Getafe vs Mallorca
Match recap
Getafe beat Mallorca 3–1 in their La Liga fixture. Satriano, Satriano, and Romero scored for Getafe; Mascarell replied for Mallorca. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 1.62 for Getafe versus 0.39 for Mallorca. Getafe sit 7th in the La Liga table while Mallorca are 18th.
Analysis
As the La Liga season nears its climax, Getafe host Mallorca in what promises to be a closely contested affair. Both teams have their eyes set on crucial points, but the home side's recent form and defensive strengths suggest a narrow victory is on the cards.
Getafe currently sit 7th in the league with 45 points, showing a stronger campaign compared to Mallorca, who are 15th with 39 points. The match takes place at Getafe's home ground, where they have been more effective, despite some recent scoring struggles. Mallorca, meanwhile, have been scoring consistently but face the challenge of missing their top scorer Vedat Muriqi due to suspension.
Getafe's defensive backbone, led by Juan Iglesias with his impressive tackle rate and duel success, is expected to stifle Mallorca's attack. Although Getafe's creative spark Luis Milla is suspended, the team’s resilience at home and Mallorca's weakened frontline tip the scales. Predicted scorers like M. Satriano, with a solid home scoring record, could be the difference in a tight game. The expected total cards count is moderate at four, indicating a competitive but controlled match.
Prediction
The forecast is a 1-0 win for Getafe, with a goalless first half reflecting cautious play. The home side's defensive discipline and slight edge in attack should see them edge out Mallorca. Confidence in this outcome is high at 95%, supported by statistical probabilities and current team dynamics.
Outcome probability
Key Insights
Key attackers missing for Getafe
Borja Mayoral and Mauro Arambarri are injured, reducing attacking and midfield options, impacting goal threat.
Getafe's defensive solidity with Juan Iglesias
Iglesias' high tackle rate and duel success can disrupt Mallorca's attack, crucial for clean sheet.
Luis Milla's creative influence absent
Top assister Luis Milla is suspended, potentially weakening Getafe's chance creation and assist supply.
Mallorca's scoring streak vs Getafe's scoring struggles
Mallorca has scored in last 5 games, while Getafe has failed to score in 3 of last 5 home games.
Vedat Muriqi's absence weakens Mallorca attack
Top scorer Muriqi is suspended, reducing Mallorca's main goal threat against Getafe's defense.
Key Takeaways
In summary, expect a tight, tactical battle with Getafe leveraging home advantage and defensive solidity to claim all three points. Mallorca will pose threats but missing key players and facing a robust defence makes an upset unlikely. A classic 1-0 scoreline seems the most fitting conclusion.
- Getafe are 7th in La Liga with 45 points from 35 games.
- Mallorca sit 15th with 39 points from 35 games.
- Getafe have failed to score in 3 of their last 5 home games.
- Mallorca have scored in their last 5 matches.
- Luis Milla, Getafe's top assister, is suspended for this match.
- Vedat Muriqi, Mallorca's top scorer, is suspended.
- Juan Iglesias boasts a high tackle rate of 3.1 per game.
- The predicted total cards for the match is 4.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Getafe
Away — Mallorca
No standout top scorers flagged for Mallorca
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Satriano
Assist: Nyom
Mascarell
Yellow Card
Satriano
Pablo Maffeo
Yellow Card
Zito Luvumbo
Romero
Assist: Milla
Nyom
Mascarell
Assist: Torre
Virgili
Darder
Dakonam
Torre
Yellow Card
Duarte
Yellow Card
Manu Morlanes
Davinchi
Yellow Card
Sánchez
Yellow Card
Martín
Yellow Card
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 38 | 31 | 1 | 6 | +59 | 94 | |
| 6 | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | +5 | 54 | |
| 7 | 38 | 15 | 6 | 17 | -6 | 51 | |
| 8 | 38 | 12 | 14 | 12 | -3 | 50 | |
| 17 | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | -6 | 42 | |
| 18 | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | -10 | 42 | |
| 19 | 38 | 9 | 14 | 15 | -16 | 41 |
Match Statistics
Getafe
5-3-2Starting XI
- 2D. DakonamD
- 5Luis MillaM
- 6Mario MartínF
- 8M. ArambarriM
- 10M. SatrianoF
- 12A. NyomD
- 13David SoriaG
- 21Juan IglesiasD
- 22Domingos DuarteD
- 24Z. RomeroD
- 46D. CaceresM
Substitutes
- 1J. LetáčekG
- 9Borja MayoralF
- 11A. KamaraF
- 14Javi MuñozM
- 15S. BoselliD
- 16Diego RicoD
- 18Álex SancrisF
- 19L. VázquezF
- 20V. BirmančevićM
- 23Adrian LisoF
- 26DavinchiD
Mallorca
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1Leo RománG
- 5Omar MascarellM
- 7V. MuriqiF
- 8Manu MorlanesM
- 10DarderM
- 15Zito LuvumboM
- 17Jan VirgiliM
- 23Pablo MaffeoD
- 24M. ValjentD
- 27David LópezD
- 29L. OrejuelaD
Substitutes
- 2Mateu MoreyD
- 3Toni LatoD
- 6Antonio SánchezM
- 9Abdón PratsF
- 11T. AsanoF
- 19Javi LlabrésF
- 20Pablo TorreM
- 22J. MojicaD
- 25Iván CuéllarG
- 28C. RibaM
- 34J. OlaizolaD
- 44M. CalatayudD
Getafe
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martín Satriano | F | 96 | 8.3 | 2 | — | 3 | 2 | — | 1/2 |
| Allan Nyom | D | 64 | 8.2 | — | 1 | — | — | 2 | — |
| Zaid Romero | D | 96 | 7.7 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Luis Milla | M | 96 | 7.2 | — | 1 | — | — | 2 | 1/1 |
| Mauro Arambarri | M | 96 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 2/5 |
| Juan Iglesias | D | 96 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Djené(C) | D | 71 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| David Soria | G | 96 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Damián Cáceres | M | 96 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Domingos Duarte | D | 96 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mario Martín | F | 96 | 5.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Luis Vázquez | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Diego Rico | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Veljko Birmančević | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Javier Muñoz | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Borja Mayoral | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jiří Letáček | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Álex Sancris | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Abu Kamara | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Adrian Liso | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sebastián Boselli | D | 25 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 2/2 |
| Davinchi | D | 32 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
Mallorca
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Omar Mascarell | M | 96 | 7.7 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | — | 1/1 |
| Vedat Muriqi | F | 96 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Pablo Maffeo | D | 96 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| David López | D | 96 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Luis Orejuela | D | 96 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/1 |
| Jan Virgili | M | 66 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | 4 | — |
| Sergi Darder | M | 66 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Zito Luvumbo | M | 45 | 6.0 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 0/2 |
| Manu Morlanes | M | 79 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Leo Román | G | 96 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Martin Valjent(C) | D | 96 | 5.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Toni Lato | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Iván Cuéllar | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Johan Mojica | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mateu Morey | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Javi Llabrés | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Javier Olaizola | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Miguel Calatayud | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Cesc Riba | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Antonio Sánchez | M | 30 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Takuma Asano | F | 30 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Pablo Torre | M | 51 | 6.5 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| Abdón Prats | F | 17 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |





