1/6 |
| J. Nardoni | M | 29 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Carlos Vinícius | F | 90 | 6.1 | — | — | 2 | — | — | 0/2 |
| João Pedro | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gustavo Martins | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gabriel Grando | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Riquelme Freitas | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Bernardo Zortea | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Danilo Barbosa | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wagner Leonardo | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Marcos Rocha | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Braithwaite | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Vasco DA Gama
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thiago Mendes | M | 90 | 8.2 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | — | — |
| F. Colidio | F | 90 | 7.9 | 1 | — | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0/1 |
| Léo Jardim | G | 90 | 7.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Bruno Duarte | F | 35 | 6.8 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| S. Sosa | M | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| C. Cuesta | D | 73 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Gómez | M | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | 2 | — | 2 | 2/5 |
| J. Rodríguez | D | 35 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Lescano | M | 17 | 6.4 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Jair | M | 17 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Cuiabano | D | 78 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| Robert Renan | D | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Tchê Tchê | M | 73 | 6.3 | — | — | 3 | 2 | — | 1/1 |
| Lucas Piton | D | 12 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Paulo Henrique | D | 55 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 2/2 |
| Adson | M | 55 | 6.0 | — | — | 2 | — | — | 0/3 |
| Nuno Moreira | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lucas Freitas | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Cauan Barros | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Daniel Fuzato | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ramon Rique | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| David | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Hinestroza | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |