Göztepe vs Başakşehir

Süper LigMatchweek 11
Ref: C. AltayGürsel Aksel Stadyumu, İzmir · 30,035 cap
Fipster Pick
Home WinhighMiss

Match recap

Başakşehir beat Göztepe 2–1 in their Süper Lig fixture. Juan scored for Göztepe; Selke and Višća replied for Başakşehir. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 0.90 for Göztepe versus 0.99 for Başakşehir. Göztepe sit 16th in the Süper Lig table while Başakşehir are 7th.

FıpsterSelf-Score Card
Overconfident✗ Miss
Fipster's Pick✗
3–1
HT 1–0
Final Result
1–2
HT 1–1
36%Poor
F
✗Outcome✗Exact score✓Both scored✓Goals✗Halftime
Fipster's self review7 Nov 2026

Outcome probability

Göztepe 95%Draw 3%Başakşehir 2%

Göztepe and Başakşehir face off in the 11th round of the regular season, with Göztepe looking to bounce back from a slow start and Başakşehir aiming to maintain their mid-table position.

Match factors

Tactical Advantagehigh

Göztepe's attacking duo in strong form

Juan and André Henrique have combined for 9 goals recently, driving Göztepe's offense effectively

Tactical Advantagehigh

Başakşehir relies heavily on Shomurodov at home

Shomurodov scores 1.33 goals per home game, key to Başakşehir's attack in home matches

Statistical Edgehigh

Göztepe's superior recent scoring rate

Göztepe averages 2.1 goals per game, higher than Başakşehir's 1.7, supporting predicted home win

Form Momentummedium

André Henrique's recent scoring surge

André Henrique scored 4 goals in last 5 games, showing strong form

Injury Impactmedium

Başakşehir's defensive doubts with Operi and Opoku

Both defenders are doubtful, potentially weakening Başakşehir's defense against Göztepe's attack

The context

Başakşehir currently sit 7th with 4 points from 3 games, while Göztepe are struggling down in 16th with just 1 point. Despite Başakşehir's historical edge in head-to-heads, recent form and scoring rates suggest a shift in momentum.

Analysis

Başakşehir lead the head-to-head record with 10 wins to Göztepe's 6 in 18 matches, but Göztepe have been more prolific recently, averaging 2.1 goals per game compared to Başakşehir's 1.7. Göztepe's attacking duo, Juan and André Henrique, have been in fine form, combining for 9 goals recently. Meanwhile, Başakşehir rely heavily on Eldor Azamat Shomurodov, who boasts an impressive 7 goals in 9 games but has defensive doubts with key defenders doubtful for this match.

Key facts

  1. 1.Başakşehir lead head-to-head with 10 wins to Göztepe's 6 in 18 matches.
  2. 2.Başakşehir are 7th in the league with 4 points from 3 games; Göztepe are 16th with 1 point.
  3. 3.Göztepe average 2.1 goals per game, higher than Başakşehir's 1.7.
  4. 4.Juan has scored 6 goals in 9 games, with a strong home scoring rate of 0.75 goals per game.
  5. 5.Eldor Azamat Shomurodov leads Başakşehir with 7 goals in 9 games, but is less effective away from home.
  6. 6.André Henrique has scored 4 goals in his last 5 games, showing strong recent form.
  7. 7.Başakşehir face defensive doubts with key defenders doubtful for this match.

Prediction

We expect Göztepe to take an early lead, going into halftime 1-0 up. They should extend their advantage in the second half to secure a 3-1 victory. The home side's attacking momentum and Başakşehir's defensive uncertainties tilt the scales firmly in Göztepe's favour.

Player Insights

Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists

Home — Göztepe

Juan

Juan

Attacker

Göztepe

Total Goals
6
League avg: 0.57
9 played
6 starts
555 mins
~62 mins/game
André Henrique

André Henrique

Attacker

Göztepe

Total Goals
3
League avg: 0.57
9 played
8 starts
610 mins
~68 mins/game
Novatus Dismas Miroshi

Novatus Dismas Miroshi

Midfielder

Göztepe

Total Goals
2
League avg: 0.57
7 played
7 starts
590 mins
~84 mins/game

Away — Başakşehir

Eldor Azamat Shomurodov

Eldor Azamat Shomurodov

Midfielder

Başakşehir

Total Goals
7
League avg: 0.57
9 played
9 starts
748 mins
~83 mins/game
Andreas Skov Olsen

Andreas Skov Olsen

Midfielder

Başakşehir

Total Goals
1
League avg: 0.57
9 played
9 starts
670 mins
~74 mins/game

The verdict

This match promises goals and a confident display from Göztepe as they look to climb the table. Başakşehir will need to shore up their defence to avoid a heavy defeat, but the signs point to a solid home win.

Prediction generated 1 Nov 2026, 14:54 UTC · Fipster Model v1.166

Prediction Q&A

Who did Fipster predict to win Göztepe vs Başakşehir?
Fipster's AI model predicted Göztepe to win against Başakşehir.
What score did Fipster predict for Göztepe vs Başakşehir?
Fipster predicted a final score of Göztepe 3–1 Başakşehir.
What were the win probabilities for Göztepe vs Başakşehir?
Fipster's model gave Göztepe a 95% chance of winning, Başakşehir a 2% chance, and a 3% chance of a draw.
How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
Fipster's model assigned this prediction 95% confidence — a high-confidence call.