Gornik Zabrze vs Monaco
Monaco edges out Gornik in five-goal thriller
A pulsating Europa Conference League clash saw Monaco sneak a narrow victory despite Gornik's spirited fightback.
Monaco took an early lead through M. Biereth and extended it after the break with goals from L. Camara and Paris Josua Brunner. Gornik Zabrze responded with strikes from E. Prekop and S. Liseth, keeping the contest alive, but ultimately fell short in a 3-2 defeat. This result defied Fipster's high-confidence prediction of a Gornik win, proving the visitors' resilience in a tightly contested encounter.
Outcome probability
The upcoming playoff clash between Gornik Zabrze and Monaco promises a competitive encounter, with both sides eager to advance. Despite limited player data, the prediction leans towards a narrow home victory, reflecting a closely fought contest.
Match factors
No confirmed absences for either team
Both Gornik Zabrze and Monaco have no confirmed injured or out players, so full squads are available.
Limited player-level scoring data for both teams
Neither team has top scorers or assisters data available, limiting individual impact predictions.
Prediction favors home win despite limited data
Model predicts Gornik Zabrze to win 2-1 at home with 0.85 confidence despite sparse player stats.
The context
This playoff round fixture sees Gornik Zabrze and Monaco face off with full squads available, as neither team has confirmed absences. Both sides will be looking to make the most of this opportunity to progress, making for an intriguing tactical battle.
Key facts
- 1.Gornik Zabrze have the highest probability of winning at 49.6%.
- 2.The most probable fulltime scoreline is 2-1 in favour of Gornik Zabrze.
- 3.Halftime score prediction is 1-0, consistent with the fulltime result.
- 4.No confirmed injuries for either team, so full squads are available.
- 5.The match is expected to see around four cards in total.
- 6.Monaco have a 25% chance of winning, less than the home side.
- 7.Draw probability stands at 28.3%, making a stalemate less likely.
Analysis
Aggregated probabilities favour a home win for Gornik Zabrze, with a 2-1 scoreline the most likely outcome. The halftime prediction of 1-0 suggests a tight first half, with the home side edging ahead before Monaco respond. The match is expected to be competitive, with an anticipated total of four cards indicating a lively contest.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Gornik Zabrze
Away — Monaco
Prediction
We predict Gornik Zabrze to take the win 2-1, building on a strong start to lead at halftime. Monaco will push back, but the home side's resilience should see them through in this playoff round encounter.
The verdict
In summary, expect a spirited performance from Gornik Zabrze as they aim to overcome Monaco in a closely contested playoff match. The predicted 2-1 scoreline reflects the competitive nature of the fixture and the home side's slight edge.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Biereth
Assist: Detourbet
Detourbet
Yellow Card
Camara
Prekop
Assist: Janža
Vanderson
Detourbet
Paris Josua Brunner
Assist: Idumbo-Muzambo
Yellow Card
Sadílek
Prekop
Dietz
Yellow Card
Peter
Liseth
Assist: Paulo Bernardo
Mawissa Elebi
Paulo Bernardo
Biereth
Zakaria
Janža
Yellow Card
Match Statistics
Gornik Zabrze
4-3-3Starting XI
- 1P. SchulzeG
- 8Paulo BernardoM
- 11E. PrekopF
- 18L. SadílekM
- 19PeterF
- 20Josema SánchezD
- 26R. JanickiD
- 33M. KhlanF
- 61M. SáčekD
- 64E. JanžaD
- 66M. DietzM
Substitutes
- 2P. WarczakD
- 4P. BochniewiczD
- 7Y. Ikia DimiM
- 14J. KubickiM
- 21O. ZmrzlýD
- 23S. LisethF
- 29W. KaniaG
- 34B. DurdovM
- 82K. UrbaÅskiM
- 99T. LoskaG
Monaco
4-4-2Starting XI
- 1L. HrádeckýG
- 2VandersonD
- 3E. DierD
- 6D. ZakariaM
- 7M. DetourbetM
- 13C. Mawissa ElebiD
- 14M. BierethF
- 15L. CamaraM
- 17S. Idumbo-MuzamboM
- 29Paris Josua BrunnerF
- 72Sadibou SanéD
Substitutes
- 4J. TezeD
- 5T. KehrerD
- 16P. KöhnG
- 19Pape CabralM
- 20Flávio NazinhoD
- 44S. NibombéM
- 49I. ToureM
- 50Y. LienardG
Gornik Zabrze
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erik Prekop | F | 66 | 7.3 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | — | 1/1 |
| Maksym Khlan | F | 79 | 7.3 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | 0/2 |
| Paulo Bernardo | M | 79 | 6.9 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | — |
| Maximilian Dietz | M | 79 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Erik Janža(C) | D | 79 | 6.6 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | — |
| Lukáš Sadílek | M | 66 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| Michal Sáček | D | 79 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1/1 |
| Peter González | F | 74 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | — | 2 | 1/1 |
| Josema | D | 79 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | 1/1 |
| Rafał Janicki | D | 79 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Philipp Schulze | G | 79 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Wiktor Kania | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Bruno Durdov | M | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Yvan Ikia Dimi | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Patryk Warczak | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ondřej Zmrzlý | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jarosław Kubicki | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Paweł Bochniewicz | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tomasz Loska | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sondre Liseth | F | 13 | 7.5 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Kacper Urbański | M | 13 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Monaco
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lamine Camara | M | 79 | 7.9 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Paris Brunner | F | 79 | 7.9 | 1 | — | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1/1 |
| Mika Biereth | F | 79 | 7.2 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Lukáš Hrádecký | G | 79 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Denis Zakaria(C) | M | 79 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Stanis Idumbo Muzambo | M | 79 | 6.9 | — | 1 | — | — | 2 | 1/2 |
| Eric Dier | D | 79 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Mathys Detourbet | M | 55 | 6.5 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Christian Mawissa | D | 79 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/2 |
| Sadibou Sané | D | 79 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Vanderson | D | 55 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Pape Cabral | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Thilo Kehrer | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Philipp Köhn | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Yann Lienard | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nazinho | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Samuel Nibombe | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ilane Touré | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jordan Teze | D | 24 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |






