Greece vs Germany

UEFA Nations LeagueMatchweek 4
Full Time
0–0
HT: 0–0
Ref: Clement TurpinStadio Toumbas, Thessaloníki · 28,803 cap
Fipster Pick
Home WinmediumMiss

Match recap

Greece and Germany drew 0–0 in their UEFA Nations League fixture. Greece held 30% possession to 70% for Germany.

FıpsterSelf-Score Card
Appropriate✗ Miss
Fipster's Pick✗
2–1
HT 0–0
Final Result
0–0
HT 0–0
5%Poor
F
✗Outcome✗Exact score✗Both scored✗Goals✓Halftime
Fipster's self review4 Oct 2026

Outcome probability

Greece 56%Draw 22%Germany 22%

This League A fixture between Greece and Germany promises a closely fought contest. Both sides have shown competitive form in the competition so far, setting the stage for a tactical battle with goals likely to come in the second half.

Match factors

Tactical Advantagehigh

Greece's midfielders have recent scoring edge

Kourbelis and Tzolis both scored recently including vs Germany, boosting Greece's attacking midfield threat.

Tactical Advantagemedium

Germany's creative threat lies with Adeyemi

Adeyemi leads Germany in assists and key passes, crucial for unlocking Greece's defense.

Statistical Edgehigh

Greece's home scoring form is strong

Greece averages 2 goals per home game, above league average, supporting predicted 2-1 win.

Form Momentumhigh

Kourbelis' form vs Germany is notable

Kourbelis scored in last away match vs Germany, indicating confidence and tactical fit.

Injury Impacthigh

No confirmed injuries for either team

Both teams have full squads available, so selection and tactics will be key factors.

The context

Greece have played three matches in this competition without defeat, boasting two wins and a draw, scoring five goals and conceding three. Germany have also played three games, with a more mixed record of one win, one draw, and one loss, scoring three and conceding two. Historically, Germany have the edge in head-to-head meetings, winning two of three encounters, but Greece have shown they can hold their own.

Analysis

The probabilities suggest a very tight match, with Greece slightly favoured to win. The predicted 2-1 scoreline reflects Greece's strong home scoring form, averaging two goals per home game in this competition. Greece's midfielders, particularly Kourbelis and Tzolis, have been influential in attack, both scoring recently including against Germany. Germany's creative threat largely comes from Adeyemi, who leads their assists tally and will be key to unlocking Greece's defence. Both teams have full squads available, so tactical execution will be crucial.

Key facts

  1. 1.Greece have played 3 matches in this competition (W2 D1 L0, GF 5 / GA 3).
  2. 2.Germany have played 3 matches in this competition (W1 D1 L1, GF 3 / GA 2).
  3. 3.In 3 head-to-head meetings, Greece have won 1, Germany have won 2, with 0 draws.
  4. 4.Head-to-head matches average 3.3 total goals (4 for Greece, 6 for Germany).
  5. 5.Greece average 2 goals per home game in this competition.
  6. 6.Kourbelis scored in the last away match against Germany.
  7. 7.Adeyemi leads Germany in assists and key passes in this competition.
  8. 8.No confirmed injuries for either team.

Prediction

Expect a cautious first half with no goals, as both sides feel each other out. The second half should see Greece come into their own, scoring twice to edge out Germany 2-1. The match will likely feature a few cards, with three predicted in total, reflecting the competitive nature of the encounter.

Player Insights

Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists

Home — Greece

D. Kourbelis

D. Kourbelis

Midfielder

Greece

Total Goals
1
League avg: 0.15
2 played
2 starts
121 mins
~61 mins/game
C. Tzolis

C. Tzolis

Midfielder

Greece

Total Goals
1
League avg: 0.15
2 played
2 starts
171 mins
~86 mins/game

Away — Germany

F. Nmecha

F. Nmecha

Midfielder

Germany

Total Goals
1
League avg: 0.15
2 played
2 starts
148 mins
~74 mins/game

The verdict

In a fixture where margins are fine, Greece's home advantage and recent attacking form give them the slight edge. Germany will push hard, but the hosts look set to claim the points in a closely contested match.

Prediction generated 1 Oct 2026, 20:41 UTC · Fipster Model v1.162

Prediction Q&A

Who did Fipster predict to win Greece vs Germany?
Fipster's AI model predicted Greece to win against Germany.
What score did Fipster predict for Greece vs Germany?
Fipster predicted a final score of Greece 2–1 Germany.
What were the win probabilities for Greece vs Germany?
Fipster's model gave Greece a 56% chance of winning, Germany a 22% chance, and a 22% chance of a draw.
How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
Fipster's model assigned this prediction 56% confidence — a medium-confidence call.