Getafe vs Malaga
Getafe clinch narrow win over Malaga
Iván Azón's late strike secures all three points for the hosts.
Getafe edged past Malaga with a tight 1-0 victory thanks to Iván Azón's decisive goal in the 85th minute. The match was a close affair, with the breakthrough coming late in the game to settle the contest. Fipster's prediction of a home win was spot on, though the exact scoreline was a bit more modest than expected.
Outcome probability
Getafe and Malaga face off in what promises to be a tactical battle in the La Liga regular season. Both teams have struggled for consistency, but Getafe's home form and attacking options give them the edge in this encounter.
Match factors
Getafe's attacking duo in good home form
Satriano and Ünal both have 1 goal each this season with strong home scoring rates, boosting Getafe's chances to score twice
Potential defensive boost if Andrés García plays
Doubtful defender Andrés García is a top tackler and could improve Getafe's defense if fit to start
Getafe's superior home scoring and Malaga's away struggles
Getafe averages 1 goal per home game vs Malaga's 0.33 away, supporting predicted 2-0 home win
Malaga's key midfielder Pablo Martínez creative but doubtful
Martínez leads Malaga's assists but is doubtful, capping his assist probability and impacting creativity
The context
Getafe currently sit 15th in the league with 5 points from 6 games, while Malaga are near the bottom at 18th with just 3 points from 5 games. Both sides have had their share of draws and losses, making this match crucial for gaining momentum.
Key insights
- M
Martín Satriano Costa
Getafe
Satriano boasts an above average home scoring rate with 0.33 goals per game and is a consistent starter, making him a key threat in attack.
La Liga 26/271 goal in 5 appearances, 410 minutes, 0.2 goals/game
Enes Ünal
Getafe
Ünal’s strong home goal contribution and high involvement with an average of 81 minutes per game bolster Getafe’s attacking options.
La Liga 26/271 goal in 5 appearances, 405 minutes, 0.2 goals/game
Pablo Martínez
Malaga
Martínez leads Malaga’s assists but his doubtful status limits his impact, potentially reducing Malaga’s creativity in midfield.
La Liga 26/271 assist in 3 appearances, 194 minutes, 0.33 assists/game
Analysis
Getafe's attacking duo, Martín Satriano Costa and Enes Ünal, have shown promising form at home, each netting a goal this season with strong scoring rates. Their ability to find the net is a key factor in Getafe's predicted 2-0 win. Malaga, on the other hand, have struggled away from home, averaging just 0.33 goals per game, and their creative midfielder Pablo Martínez is doubtful, which could hamper their attacking threat. Defensively, Getafe might benefit if Andrés García passes his late fitness test, potentially shoring up their backline against Malaga's top scorer Chupe.
Key facts
- 1.Getafe are 15th in the league with 5 points from 6 games (W1 D2 L3).
- 2.Malaga are 18th with 3 points from 5 games (W0 D3 L2).
- 3.Getafe average 1 goal per home game this season.
- 4.Malaga average 0.33 goals per away game this season.
- 5.Martín Satriano Costa and Enes Ünal each have 1 goal this season with strong home scoring rates.
- 6.Malaga's top assister Pablo Martínez is doubtful for this match.
- 7.Modal fulltime score prediction is 2-0 in favour of Getafe.
- 8.Modal halftime score prediction is 1-0 to Getafe.
Prediction
The most probable outcome is a Getafe win with a halftime lead of 1-0 and a fulltime score of 2-0. The match is expected to be competitive but controlled, with a moderate number of cards likely to be shown.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Getafe
Away — Malaga
The verdict
In summary, Getafe's home advantage and attacking form should see them comfortably overcome Malaga. While Malaga will look to disrupt and counter, the absence of key creative players and their away struggles make a comeback unlikely in this fixture.
