GIL Vicente vs Maritimo
Gil Vicente held by Maritimo's last-gasp strike
Murilo's early opener nearly sealed it before Ayuma's stoppage-time equaliser.
Gil Vicente looked set for a comfortable win after Murilo's early goal in the seventh minute. However, Maritimo snatched a dramatic equaliser through I. Ayuma deep into stoppage time, denying the home side victory. This 1-1 draw defied Fipster's high-confidence prediction of a 2-0 Gil Vicente win, proving football's unpredictability once again.
Outcome probability
As the seventh round of the season unfolds, Gil Vicente and Maritimo, sitting 9th and 10th respectively, prepare for a closely matched encounter. Both teams have identical points, but subtle edges in attack and defence could tip the scales.
Match factors
Héctor Hernández's scoring form boosts Gil Vicente attack
Héctor Hernández leads Gil Vicente with 3 goals in 5 games, showing strong finishing and home scoring ability.
Gil Vicente's defensive solidity supports clean sheet likelihood
Gil Vicente has kept clean sheets in 3 of last 5 matches, conceding only 0.3 goals per home game on average.
Maritimo's defensive struggles may hinder scoring chances
Maritimo has conceded in all last 5 matches, showing defensive vulnerability that Gil Vicente can exploit.
Gil Pinto Martins' dual threat as scorer and assister
Gil Pinto Martins contributes both goals and assists, enhancing Gil Vicente's midfield creativity and goal threat.
Maritimo's key defender Romain Correia adds rare goal threat
Romain Correia scored recently and maintains high defensive ratings, adding value on both ends.
The context
Gil Vicente have accumulated 7 points from 5 games with a record of 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, mirroring Maritimo's identical tally and record. This parity in the league table sets the stage for a competitive fixture where home advantage and recent form will be crucial.
Key insights
Héctor Hernández
GIL Vicente
Leads Gil Vicente with 3 goals in 5 games, showing strong finishing and home scoring ability.
Primeira Liga 26/273 goals in 5 games, 2 at home
Gil Pinto Martins
GIL Vicente
Contributes both goals and assists, enhancing Gil Vicente's midfield creativity and goal threat.
Primeira Liga 26/271 goal and 1 assist in 5 games
- R
Romain Correia
Maritimo
Scored recently and maintains high defensive ratings, adding value on both ends.
Primeira Liga 26/271 goal and high defensive rating in last away match
Analysis
Gil Vicente's attack is spearheaded by Héctor Hernández, who boasts 3 goals in 5 games, including a strong home scoring record. His ability to find the net consistently at home gives Gil Vicente a clear offensive edge. Midfielder Gil Pinto Martins adds creativity with both goals and assists, enhancing their threat. Defensively, Gil Vicente have been solid, keeping clean sheets in 3 of their last 5 matches and conceding just 0.3 goals per home game on average. Maritimo, meanwhile, have struggled defensively, conceding in all their last 5 matches, which could be their undoing. Although Maritimo's defender Romain Correia offers a rare goal threat and maintains high defensive ratings, it may not be enough to overcome Gil Vicente's home advantage and attacking prowess.
Key facts
- 1.Gil Vicente and Maritimo are 9th and 10th in the league respectively, both with 7 points from 5 games.
- 2.Héctor Hernández leads Gil Vicente with 3 goals in 5 games, including 2 at home.
- 3.Gil Vicente have kept clean sheets in 3 of their last 5 matches, conceding 0.3 goals per home game on average.
- 4.Maritimo have conceded in all of their last 5 matches, highlighting defensive issues.
- 5.Gil Pinto Martins contributes both goals and assists for Gil Vicente, adding midfield creativity.
- 6.Maritimo's Romain Correia scored recently and maintains high defensive ratings.
Prediction
The forecast is a 2-0 victory for Gil Vicente, with a halftime lead of 1-0. The match is expected to be disciplined, with around four cards shown. Gil Vicente's home form and attacking firepower should see them comfortably through against a Maritimo side that has defensive vulnerabilities.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — GIL Vicente
Away — Maritimo
The verdict
In summary, Gil Vicente's blend of attacking efficiency and defensive resilience at home makes them the favourites to secure all three points. Maritimo will need to tighten up at the back and find a way to break down a well-organised Gil Vicente side if they are to avoid defeat.
