Getafe vs Sevilla
Getafe rally past Sevilla for solid win
A spirited comeback sees Getafe overturn an early deficit to claim a 3-1 victory.
Sevilla took an early lead through Kike Salas at 19 minutes, but Getafe responded strongly after the break with goals from E. Ünal and M. Satriano in the second half. O. Mangala sealed the win deep into stoppage time, completing a confident 3-1 turnaround. Fipster's high-confidence prediction for a home win was spot on, though the margin was even more emphatic than expected.
Outcome probability
Getafe and Sevilla face off in what promises to be a closely contested La Liga fixture. With both sides eager to climb the table, expect a match where every goal counts.
Match factors
Getafe's home scoring streak boosts confidence
Getafe has scored in all last 5 home games, showing strong attacking form at home
Satriano's superior home goal rate
Satriano averages 0.4 goals per home game, above league attacker average of 0.241
Sevilla's consistent scoring streak
Sevilla has scored in all last 5 games, indicating strong offensive momentum
Sevilla missing key defenders and midfielders
Sevilla's confirmed outs include key defenders and midfielders, weakening defense
The context
Getafe currently sit 14th in the league with 8 points from 8 games, while Sevilla are in a stronger position at 5th with 13 points from 7 matches. Sevilla boast a better goal difference and points-per-game ratio, but Getafe's home form and recent scoring streak provide a solid foundation for a competitive encounter.
Key insights
- M
Martín Satriano Costa
Getafe
Satriano's home scoring rate of 0.4 goals per game is well above the league average, making him a key threat at home.
La Liga 26/272 goals in 9 appearances, 0.4 goals/game at home
Francho Serrano
Getafe
Serrano's creativity and assist rate at home make him crucial in linking midfield to attack.
La Liga 26/271 assist in 7 appearances, 0.5 assists/game at home
Iván Azón
Getafe
Azón's recent form and home scoring rate suggest he will be involved in the goals.
La Liga 26/271 goal in 5 appearances, 0.5 goals/game at home
- S
Sevilla Defence
Sevilla
Sevilla's defensive line is weakened by confirmed absences, potentially impacting their ability to contain Getafe's attack.
La Liga 26/27Confirmed key defenders and midfielders out
Analysis
Getafe have scored in all of their last five home games, showcasing a reliable attacking threat on their own turf. Martín Satriano Costa leads the charge with a commendable 0.4 goals per home game, making him a key figure to watch. Sevilla, known as Los Nervionenses, have also been consistent scorers, finding the net in their last five outings. However, their defensive line is weakened by confirmed absences, which could be exploited by Getafe's forwards. The predicted halftime score of 1-0 suggests Getafe will start strong, with Sevilla pushing back in the second half but ultimately falling short.
Key facts
- 1.Getafe are 14th in La Liga with 8 points from 8 games (W2 D2 L4).
- 2.Sevilla sit 5th with 13 points from 7 games (W4 D1 L2).
- 3.Sevilla have a superior goal difference of +7 compared to Getafe.
- 4.Getafe have scored in all of their last 5 home matches.
- 5.Martín Satriano Costa averages 0.4 goals per home game for Getafe.
- 6.Sevilla are missing key defenders and midfielders due to injury.
- 7.Francho Serrano leads Getafe's assists with 1 in 7 appearances.
- 8.Three total cards are predicted in this competitive fixture.
Prediction
The forecast is for a 2-1 victory to Getafe, with the home side taking an early lead and maintaining their advantage despite Sevilla's efforts. Expect Martín Satriano Costa and Iván Azón to be involved in the goals, supported by creative midfield play from Francho Serrano. The match should feature a few cards, with three predicted, reflecting the competitive nature of the game.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Getafe
Away — Sevilla
No standout top scorers flagged for Sevilla
The verdict
In summary, Getafe's home scoring streak and Sevilla's defensive challenges set the stage for a narrow home win. While Sevilla's offensive consistency can't be overlooked, the home side's ability to capitalise early and hold firm should see them through to a 2-1 victory.
