Gremio vs Palmeiras
Gremio and Palmeiras settle for stalemate
A goalless draw keeps both sides locked in a tight contest.
In a match where goals were expected, Gremio and Palmeiras ended up cancelling each other out with a 0-0 draw. The clean sheet outcome defied Fipster's low-confidence prediction of a narrow away win, proving that sometimes the ball just refuses to find the net.
Outcome probability
This fixture between Gremio and Palmeiras promises an exciting clash, with both teams boasting attacking talents capable of influencing the scoreline. Expect a lively encounter with plenty of goalmouth action.
Match factors
Gremio's Carlos Vinícius as focal point
Carlos Vinícius leads Gremio's scoring with 10 goals, likely focal point to exploit Palmeiras' defense
Palmeiras' superior assist creativity
Andreas Pereira's 10 assists this season provide Palmeiras a creative edge in attack
Maurício's recent scoring form
Maurício has scored 3 goals in last 5 games, boosting Palmeiras' midfield threat
Gremio missing key assister Francis Amuzu
Amuzu is confirmed out, reducing Gremio's creative options and assist potential
Gustavo Martins' dual threat from defense
Gustavo Martins contributes goals and assists from defense, adding unpredictability for Gremio
The context
Palmeiras currently sit 2nd in the league with 56 points, showcasing a strong campaign, while Gremio find themselves 16th with 28 points, highlighting a notable gap in quality. Historically, Palmeiras have had the upper hand in head-to-head meetings, winning 12 of their 20 encounters against Gremio.
Key insights
Carlos Vinícius
Gremio
Top scorer for Gremio with 10 goals, likely to be the focal point of their attack.
Serie A 26/2710 goals in 26 appearances, 0.38 goals/game
Andreas Pereira
Palmeiras
Creative hub with 10 assists, providing key chances for Palmeiras' forwards.
Serie A 26/2710 assists in 26 appearances, 0.38 assists/game
José López
Palmeiras
Leading scorer with 8 goals and also contributes assists, a reliable offensive presence.
Serie A 26/278 goals in 24 appearances, 0.33 goals/game
Maurício
Palmeiras
Midfielder with strong recent form, scoring 3 goals in last 5 games, boosting attack.
Serie A 26/277 goals in 23 appearances, 0.30 goals/game
Analysis
Palmeiras' attacking threat is spearheaded by José López, their leading scorer with 8 goals, supported by creative midfielder Andreas Pereira, who tops the assist charts with 10 this season. Gremio will rely heavily on Carlos Vinícius, their top scorer with 10 goals, and Cristian Pavón, their main playmaker. However, Gremio will miss key assister Francis Amuzu, which could hamper their creativity. Palmeiras' superior goal difference (+26 compared to Gremio's -8) reflects their stronger offense and defence, suggesting they have the edge despite the expected close scoreline.
Key facts
- 1.Palmeiras lead head-to-head with 12 wins out of 20 matches against Gremio.
- 2.Palmeiras are 2nd in the league with 56 points; Gremio are 16th with 28 points.
- 3.Palmeiras have a superior goal difference of +26 compared to Gremio's -8.
- 4.Carlos Vinícius is Gremio's top scorer with 10 goals this season.
- 5.José López leads Palmeiras with 8 goals and also contributes assists.
- 6.Andreas Pereira is Palmeiras' top assister with 10 assists this season.
- 7.Francis Amuzu is out for Gremio, reducing their creative options.
- 8.The predicted total number of cards in the match is 4.
Prediction
The prediction favours an away win for Palmeiras with a 3-2 scoreline. The halftime score is expected to be 1-2, indicating Palmeiras may take an early lead but face resistance from Gremio. The match is also predicted to see around four cards, hinting at a competitive and possibly heated affair.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Gremio
Away — Palmeiras
The verdict
In summary, Palmeiras are likely to secure a narrow victory thanks to their attacking efficiency and creative midfield play. Gremio will fight hard, buoyed by Carlos Vinícius' goal threat, but ultimately fall just short in what should be an entertaining contest.
Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 06:05 UTC · Fipster Model v1.158
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Giay
Yellow Card
Noriega
Yellow Card
Noriega
João Pedro
Yellow Card
Carlos Vinícius
Yellow Card
Pavón
Amuzu
Martins
Yellow Card
Vitor Roque
Arias
Barboza
Yellow Card
Carlos Vinícius
Piquerez
Yellow Card
Andreas Pereira
Evangelista
Yellow Card
Piquerez
João Pedro
Giay
Sosa
Yellow Card
Pedro Gabriel
Yellow Card
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Flamengo | 27 | 17 | 6 | 4 | +31 | 57 |
| 2 |  Palmeiras | 28 | 16 | 9 | 3 | +26 | 57 |
| 3 |  Fluminense | 28 | 13 | 9 | 6 | +8 | 48 |
| 16 |  Vasco DA Gama | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | -7 | 31 |
| 17 |  Gremio | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | -8 | 29 |
| 18 |  Internacional | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | -6 | 28 |
Match Statistics
Gremio
3-4-3Starting XI
- 1WevertonG
- 2F. BalbuenaD
- 6Gustavo MartinsD
- 7C. PavónF
- 8E. NoriegaM
- 9F. AmuzuF
- 18João PedroM
- 20M. VillasantiM
- 54Pedro GabrielM
- 82WallaceD
- 95Carlos ViníciusF
Substitutes
- 3Wagner LeonardoD
- 10F. KrovinovićM
- 11TetêF
- 12Gabriel GrandoG
- 14Marcos RochaD
- 15Danilo BarbosaM
- 22M. BraithwaiteF
- 30Matheus NascimentoF
- 43Luis EduardoD
- 50Bernardo ZorteaM
- 77Jovane CabralF
- 99J. EnamoradoF
Palmeiras
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1Carlos MiguelG
- 2A. BarbozaD
- 4A. GiayD
- 8Andreas PereiraM
- 9Vitor RoqueF
- 11J. AriasM
- 15G. GómezD
- 17Marlon FreitasM
- 22J. PiquerezD
- 30Lucas EvangelistaM
- 42J. LópezM
Substitutes
- 3Bruno FuchsD
- 7Felipe AndersonM
- 12KhellvenD
- 14Marcelo LombaG
- 18MaurícioM
- 19R. SosaF
- 32E. MartínezM
- 39HeittorF
- 43BenedettiD
- 48LarsonM
- 50Luis FelipeM
- 56ArthurD
Gremio
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weverton | G | 90 | 8.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wallace | D | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jovane Cabral | F | 21 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| F. Amuzu | F | 69 | 6.8 | — | — | 1 | — | 3 | — |
| J. Enamorado | F | 22 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| F. Balbuena | D | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| C. Pavón | F | 68 | 6.6 | — | — | 2 | 2 | — | 1/2 |
| Marcos Rocha | D | 9 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Danilo Barbosa | M | 44 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pedro Gabriel | M | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| E. Noriega | M | 46 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| M. Villasanti | M | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| João Pedro | M | 81 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Carlos Vinícius | F | 74 | 6.1 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| M. Braithwaite | F | 16 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Gustavo Martins | D | 90 | 5.7 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Matheus Nascimento | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gabriel Grando | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Luis Eduardo | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Bernardo Zortea | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| F. Krovinović | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tetê | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wagner Leonardo | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Palmeiras
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos Miguel | G | 90 | 7.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| G. Gómez | D | 90 | 7.4 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| J. Arias | M | 72 | 7.2 | — | — | 2 | — | 6 | 2/2 |
| Marlon Freitas | M | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0/1 |
| Lucas Evangelista | M | 90 | 7.1 | — | — | 3 | — | 1 | — |
| Andreas Pereira | M | 79 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 5 | 1/2 |
| A. Barboza | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | 3 | — | — | — |
| J. López | M | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2/3 |
| Felipe Anderson | M | 18 | 6.8 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| J. Piquerez | D | 79 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Maurício | M | 11 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/1 |
| Arthur | D | 11 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Khellven | D | 1 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Vitor Roque | F | 72 | 6.3 | — | — | 4 | 2 | 1 | — |
| R. Sosa | F | 18 | 6.2 | — | — | 2 | — | — | 2/3 |
| A. Giay | D | 89 | 6.1 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | 0/1 |
| Bruno Fuchs | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Marcelo Lomba | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Heittor | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Larson | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Luis Felipe | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Benedetti | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Martínez | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Gremio vs Palmeiras?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Palmeiras to win against Gremio.
- What score did Fipster predict for Gremio vs Palmeiras?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Gremio 2–3 Palmeiras.
- What were the win probabilities for Gremio vs Palmeiras?
- Fipster's model gave Gremio a 30% chance of winning, Palmeiras a 39% chance, and a 31% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 39% confidence — a low-confidence call.