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Murilo
Assist: Pinto Martins
Danilović
Santi García
Yellow Card
Rodrigo Andrade
Yellow Card
Dominguez
Butzke
Héctor Hernández
Tejón
Rodrigo Andrade
Murilo
Pinto Martins
Lausen
Ayuma
Assist: Maurice Osei Boakye
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Porto | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | +13 | 18 |
| 8 |  Estrela | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 10 |
| 9 |  GIL Vicente | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 |
| 10 |  Alverca | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 8 |
| 11 |  Maritimo | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -4 | 8 |
| 12 |  Moreirense | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -6 | 8 |
Match Statistics
GIL Vicente
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 4M. Elimbi GilbertD
- 10Santi GarcíaM
- 12A. LausenM
- 20Gil Pinto MartinsM
- 23Héctor HernándezF
- 30LucãoG
- 39Jonathan BuatuD
- 45David MoreiraD
- 47Ricardo EsgaioD
- 77MuriloM
- 86Diogo Ferreira PriosteM
Substitutes
- 2José SilvaD
- 3EspigaresD
- 7T. TouréF
- 11Joelson FernandesF
- 17Sergio BermejoF
- 19GuilhermeM
- 26WeversonD
- 27A. MoreiraF
- 32M. FernándezM
- 82Gonçalo Maia PereiraM
- 94SamuelG
- 99M. KabaF
Maritimo
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 2Igor JuliãoD
- 6Rodrigo AndradeM
- 8M. DominguezM
- 10Martín TejónM
- 14Raphael GuzzoM
- 17Adrián ButzkeF
- 18V. DanilovićM
- 22G. SzalaiD
- 23Paulo HenriqueD
- 30Fran VieitesG
- 44Romain CorreiaD
Substitutes
- 1Gonçalo TabuaçoG
- 5Nilton VarelaD
- 12M. BassouaminaF
- 13Alfonso PastorG
- 21I. AlaniM
- 27S. BambaF
- 35B. LimbombeF
- 66I. AyumaM
- 90Maurice Osei BoakyeF
GIL Vicente
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Murilo | M | 84 | 8.0 | 1 | — | 4 | 1 | — | 2/4 |
| Gil Pinto Martins | M | 88 | 7.5 | — | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1/2 |
| Ricardo Esgaio | D | 90 | 7.4 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 1/1 |
| David Moreira | D | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 3 | 0/1 |
| M. Elimbi Gilbert | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/1 |
| Santi García | M | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | 5 | 1 | 3 | 3/4 |
| Diogo Ferreira Prioste | M | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0/1 |
| Jonathan Buatu | D | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Lucão | G | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Lausen | M | 88 | 6.8 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Joelson Fernandes | F | 6 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Espigares | D | 2 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Kaba | F | 19 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Fernández | M | 2 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Héctor Hernández | F | 71 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| T. Touré | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sergio Bermejo | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Moreira | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Weverson | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Guilherme | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| José Silva | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gonçalo Maia Pereira | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Samuel | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Maritimo
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| I. Ayuma | M | 23 | 8.0 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/1 |
| Fran Vieites | G | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Maurice Osei Boakye | F | 23 | 7.0 | — | 1 | — | — | 2 | — |
| V. Danilović | M | 46 | 6.8 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Romain Correia | D | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Paulo Henrique | D | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/4 |
| M. Dominguez | M | 67 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| M. Bassouamina | F | 12 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Igor Julião | D | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Adrián Butzke | F | 67 | 6.4 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/2 |
| Rodrigo Andrade | M | 78 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Nilton Varela | D | 44 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/3 |
| G. Szalai | D | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| I. Alani | M | 12 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Raphael Guzzo | M | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Martín Tejón | M | 78 | 6.0 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | 2/2 |
| Alfonso Pastor | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| B. Limbombe | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gonçalo Tabuaço | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Bamba | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win GIL Vicente vs Maritimo?
- Fipster's AI model predicted GIL Vicente to win against Maritimo.
- What score did Fipster predict for GIL Vicente vs Maritimo?
- Fipster predicted a final score of GIL Vicente 2–0 Maritimo.
- What were the win probabilities for GIL Vicente vs Maritimo?
- Fipster's model gave GIL Vicente a 77% chance of winning, Maritimo a 11% chance, and a 12% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 77% confidence — a high-confidence call.