Gremio vs Chapecoense-sc
Gremio rally past Chapecoense for solid win
Gustavo Martins shines with a brace as Gremio overturn an early deficit.
Chapecoense took an early lead through Garcez at 15 minutes, but Gremio responded swiftly with goals from Gustavo Martins and C. Pavón before the break. Martins sealed the victory with a second goal after the interval, securing a 3-1 win for the home side. Fipster's high-confidence prediction proved spot on, nailing both the outcome and exact scoreline.
Outcome probability
As the Brazilian Serie A season rolls on, Gremio and Chapecoense-sc face off in a clash that promises goals and drama. With Gremio holding a clear edge in form and goal difference, the stage is set for an entertaining contest.
Match factors
Carlos Vinícius as focal point in attack
Vinícius leads Gremio with 10 goals and strong home form, likely to exploit Chapecoense's weak defense
Gremio's superior assist providers
Pavón and Amuzu provide creative support with 3 assists each, enhancing scoring chances
Chapecoense missing key defender Bruno Tubarão
Confirmed out defender Tubarão weakens Chapecoense's defense, increasing vulnerability
Chapecoense's recent scoring streak despite poor form
Chapecoense scored in 4 of last 5 matches but concede heavily, indicating defensive frailty
The context
This fixture sees Gremio, sitting 15th with 25 points, take on Chapecoense-sc, who are struggling at 20th with just 11 points. Historically, Gremio have the upper hand in their 17 meetings, winning eight times compared to Chapecoense-sc's four, with five draws. The average goals per match between these sides is a healthy 2.8, suggesting an open game.
Key insights

Carlos Vinícius
Gremio
Vinícius leads Gremio with 10 goals and strong home form, making him the main threat against Chapecoense-sc's shaky defence.
Serie A 26/2710 goals in 21 apps, 0.48 goals/game

C. Pavón
Gremio
Pavón's 3 assists and set-piece threat provide Gremio with creative ammunition to unlock Chapecoense-sc's defence.
Serie A 26/273 assists in 20 apps, 0.15 assists/game
- B
Bruno Tubarão
Chapecoense-sc
Chapecoense-sc's defence is weakened by the confirmed absence of key defender Bruno Tubarão, increasing their vulnerability.

