GIL Vicente vs Rio Ave
Gil Vicente snatch narrow win over Rio Ave
A late penalty from Héctor Hernández seals the points for Gil Vicente.
Gil Vicente edged out Rio Ave 1-0 in a tight Primeira Liga encounter, with Héctor Hernández converting a penalty in the 87th minute to break the deadlock. The match was a close contest until that decisive moment, reflecting the narrow margin of victory. Fipster's prediction of a home win was on the money, albeit with a slightly different scoreline in mind.
Analysis
The new season kicks off with GIL Vicente facing Rio Ave in what promises to be a tight encounter. Both teams start on equal footing in the league table, setting the stage for a competitive match.
This is the first round of the regular season, with both GIL Vicente and Rio Ave yet to register any points. Historically, their head-to-head meetings have been fairly balanced, adding intrigue to this early clash.
Looking at their past 20 meetings, GIL Vicente hold a slight advantage with seven wins compared to Rio Ave's five, alongside eight draws. Matches between these sides typically yield around two goals, aligning well with the predicted 2-1 scoreline. Both teams are closely ranked in the league, suggesting a contest of similar strength and quality.
Prediction
Despite the close probabilities for all outcomes, the prediction leans towards a home win for GIL Vicente by 2-1. This scoreline holds the highest likelihood among home victories, supported by a 35% confidence level. Expect a competitive match with GIL Vicente just edging ahead.
Outcome probability
Key Takeaways
In summary, anticipate a closely fought game with GIL Vicente narrowly overcoming Rio Ave. Fans should prepare for a match that lives up to the balanced history between these sides, with a slight home advantage tipping the scales.
- GIL Vicente have won 7 of the 20 head-to-head matches against Rio Ave.
- Rio Ave have won 5 of their 20 meetings with GIL Vicente.
- There have been 8 draws in their 20 encounters.
- Head-to-head matches average 2.0 goals per game.
- GIL Vicente are ranked 4th in the league with 0 points from 0 games.
- Rio Ave are ranked 5th in the league with 0 points from 0 games.
- The predicted full-time score is 2-1 in favour of GIL Vicente.
- The prediction confidence for a home win is 35%.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — GIL Vicente
Away — Rio Ave
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Weverson
Ryan Guilherme
Cáseres
Yellow Card
Abbey
Yellow Card
Ntoi
Red Card
Unknown
Cáseres
David Moreira
Lausen
Pinto Martins
Unknown
Blesa
Diogo Nascimento
Brabec
Yellow Card
Héctor Hernández
Penalty
Liavas
Yellow Card
Yellow Card
Match Statistics
GIL Vicente
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 4M. Elimbi GilbertD
- 5F. CáseresM
- 10Santi GarcíaM
- 11Joelson FernandesM
- 12A. LausenM
- 20Gil Pinto MartinsM
- 26WeversonD
- 29Carlos EduardoF
- 30LucãoG
- 39Jonathan BuatuD
- 47Ricardo EsgaioD
Substitutes
- 1A. PicornellG
- 2José SilvaD
- 3EspigaresD
- 6Zé CarlosM
- 7T. TouréF
- 23Héctor HernándezF
- 27A. MoreiraF
- 32M. FernándezM
- 45David MoreiraD
- 86Diogo Ferreira PriosteM
Rio Ave
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 5A. NtoiM
- 6N. AbbeyD
- 7Diogo BezerraM
- 8Ryan GuilhermeM
- 11J. BlesaF
- 23F. PetrassoD
- 39Gustavo ManchaD
- 54G. LiavasD
- 90Diogo NascimentoM
- 99E. van der GouwG
Substitutes
- 9Tamble MonteiroF
- 14J. BrabecD
- 17M. VrousaiF
- 22K. ChamorroG
- 25Rafael GenuinoF
- 44T. NikitscherM
- 63J. LombotoD
- 67SamuelF
- 77D. ŠpikićF
GIL Vicente
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ricardo Esgaio | D | 95 | 7.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Jonathan Buatu(C) | D | 95 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Santi García | M | 95 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/4 |
| Lucão | G | 95 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Facundo Cáseres | M | 65 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Marvin Elimbi Gilbert | D | 95 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Joelson Fernandes | M | 95 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| Weverson | D | 19 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Carlos Eduardo | F | 95 | 6.5 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | — |
| Andreas Lausen | M | 76 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/2 |
| Gil Martins | M | 77 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Andre Picornell | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Agustín Moreira | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Diogo Prioste | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Martin Fernández | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Antonio Espigares | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Zé Carlos | M | 30 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 0/1 |
| Héctor Hernández | F | 19 | 7.0 | 1 | — | 2 | 2 | — | — |
| José Silva | D | 30 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| David Moreira | D | 46 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tidjany Touré | F | 18 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
Rio Ave
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ennio Van Der Gouw | G | 95 | 7.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Francisco Petrasso(C) | D | 95 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Georgios Liavas | D | 95 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nelson Abbey | D | 95 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| Gustavo Mancha | D | 95 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Diogo Bezerra | M | 83 | 6.7 | — | — | 2 | — | — | 2/4 |
| Diogo Nascimento | M | 83 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jalen Blesa | F | 82 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0/2 |
| Ryan Guilherme | M | 26 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Andreas Ndoj | M | 47 | 5.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Samuel da Silva Alves | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kevin Chamorro | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Julien Lomboto | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rafael Lobato | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tamás Nikitscher | M | 45 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tamblé Monteiro | F | 69 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dario Špikić | F | 12 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Marios Vrousai | F | 13 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jakub Brabec | D | 12 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win GIL Vicente vs Rio Ave?
- Fipster's AI model predicted GIL Vicente to win against Rio Ave.
- What score did Fipster predict for GIL Vicente vs Rio Ave?
- Fipster predicted a final score of GIL Vicente 2–1 Rio Ave.
- What were the win probabilities for GIL Vicente vs Rio Ave?
- Fipster's model gave GIL Vicente a 35% chance of winning, Rio Ave a 32% chance, and a 33% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 35% confidence — a low-confidence call.