GIL Vicente vs Guimaraes

Primeira LigaMatchweek 10
Estádio Cidade de Barcelos, Barcelos · 12,046 cap
Fipster Pick
Home Winmedium

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Gil Vicente and Guimaraes face off in what promises to be a tight encounter in the regular season's 10th round. Both teams will be looking to improve their league standing, but the data suggests a narrow win for Gil Vicente.

FıpsterPredicted Scoreline
Pre-Match
1–0
Half-time0–0
GIL Vicente Win
MEDIUM
Confidence
GIL Vicente 57%Draw 22%Guimaraes 21%

The context

Gil Vicente currently sit 6th in the league with 14 points from 8 games, showing better form than Guimaraes, who are 11th with 8 points from 9 matches. Historically, in 19 meetings, Guimaraes have a slight edge with 9 wins to Gil Vicente's 6, but recent form favours the home side.

Match factors

Tactical Advantagehigh

Gil Vicente's Defensive Solidity

Gil Vicente defenders show above-average tackling and passing accuracy, likely to contain Guimaraes attack

Statistical Edgemedium

Guimaraes' Reliance on Midfield Creators

Miguel Nogueira leads assists with 3 this season, key to unlocking defenses

Form Momentummedium

Gil Vicente's Home Defensive Form

Gil Vicente has conceded only 0.6 goals per home game, supporting predicted clean sheet

Injury Impacthigh

Full Squad Availability for Both Teams

No confirmed injuries or suspensions, teams likely field strongest lineups

Analysis

Gil Vicente's defensive solidity is a key factor, with defenders like M. Elimbi Gilbert boasting an 89% passing accuracy and a high duel win rate, while Jonathan Buatu remains disciplined with zero yellow cards and a 92% passing accuracy. Guimaraes rely heavily on creative midfielders such as Miguel Nogueira, who leads with 3 assists this season. The predicted 1-0 scoreline aligns with Gil Vicente's strong home defensive record, conceding only 0.6 goals per game, suggesting a tight match that breaks open late.

Key insights

Prediction

Expect a goalless first half as both sides feel each other out, with Gil Vicente edging the contest in the second half to secure a 1-0 victory. Toni Borevković is the most likely scorer, given his threat on set pieces and recent form. The match should see moderate discipline, with around four cards expected.

Key facts

  1. 1.Gil Vicente rank 6th with 14 points from 8 games (W4 D2 L2).
  2. 2.Guimaraes are 11th with 8 points from 9 games (W2 D2 L5).
  3. 3.Gil Vicente have a points-per-game advantage of 1.75 over Guimaraes' 0.89.
  4. 4.In 19 head-to-head meetings, Guimaraes lead with 9 wins to Gil Vicente's 6.
  5. 5.Gil Vicente concede only 0.6 goals per home game on average.
  6. 6.Toni Borevković has scored 1 goal in 3 appearances this season.
  7. 7.Miguel Nogueira leads Guimaraes with 3 assists in 8 games.
  8. 8.The most likely total number of cards in the match is 4.

The verdict

In summary, Gil Vicente's superior league form and defensive strengths should see them narrowly overcome Guimaraes. While the visitors have creative sparks, the home side's organisation and home advantage are likely to be decisive in this closely fought encounter.

Player Insights

Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists

Home — GIL Vicente

No standout top scorers flagged for GIL Vicente

Away — Guimaraes

Toni Borevković

Toni Borevković

Defender

Guimaraes

Total Goals
1
League avg: 0.37
3 played
2 starts
193 mins
~64 mins/game
Samu

Samu

Midfielder

Guimaraes

Total Goals
1
League avg: 0.37
8 played
7 starts
652 mins
~82 mins/game
Alioune Ndoye

Alioune Ndoye

Attacker

Guimaraes

Total Goals
1
League avg: 0.37
6 played
5 starts
416 mins
~69 mins/game

Prediction generated 24 Oct 2026, 21:28 UTC · Fipster Model v1.165

Prediction Q&A

Who does Fipster predict will win GIL Vicente vs Guimaraes?
Fipster's AI model predicts GIL Vicente to win against Guimaraes.
What is the predicted score for GIL Vicente vs Guimaraes?
Fipster predicts a final score of GIL Vicente 1–0 Guimaraes.
What are the win probabilities for GIL Vicente vs Guimaraes?
Fipster's model gives GIL Vicente a 57% chance of winning, Guimaraes a 21% chance, and a 22% chance of a draw.
How confident is Fipster in this prediction?
Fipster's model assigns this prediction 57% confidence — a medium-confidence call.