GIL Vicente vs FC Porto
Porto nudge past Gil Vicente
Borja Sainz's second-half strike secures a narrow win for the visitors.
FC Porto edged a tight contest at Gil Vicente with a solitary goal from Borja Sainz in the 63rd minute. The match was a slender affair, with Porto managing to hold on to their slim advantage. Fipster's high-confidence prediction of a 1-0 away win proved spot on, confirming the forecast without fuss.
Outcome probability
As the regular season unfolds, GIL Vicente face a stern test against FC Porto, who have been imperious so far. With Porto leading the league and GIL Vicente sitting mid-table, this clash promises a tactical battle with a slight edge to the visitors.
Match factors
GIL Vicente's key attackers show solid scoring form
Héctor Hernández leads with 3 goals in 6 games, supported by Murilo and Gil Pinto Martins, providing goal threat despite predicted loss
Gil Pinto Martins' creativity vital for GIL Vicente attack
Leading assister with 2 assists and high minutes, he links midfield to attack effectively
Defensive solidity from Esgaio and Gilbert
Both defenders exceed league average tackles and interceptions, key to limiting FC Porto's strong offense
FC Porto's unbeaten run and scoring consistency
Porto has won all 7 games, scoring 2.5 goals per game on average, indicating strong form advantage
No confirmed absences for GIL Vicente or FC Porto
Full squad availability supports predicted close contest despite Porto's strength
The context
FC Porto currently top the league with a perfect record of seven wins from seven games, boasting a goal difference of +15. GIL Vicente, in contrast, are sixth with 11 points and a modest +1 goal difference. Historically, Porto have dominated this fixture, winning 15 of the last 20 encounters, which adds an extra psychological layer to this match.
Key insights
Héctor Hernández
GIL Vicente
Top scorer for GIL Vicente with 3 goals in 6 games, providing a key attacking threat despite the predicted loss.
Primeira Liga 26/273 goals in 6 appearances
Gil Pinto Martins
GIL Vicente
Creative midfielder leading with 2 assists and high minutes, crucial for linking play and creating chances.
Primeira Liga 26/272 assists in 6 appearances, 0.33 assists/game
- R
Ricardo Esgaio
GIL Vicente
Defensive stalwart with above average tackles per game, vital for trying to contain Porto's attack.
Primeira Liga 26/2716 tackles in 6 games, 2.67 tackles/game
Analysis
Porto's attacking consistency, averaging 2.5 goals per game, contrasts with GIL Vicente's more modest scoring. Despite this, GIL Vicente's Héctor Hernández has been a bright spot, netting three goals in six appearances and acting as a key threat. Midfielder Gil Pinto Martins also plays a crucial creative role with two assists this season. Defensively, GIL Vicente rely on the tackling prowess of Ricardo Esgaio and M. Elimbi Gilbert to contain Porto's potent attack. However, Porto's unbeaten streak and superior goal difference suggest they will edge this encounter.
Key facts
- 1.FC Porto have won 15 of the last 20 matches against GIL Vicente.
- 2.FC Porto lead the league with 21 points from 7 games; GIL Vicente are 6th with 11 points.
- 3.Porto's goal difference (+15) far exceeds GIL Vicente's (+1).
- 4.Porto have won all 7 league games this season, scoring an average of 2.5 goals per game.
- 5.GIL Vicente's Héctor Hernández is their top scorer with 3 goals in 6 games.
- 6.Gil Pinto Martins leads GIL Vicente with 2 assists and high average minutes.
- 7.Defenders Ricardo Esgaio and M. Elimbi Gilbert provide solid defensive stats for GIL Vicente.
Prediction
The forecast is a narrow 1-0 victory for FC Porto, with the only goal likely coming in the first half. The prediction reflects Porto's dominance and ability to control matches, while GIL Vicente may struggle to break through a disciplined defence. Expect a competitive game with a few cards, but ultimately Porto to maintain their winning momentum.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — GIL Vicente
Away — FC Porto
No standout top scorers flagged for FC Porto
The verdict
While GIL Vicente have shown resilience and some attacking promise, FC Porto's form and historical edge make them the favourites to take all three points. A tight scoreline is anticipated, but the visitors' quality should shine through in the end.
Prediction generated 10 Oct 2026, 18:58 UTC · Fipster Model v1.163
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Gabri Veiga
Rosario
Yellow Card
Walace
André Silva
Joelson Fernandes
Lausen
Sainz
Rosario
Sainz
Ferreira Prioste
Santi García
Elimbi Gilbert
Red Card
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Porto | 10 | 10 | 0 | 0 | +21 | 30 |
| 2 |  Benfica | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | +18 | 22 |
| 6 |  Academico Viseu | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 20 |
| 7 |  GIL Vicente | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 14 |
| 8 |  SC Braga | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | +1 | 14 |
Match Statistics
GIL Vicente
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 4M. Elimbi GilbertD
- 9WalaceF
- 10Santi GarcíaM
- 11Joelson FernandesM
- 12A. LausenM
- 30LucãoG
- 39Jonathan BuatuD
- 45David MoreiraD
- 47Ricardo EsgaioD
- 77MuriloM
- 86Diogo Ferreira PriosteM
Substitutes
- 1A. PicornellG
- 2José SilvaD
- 3EspigaresD
- 6Zé CarlosM
- 7T. TouréF
- 19GuilhermeM
- 20Gil Pinto MartinsM
- 27A. MoreiraF
- 32M. FernándezM
- 82Gonçalo Maia PereiraM
- 94SamuelG
- 99M. KabaF
FC Porto
4-3-3Starting XI
- 4J. KiwiorD
- 5J. BednarekD
- 8Victor Mow FroholdtM
- 10Gabri VeigaM
- 11Pepê AquinoF
- 12Z. SanusiD
- 13P. RosarioM
- 17Borja SainzF
- 19André SilvaF
- 20Alberto BaioD
- 99Diogo CostaG
Substitutes
- 6C. SmallingD
- 9SamuF
- 14Cláudio RamosG
- 16Hwang In-BeomM
- 18N. PérezD
- 22A. VarelaM
- 24AndorinhaG
- 29S. GiménezF
- 37Gabriel MecF
- 42S. FofanaM
- 52Martim FernandesD
- 74Francisco MouraD
GIL Vicente
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Buatu | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lucão | G | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Santi García | M | 76 | 7.1 | — | — | 2 | — | 4 | 1/1 |
| Ricardo Esgaio | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Diogo Ferreira Prioste | M | 75 | 6.8 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Walace | F | 60 | 6.7 | — | — | 3 | — | — | — |
| A. Lausen | M | 60 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Murilo | M | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2/4 |
| Joelson Fernandes | M | 60 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/3 |
| M. Kaba | F | 30 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| David Moreira | D | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| T. Touré | F | 15 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gil Pinto Martins | M | 30 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Zé Carlos | M | 30 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Guilherme | M | 14 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Elimbi Gilbert | D | 84 | 5.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| Espigares | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Moreira | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| José Silva | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gonçalo Maia Pereira | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Samuel | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Fernández | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Picornell | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
FC Porto
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Bednarek | D | 90 | 7.9 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | — |
| Borja Sainz | F | 72 | 7.9 | 1 | — | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0/1 |
| J. Kiwior | D | 90 | 7.6 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Z. Sanusi | D | 90 | 7.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Hwang In-Beom | M | 44 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Gabri Veiga | M | 46 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | — | 3 | 2/2 |
| Alberto Baio | D | 90 | 7.1 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Diogo Costa | G | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Varela | M | 18 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| André Silva | F | 60 | 6.6 | — | — | 2 | — | — | 1/3 |
| Pepê Aquino | F | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1/3 |
| S. Giménez | F | 18 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| P. Rosario | M | 72 | 6.4 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| Samu | F | 30 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Victor Mow Froholdt | M | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Cláudio Ramos | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Pérez | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Fofana | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gabriel Mec | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| C. Smalling | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Martim Fernandes | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Andorinha | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Francisco Moura | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win GIL Vicente vs FC Porto?
- Fipster's AI model predicted FC Porto to win against GIL Vicente.
- What score did Fipster predict for GIL Vicente vs FC Porto?
- Fipster predicted a final score of GIL Vicente 0–1 FC Porto.
- What were the win probabilities for GIL Vicente vs FC Porto?
- Fipster's model gave GIL Vicente a 2% chance of winning, FC Porto a 95% chance, and a 3% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 95% confidence — a high-confidence call.