Marcinho
Chapecoense-sc
Marcinho is Chapecoense-sc's leading scorer with 3 goals and recent good form, offering some offensive hope.
Serie A 26/273 goals in 22 apps, 0.14 goals/game
Analysis
Gremio's attacking threat is spearheaded by Carlos Vinícius, who boasts 10 goals this season and a strong home scoring record. His presence will be a key factor against a Chapecoense-sc defence weakened by the absence of key defender Bruno Tubarão. Creative outlets like C. Pavón and F. Amuzu provide Gremio with quality service, enhancing their goal-scoring potential. Chapecoense-sc, despite their poor league position, have found the net in four of their last five matches but remain vulnerable at the back, which Gremio are likely to exploit.
Key facts
- 1.Gremio have won 8 of 17 meetings against Chapecoense-sc, with 5 draws.
- 2.Matches between these teams average 2.8 goals, indicating moderate scoring.
- 3.Gremio are 15th in the league with 25 points from 23 games.
- 4.Chapecoense-sc are 20th with 11 points from 22 games.
- 5.Gremio have a goal difference of +16 compared to Chapecoense-sc's -23.
- 6.Gremio average 1.09 points per game, more than double Chapecoense-sc's 0.50.
Prediction
We anticipate Gremio to take an early lead, reflected in a 1-0 halftime scoreline, before extending their advantage to a 3-1 fulltime victory. The match is expected to be competitive but ultimately controlled by Gremio, who should manage the game well and keep disciplinary issues moderate, with around four cards predicted.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Gremio
Away — Chapecoense-sc
The verdict
In summary, Gremio's superior form, goal difference, and attacking prowess make them the clear favourites to secure a 3-1 win over Chapecoense-sc. Fans can expect a lively encounter with goals and tactical battles, but the home side's quality should shine through.
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Garcez
Assist: Giovanni Augusto
Martins
Assist: Enamorado
Pavón
Marlon
Yellow Card
Kannemann
Yellow Card
Marlon
Braithwaite
Enamorado
Doma
Yellow Card
Martins
Assist: Pavón
Garcez
Bruno Matias
Barbosa
Pacheco
Yellow Card
Pacheco
Amuzu
Giovanni Augusto
Marcinho
Tetê
Yellow Card
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 27 | 16 | 8 | 3 | +26 | 56 | |
| 15 | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | -11 | 29 | |
| 16 | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | -7 | 28 | |
| 17 | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | -12 | 28 | |
| 19 | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | -13 | 23 | |
| 20 | 26 | 3 | 8 | 15 | -24 | 17 |
Match Statistics
Gremio
4-1-4-1Starting XI
- 1WevertonG
- 6Gustavo MartinsD
- 7C. PavónD
- 9F. AmuzuM
- 10F. KrovinovićM
- 15Danilo BarbosaM
- 20M. VillasantiM
- 22M. BraithwaiteF
- 23MarlonD
- 82WallaceD
- 99J. EnamoradoM
Substitutes
- 3Wagner LeonardoD
- 4W. KannemannD
- 11TetêF
- 12Gabriel GrandoG
- 18João PedroD
- 30Matheus NascimentoF
- 40JefinhoM
- 50Bernardo ZorteaM
- 54Pedro GabrielD
- 65Riquelme FreitasM
- 95Carlos ViníciusF
Chapecoense-sc
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 3DomaD
- 5HeitorD
- 7MarcinhoM
- 9TúlioF
- 10Giovanni AugustoM
- 16Bruno MatiasM
- 21Kauan Faria GomesD
- 31GarcezM
- 88Yago FelipeM
- 91Bruno PachecoD
- 98AndersonG
Substitutes
- 12FernandoD
- 15Rafael ThyereD
- 19David AntunesM
- 26EvertonD
- 29F. RossiF
- 30Matheus AurélioG
- 70RubensM
- 77D. BorreroM
- 80M. CarvalhoM
- 97ÊnioM
Gremio
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weverton | G | 91 | 9.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gustavo Martins | D | 91 | 8.6 | 2 | — | 2 | 2 | — | — |
| Wallace | D | 91 | 8.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Cristian Pavón | D | 91 | 8.2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2/3 |
| Francis Amuzu | M | 76 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 3/5 |
| Marlon | D | 45 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Martin Braithwaite | F | 52 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/3 |
| Mathias Villasanti(C) | M | 91 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| Filip Krovinović | M | 91 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | 0/3 |
| José Enamorado | M | 52 | 6.3 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | 0/3 |
| Danilo Barbosa | M | 65 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Gabriel Grando | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Walter Kannemann | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Matheus Nascimento | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jefinho | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wagner Leonardo | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Riquelme Freitas | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Zortéa | M | 26 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tetê | F | 15 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| João Pedro | D | 39 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Pedro Gabriel | D | 46 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Carlos Vinícius | F | 39 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
Chapecoense-sc
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Giovanni Augusto | M | 80 | 7.3 | — | 1 | 2 | — | 7 | 1/1 |
| Maurício Garcez | M | 61 | 7.3 | 1 | — | 4 | 2 | — | 2/3 |
| Tulio Eduardo | F | 91 | 7.2 | — | — | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1/1 |
| Yago Felipe | M | 91 | 6.9 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Bruno Matias | M | 61 | 6.6 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | — |
| Marcinho | M | 80 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 5 | 1/4 |
| Kauan | D | 91 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Bruno Pacheco | D | 75 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 2/2 |
| Eduardo Doma(C) | D | 91 | 6.2 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Anderson | G | 91 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Heitor | D | 91 | 5.9 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Everton | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rubens Tadeu | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Matheus | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| David Antunes | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rafael Thyere | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dylan Borrero | M | 11 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ênio | M | 11 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Franco Rossi | F | 30 | 6.6 | — | — | 3 | 2 | — | 0/1 |
| Fernando | D | 16 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Miguel Carvalho | M | 30 | 6.2 | — | — | 2 | — | 2 | — |