Prediction generated 26 Oct 2026, 21:57 UTC · Fipster Model v1.165
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Kike Salas
Assist: Félix Correia
Isaac
Suazo
Yellow Card
Valou
Serrano
Davinchi
Yellow Card
Ünal
Assist: Satriano
Fofana
Félix Correia
Satriano
Assist: Ünal
Goal confirmed
Castrín
Yellow Card
Agoumé
Yellow Card
Sangante
Yellow Card
Ünal
Terrats
Gudelj
Yellow Card
Suazo
Agoumé
Manu Bueno
Red Card
Mangala
Assist: García
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | +27 | 24 |
| 4 |  Real Madrid | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | +11 | 18 |
| 5 |  Sevilla | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 13 |
| 6 |  Real Sociedad | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 13 |
| 13 |  Rayo Vallecano | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -5 | 8 |
| 14 |  Getafe | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -6 | 8 |
| 15 |  Racing Santander | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -10 | 8 |
Match Statistics
Getafe
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 2D. DakonamD
- 8N. GudeljM
- 10M. SatrianoM
- 11Ramón TerratsM
- 13David SoriaG
- 15S. BoselliD
- 16Francho SerranoM
- 19E. ÜnalF
- 21Andrés GarcíaM
- 26J. ValouD
Substitutes
- 1J. LetáčekG
- 3DavinchiD
- 4S. SazonovD
- 5A. AbqarD
- 9Borja MayoralF
- 17Kiko FemeníaD
- 20Iván AzónF
- 23O. MangalaM
- 28Alberto RiscoM
- 35Diego FerrerG
Sevilla
4-4-2Starting XI
- 1O. VlachodimosG
- 2Juan IglesiasD
- 4Kike SalasD
- 5Andrés CastrínD
- 6L. AgouméM
- 16IsaacF
- 17G. SuazoD
- 19L. StassinF
- 20Félix CorreiaM
- 21C. EjukeM
- 24Y. FofanaM
Substitutes
- 3Julio Díaz del RomoD
- 7Alfon GonzálezF
- 8G. KochorashviliM
- 9R. UreF
- 10Peque FernándezF
- 11R. VargasM
- 12A. SanganteD
- 13Fran GonzálezG
- 14Manu BuenoM
- 15Fábio CardosoD
- 18Jon GuridiM
- 22José Ángel CarmonaD
Getafe
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Satriano | M | 90 | 8.7 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1/2 |
| E. Ünal | F | 82 | 8.3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0/3 |
| Andrés García | M | 90 | 7.4 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4/6 |
| O. Mangala | M | 44 | 7.1 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| S. Boselli | D | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | — |
| D. Dakonam | D | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| David Soria | G | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Iván Azón | F | 8 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| N. Gudelj | M | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Francho Serrano | M | 46 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/3 |
| Kiko Femenía | D | 8 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ramón Terrats | M | 82 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 4/6 |
| Davinchi | D | 44 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| J. Valou | D | 46 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Borja Mayoral | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Letáček | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Sazonov | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Abqar | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alberto Risco | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Diego Ferrer | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Sevilla
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Félix Correia | M | 72 | 7.0 | — | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0/1 |
| Kike Salas | D | 90 | 7.0 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | — | — |
| G. Suazo | D | 87 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Isaac | F | 27 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Ure | F | 18 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| C. Ejuke | M | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2/6 |
| Julio Díaz del Romo | D | 3 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Stassin | F | 90 | 6.1 | — | — | 2 | — | — | 1/3 |
| G. Kochorashvili | M | 3 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Y. Fofana | M | 72 | 5.8 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/3 |
| Juan Iglesias | D | 90 | 5.8 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 0/2 |
| O. Vlachodimos | G | 90 | 5.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Vargas | M | 18 | 5.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Andrés Castrín | D | 90 | 5.4 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| L. Agoumé | M | 87 | 5.4 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Manu Bueno | M | 64 | 5.0 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| Alfon González | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jon Guridi | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Peque Fernández | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fábio Cardoso | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Sangante | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| José Ángel Carmona | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fran González | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Getafe vs Sevilla?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Getafe to win against Sevilla.
- What score did Fipster predict for Getafe vs Sevilla?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Getafe 2–1 Sevilla.
- What were the win probabilities for Getafe vs Sevilla?
- Fipster's model gave Getafe a 74% chance of winning, Sevilla a 13% chance, and a 13% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 74% confidence — a high-confidence call.