Prediction generated 17 Sep 2026, 21:27 UTC · Fipster Model v1.158
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Mojica
Yellow Card
Jauregi
Yellow Card
Larrubia
Yellow Card
Jauregi
Gudelj
Yellow Card
Serrano
Yellow Card
Dakonam
Muñoz
Dani Lorenzo
Terrats
Yellow Card
Rafa Rodríguez
Azón
Assist: Satriano
Azón
Berrocal
Satriano
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | +24 | 21 |
| 9 |  Athletic Club | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 8 |
| 10 |  Getafe | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 8 |
| 11 |  Rayo Vallecano | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -5 | 8 |
| 19 |  Valencia | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -8 | 4 |
| 20 |  Malaga | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -9 | 3 |
Match Statistics
Getafe
4-5-1Starting XI
- 2D. DakonamD
- 8N. GudeljM
- 10M. SatrianoM
- 11Ramón TerratsM
- 13David SoriaG
- 16Francho SerranoM
- 19E. ÜnalF
- 20Iván AzónM
- 21Andrés GarcíaD
- 22J. MojicaD
- 24Z. RomeroD
Substitutes
- 1J. LetáčekG
- 3DavinchiD
- 4S. SazonovD
- 9Borja MayoralF
- 15S. BoselliD
- 23O. MangalaM
- 26J. ValouD
- 28Alberto RiscoM
- 31M. HamdouneD
- 35Diego FerrerG
Malaga
4-1-4-1Starting XI
- 1Alfonso HerreroG
- 8Carlos DotorM
- 10David LarrubiaM
- 11Joaquín MuñozM
- 12José SalinasD
- 14Rafa RodríguezM
- 15Ángel RecioD
- 17Eneko JauregiF
- 22Dani LorenzoM
- 25Juan BerrocalD
- 31RafitaD
Substitutes
- 3PugaD
- 4Einar GalileaD
- 5Álex PastorD
- 6Ramón EnríquezM
- 9ChupeF
- 13Carlos LópezG
- 18Pablo MartínezM
- 19Juan CruzM
- 21Adrián Niño HerediaF
- 23Izan MerinoM
- 30Andrés CéspedesG
- 32J. FernandezF
Getafe
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iván Azón | M | 89 | 8.2 | 1 | — | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1/2 |
| Z. Romero | D | 90 | 8.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 2/3 |
| Andrés García | D | 90 | 7.8 | — | — | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1/1 |
| M. Satriano | M | 94 | 7.7 | — | 1 | 2 | — | 2 | 4/4 |
| D. Dakonam | D | 65 | 7.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ramón Terrats | M | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1/1 |
| J. Mojica | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | 3 | — | 2 | 1/2 |
| S. Sazonov | D | 1 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Francho Serrano | M | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| N. Gudelj | M | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| David Soria | G | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| O. Mangala | M | 25 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Ünal | F | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | 3 | 1 | — | — |
| J. Letáček | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Boselli | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Hamdoune | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alberto Risco | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Davinchi | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Diego Ferrer | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Borja Mayoral | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Valou | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Malaga
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alfonso Herrero | G | 90 | 7.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Juan Berrocal | D | 89 | 7.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Rafita | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Ángel Recio | D | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/1 |
| José Salinas | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Dani Lorenzo | M | 67 | 6.8 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 2/3 |
| Pablo Martínez | M | 23 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Ramón Enríquez | M | 16 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Rafa Rodríguez | M | 74 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1/1 |
| Carlos Dotor | M | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1/2 |
| Juan Cruz | M | 1 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Joaquín Muñoz | M | 67 | 6.4 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 2/2 |
| Adrián Niño Heredia | F | 44 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/1 |
| Chupe | F | 23 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Eneko Jauregi | F | 46 | 6.0 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| David Larrubia | M | 90 | 5.9 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | 0/5 |
| J. Fernandez | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Izan Merino | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Carlos López | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Andrés Céspedes | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Puga | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Álex Pastor | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Einar Galilea | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Getafe vs Malaga?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Getafe to win against Malaga.
- What score did Fipster predict for Getafe vs Malaga?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Getafe 2–0 Malaga.
- What were the win probabilities for Getafe vs Malaga?
- Fipster's model gave Getafe a 87% chance of winning, Malaga a 6% chance, and a 7% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 87% confidence — a high-confidence call.