Greece vs Germany
Match recap
Greece and Germany drew 0–0 in their UEFA Nations League fixture. Greece held 30% possession to 70% for Germany.
Outcome probability
This League A fixture between Greece and Germany promises a closely fought contest. Both sides have shown competitive form in the competition so far, setting the stage for a tactical battle with goals likely to come in the second half.
Match factors
Greece's midfielders have recent scoring edge
Kourbelis and Tzolis both scored recently including vs Germany, boosting Greece's attacking midfield threat.
Germany's creative threat lies with Adeyemi
Adeyemi leads Germany in assists and key passes, crucial for unlocking Greece's defense.
Greece's home scoring form is strong
Greece averages 2 goals per home game, above league average, supporting predicted 2-1 win.
Kourbelis' form vs Germany is notable
Kourbelis scored in last away match vs Germany, indicating confidence and tactical fit.
No confirmed injuries for either team
Both teams have full squads available, so selection and tactics will be key factors.
The context
Greece have played three matches in this competition without defeat, boasting two wins and a draw, scoring five goals and conceding three. Germany have also played three games, with a more mixed record of one win, one draw, and one loss, scoring three and conceding two. Historically, Germany have the edge in head-to-head meetings, winning two of three encounters, but Greece have shown they can hold their own.
Key insights

D. Kourbelis
Greece
Kourbelis has been a key attacking midfielder for Greece, scoring recently against Germany and showing consistent form.
UEFA Nations League 26/271 goal in 2 appearances, 60.5 avg mins/game

C. Tzolis
Greece
Tzolis contributes significantly to Greece's midfield attack with a goal and high playing time, boosting their scoring threat.
UEFA Nations League 26/271 goal in 2 appearances, 85.5 avg mins/game

K. Adeyemi
Germany
Adeyemi is Germany's main creative outlet, leading in assists and key passes, crucial for breaking down Greece's defence.
UEFA Nations League 26/271 assist in 2 appearances, 77.5 avg mins/game
Analysis
The probabilities suggest a very tight match, with Greece slightly favoured to win. The predicted 2-1 scoreline reflects Greece's strong home scoring form, averaging two goals per home game in this competition. Greece's midfielders, particularly Kourbelis and Tzolis, have been influential in attack, both scoring recently including against Germany. Germany's creative threat largely comes from Adeyemi, who leads their assists tally and will be key to unlocking Greece's defence. Both teams have full squads available, so tactical execution will be crucial.
Key facts
- 1.Greece have played 3 matches in this competition (W2 D1 L0, GF 5 / GA 3).
- 2.Germany have played 3 matches in this competition (W1 D1 L1, GF 3 / GA 2).
- 3.In 3 head-to-head meetings, Greece have won 1, Germany have won 2, with 0 draws.
- 4.Head-to-head matches average 3.3 total goals (4 for Greece, 6 for Germany).
- 5.Greece average 2 goals per home game in this competition.
- 6.Kourbelis scored in the last away match against Germany.
- 7.Adeyemi leads Germany in assists and key passes in this competition.
- 8.No confirmed injuries for either team.
Prediction
Expect a cautious first half with no goals, as both sides feel each other out. The second half should see Greece come into their own, scoring twice to edge out Germany 2-1. The match will likely feature a few cards, with three predicted in total, reflecting the competitive nature of the encounter.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Greece
Away — Germany
The verdict
In a fixture where margins are fine, Greece's home advantage and recent attacking form give them the slight edge. Germany will push hard, but the hosts look set to claim the points in a closely contested match.
Prediction generated 1 Oct 2026, 20:41 UTC · Fipster Model v1.162
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
FIFA world ranking
Tsimikas
Yellow Card
Goal cancelled
Anton
Yellow Card
Kyziridis
Pavlidis
Zafeiris
Yellow Card
Karl
Burkardt
Treu
Yellow Card
Kourbelis
Yellow Card
Mavropanos
Saliakas
Yellow Card
Bischof
Scherhant
Ioannidis
Thiaw
Yellow Card
Match Statistics
Greece
4-4-2Starting XI
- 3K. KoulierakisD
- 4K. MavropanosD
- 6D. KourbelisM
- 7G. MasourasM
- 8F. IoannidisF
- 12K. TzolakisG
- 14V. PavlidisF
- 17M. SaliakasD
- 20C. ZafeirisM
- 21K. TsimikasD
- 23A. KyziridisM
Substitutes
- 1O. VlachodimosG
- 2T. TsaprasM
- 5P. RetsosD
- 9T. DouvikasF
- 10D. PelkasM
- 11C. KostoulasF
- 13C. MandasG
- 15T. AndroutsosM
- 16C. MouzakitisM
- 18G. MichailidisD
- 19K. KaretsasM
- 22G. KiriakopoulosD
Germany
4-4-2Starting XI
- 1J. UrbigG
- 2M. ThiawD
- 3W. AntonD
- 5A. PavlovićM
- 8T. BischofM
- 9D. ScherhantM
- 10J. BurkardtF
- 13P. TreuD
- 15L. KarlM
- 17F. WirtzF
- 22D. RaumD
Substitutes
- 4Finn JeltschD
- 6Y. EngelhardtM
- 7S. El MalaM
- 11N. WoltemadeF
- 12F. DahmenG
- 14M. BaurM
- 16R. BakuD
- 18M. MittelstädtD
- 19B. ContéM
- 20F. KeidelD
- 21N. AtuboluG
- 23V. JaneltM
Greece
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Tzolakis | G | 90 | 7.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| K. Mavropanos | D | 78 | 7.0 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| K. Koulierakis | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| K. Karetsas | M | 44 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1/3 |
| A. Kyziridis | M | 46 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/3 |
| C. Mouzakitis | M | 22 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| T. Androutsos | M | 44 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| P. Retsos | D | 12 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| C. Kostoulas | F | 2 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| K. Tsimikas | D | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | 1/3 |
| V. Pavlidis | F | 46 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| D. Kourbelis | M | 68 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| F. Ioannidis | F | 88 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/4 |
| M. Saliakas | D | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| G. Masouras | M | 90 | 6.1 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| C. Zafeiris | M | 90 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/2 |
| O. Vlachodimos | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Pelkas | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| C. Mandas | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| G. Kiriakopoulos | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| T. Douvikas | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| G. Michailidis | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| T. Tsapras | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Germany
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Bischof | M | 83 | 7.2 | — | — | 2 | — | 3 | 1/2 |
| A. Pavlović | M | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2/3 |
| D. Raum | D | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0/1 |
| M. Thiaw | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 2/2 |
| D. Scherhant | M | 83 | 6.8 | — | — | 7 | 2 | — | 3/6 |
| J. Urbig | G | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| W. Anton | D | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| F. Wirtz | F | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | 5 | — | 3 | 4/5 |
| L. Karl | M | 63 | 6.6 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0/1 |
| N. Woltemade | F | 27 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. El Mala | M | 27 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| M. Baur | M | 7 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| B. Conté | M | 7 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Burkardt | F | 63 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| P. Treu | D | 90 | 6.0 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | 1/2 |
| M. Mittelstädt | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| F. Keidel | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Atubolu | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Finn Jeltsch | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Y. Engelhardt | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| V. Janelt | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Baku | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| F. Dahmen | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Greece vs Germany?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Greece to win against Germany.
- What score did Fipster predict for Greece vs Germany?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Greece 2–1 Germany.
- What were the win probabilities for Greece vs Germany?
- Fipster's model gave Greece a 56% chance of winning, Germany a 22% chance, and a 22% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 56% confidence — a medium-confidence call.





