Getafe vs Mallorca

La LigaMatchweek 36
Full Time
31
HT: 20
Ref: Juan Martinez Munuera, SpainEstadio Coliseum, Getafe · 17,393 cap
Fipster Pick
Home WinhighHit

Match recap

Getafe beat Mallorca 3–1 in their La Liga fixture. Satriano, Satriano, and Romero scored for Getafe; Mascarell replied for Mallorca. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 1.62 for Getafe versus 0.39 for Mallorca. Getafe sit 7th in the La Liga table while Mallorca are 18th.

FıpsterSelf-Score Card
Appropriate✓ Hit
Fipster's Pick
10
HT 0–0
Final Result
31
HT 2–0
40%Poor
F
OutcomeExact ScoreBTTSOver/Under 2.5Halftime
Fipster's self review15 May 2026

Analysis

As the La Liga season nears its climax, Getafe host Mallorca in what promises to be a closely contested affair. Both teams have their eyes set on crucial points, but the home side's recent form and defensive strengths suggest a narrow victory is on the cards.

Getafe currently sit 7th in the league with 45 points, showing a stronger campaign compared to Mallorca, who are 15th with 39 points. The match takes place at Getafe's home ground, where they have been more effective, despite some recent scoring struggles. Mallorca, meanwhile, have been scoring consistently but face the challenge of missing their top scorer Vedat Muriqi due to suspension.

Getafe's defensive backbone, led by Juan Iglesias with his impressive tackle rate and duel success, is expected to stifle Mallorca's attack. Although Getafe's creative spark Luis Milla is suspended, the team’s resilience at home and Mallorca's weakened frontline tip the scales. Predicted scorers like M. Satriano, with a solid home scoring record, could be the difference in a tight game. The expected total cards count is moderate at four, indicating a competitive but controlled match.


Prediction

The forecast is a 1-0 win for Getafe, with a goalless first half reflecting cautious play. The home side's defensive discipline and slight edge in attack should see them edge out Mallorca. Confidence in this outcome is high at 95%, supported by statistical probabilities and current team dynamics.

Outcome probability

Getafe 95%Draw 3%Mallorca 2%

Key Insights

Injury Impacthigh

Key attackers missing for Getafe

Borja Mayoral and Mauro Arambarri are injured, reducing attacking and midfield options, impacting goal threat.

Tactical Advantagehigh

Getafe's defensive solidity with Juan Iglesias

Iglesias' high tackle rate and duel success can disrupt Mallorca's attack, crucial for clean sheet.

Statistical Edgehigh

Luis Milla's creative influence absent

Top assister Luis Milla is suspended, potentially weakening Getafe's chance creation and assist supply.

Form Momentummedium

Mallorca's scoring streak vs Getafe's scoring struggles

Mallorca has scored in last 5 games, while Getafe has failed to score in 3 of last 5 home games.

Head To Head Factorhigh

Vedat Muriqi's absence weakens Mallorca attack

Top scorer Muriqi is suspended, reducing Mallorca's main goal threat against Getafe's defense.

Key Takeaways

In summary, expect a tight, tactical battle with Getafe leveraging home advantage and defensive solidity to claim all three points. Mallorca will pose threats but missing key players and facing a robust defence makes an upset unlikely. A classic 1-0 scoreline seems the most fitting conclusion.

  • Getafe are 7th in La Liga with 45 points from 35 games.
  • Mallorca sit 15th with 39 points from 35 games.
  • Getafe have failed to score in 3 of their last 5 home games.
  • Mallorca have scored in their last 5 matches.
  • Luis Milla, Getafe's top assister, is suspended for this match.
  • Vedat Muriqi, Mallorca's top scorer, is suspended.
  • Juan Iglesias boasts a high tackle rate of 3.1 per game.
  • The predicted total cards for the match is 4.

Player Insights

Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists

HomeGetafe

M. Satriano

M. Satriano

Attacker

Getafe

Total Goals
4
League avg: 1.18
16 played
16 starts
1433 mins
~90 mins/game
Borja Mayoral

Borja Mayoral

Attacker

Getafe

Total Goals
4
League avg: 1.18
15 played
12 starts
1054 mins
~70 mins/game
L. Vázquez

L. Vázquez

Attacker

Getafe

Total Goals
3
League avg: 1.18
15 played
13 starts
1104 mins
~74 mins/game

AwayMallorca

No standout top scorers flagged for Mallorca