GIL Vicente vs Guimaraes
Your time to shine.
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Challenge a friendGil Vicente and Guimaraes face off in what promises to be a tight encounter in the regular season's 10th round. Both teams will be looking to improve their league standing, but the data suggests a narrow win for Gil Vicente.
The context
Gil Vicente currently sit 6th in the league with 14 points from 8 games, showing better form than Guimaraes, who are 11th with 8 points from 9 matches. Historically, in 19 meetings, Guimaraes have a slight edge with 9 wins to Gil Vicente's 6, but recent form favours the home side.
Match factors
Gil Vicente's Defensive Solidity
Gil Vicente defenders show above-average tackling and passing accuracy, likely to contain Guimaraes attack
Guimaraes' Reliance on Midfield Creators
Miguel Nogueira leads assists with 3 this season, key to unlocking defenses
Gil Vicente's Home Defensive Form
Gil Vicente has conceded only 0.6 goals per home game, supporting predicted clean sheet
Full Squad Availability for Both Teams
No confirmed injuries or suspensions, teams likely field strongest lineups
Analysis
Gil Vicente's defensive solidity is a key factor, with defenders like M. Elimbi Gilbert boasting an 89% passing accuracy and a high duel win rate, while Jonathan Buatu remains disciplined with zero yellow cards and a 92% passing accuracy. Guimaraes rely heavily on creative midfielders such as Miguel Nogueira, who leads with 3 assists this season. The predicted 1-0 scoreline aligns with Gil Vicente's strong home defensive record, conceding only 0.6 goals per game, suggesting a tight match that breaks open late.
Key insights
- M
M. Elimbi Gilbert
GIL Vicente
Gil Vicente's defensive solidity is bolstered by Gilbert's 89% passing accuracy and 64.8% duel win rate, well above league averages.
Primeira Liga 26/27Passing accuracy 89%, duel win rate 64.8% in competition 94

Miguel Nogueira
Guimaraes
Nogueira is Guimaraes' creative hub with 3 assists this season, crucial for unlocking defences.
Primeira Liga 26/273 assists in 8 apps in competition 94
- J
Jonathan Buatu
GIL Vicente
Buatu's disciplined defending with zero yellow cards and 92% passing accuracy helps maintain Gil Vicente's defensive strength.
Primeira Liga 26/27Zero yellow cards, 92% passing accuracy in competition 94
Prediction
Expect a goalless first half as both sides feel each other out, with Gil Vicente edging the contest in the second half to secure a 1-0 victory. Toni Borevković is the most likely scorer, given his threat on set pieces and recent form. The match should see moderate discipline, with around four cards expected.
Key facts
- 1.Gil Vicente rank 6th with 14 points from 8 games (W4 D2 L2).
- 2.Guimaraes are 11th with 8 points from 9 games (W2 D2 L5).
- 3.Gil Vicente have a points-per-game advantage of 1.75 over Guimaraes' 0.89.
- 4.In 19 head-to-head meetings, Guimaraes lead with 9 wins to Gil Vicente's 6.
- 5.Gil Vicente concede only 0.6 goals per home game on average.
- 6.Toni Borevković has scored 1 goal in 3 appearances this season.
- 7.Miguel Nogueira leads Guimaraes with 3 assists in 8 games.
- 8.The most likely total number of cards in the match is 4.
The verdict
In summary, Gil Vicente's superior league form and defensive strengths should see them narrowly overcome Guimaraes. While the visitors have creative sparks, the home side's organisation and home advantage are likely to be decisive in this closely fought encounter.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — GIL Vicente
No standout top scorers flagged for GIL Vicente
Away — Guimaraes
Prediction generated 24 Oct 2026, 21:28 UTC · Fipster Model v1.165
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | +16 | 24 | |
| 5 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | +5 | 17 | |
| 6 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 14 | |
| 7 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 14 | |
| 10 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -3 | 10 | |
| 11 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 8 | |
| 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -7 | 8 |
Prediction Q&A
- Who does Fipster predict will win GIL Vicente vs Guimaraes?
- Fipster's AI model predicts GIL Vicente to win against Guimaraes.
- What is the predicted score for GIL Vicente vs Guimaraes?
- Fipster predicts a final score of GIL Vicente 1–0 Guimaraes.
- What are the win probabilities for GIL Vicente vs Guimaraes?
- Fipster's model gives GIL Vicente a 57% chance of winning, Guimaraes a 21% chance, and a 22% chance of a draw.
- How confident is Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigns this prediction 57% confidence — a medium-confidence call.




