Georgia vs Northern Ireland
Charles seals shock Northern Ireland win
A last-gasp strike snatches victory away from Georgia on home soil.
Northern Ireland stunned Georgia with a 1-0 victory in the UEFA Nations League, thanks to S. Charles' decisive goal deep into stoppage time. Georgia's K. Kvaratskhelia missed a penalty in the 65th minute, a moment that could have changed the game. This result defied Fipster's low-confidence prediction of a Georgian win, delivering an unexpected upset.
Analysis
As the competition kicks off, Georgia and Northern Ireland prepare for what promises to be a tight encounter. Both sides will be eager to start their campaign with a positive result, setting the tone for the matches ahead.
This fixture marks the opening round of the competition, with both teams looking to establish early momentum. While detailed historical data is limited, the stakes are clear: a strong start could prove crucial in this closely matched contest.
The prediction leans towards a home win for Georgia by a narrow 2-1 margin. The first half is expected to be cagey, with a 0-0 halftime scoreline reflecting tight defensive work from both sides. The second half should see more action, with Georgia edging ahead. The confidence level of 43% indicates a moderately close call, supported by aggregated probabilities that show a fairly even contest.
Prediction
Expect a disciplined first half with few chances, followed by Georgia finding the breakthrough in the second half. Northern Ireland will push back, but ultimately Georgia should hold on for a 2-1 victory. The match is also likely to feature around four cards, suggesting a competitive and physical battle.
Outcome probability
Key Takeaways
In summary, Georgia have the slight edge to claim all three points in a match that will be decided by fine margins. Fans can anticipate a tactical battle with moments of quality deciding the outcome.
- The predicted final score is 2-1 in favour of Georgia.
- Halftime score is expected to be 0-0, indicating a tight first half.
- Confidence in the prediction stands at 43%, reflecting a close contest.
- Total cards predicted are around four, suggesting a physical game.
- Aggregated probabilities show a draw as the most likely outcome overall, but the prediction favours a home win.
- The 2-1 scoreline is the second most probable fulltime result at 16%.
- Both teams are starting fresh in this competition's opening round.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Georgia
Away — Northern Ireland
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
FIFA world ranking
Kharebashvili
Penalty confirmed
Ballard
Yellow Card
Kvaratskhelia
Missed Penalty
Brown
Yellow Card
Brown
Donley
Kelly
Mekvabishvili
Kvernadze
Lochoshvili
Goglichidze
Atcheson
Ballard
Kvaratskhelia
Yellow Card
Devenny
Yellow Card
Charles
Assist: Hume
Match Statistics
Georgia
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 1G. MamardashviliG
- 2O. KakabadzeM
- 3L. DvaliD
- 4L. LochoshviliD
- 5S. GoglichidzeD
- 6G. KochorashviliM
- 7K. KvaratskheliaF
- 14A. MekvabishviliM
- 16S. KharebashviliM
- 17G. KvernadzeM
- 22G. MikautadzeM
Substitutes
- 8O. KiteishviliM
- 9Z. DavitashviliF
- 10G. ChakvetadzeM
- 11B. ZivzivadzeF
- 12D. KereselidzeG
- 13I. BeriashviliD
- 15G. MamageishviliM
- 18I. YegoianM
- 19G. TsitaishviliF
- 20G. GaguaF
- 21J. TabidzeD
- 23L. GugeshashviliG
Northern Ireland
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 1P. CharlesG
- 3J. DevennyM
- 4D. BallardD
- 5T. HumeM
- 7E. GalbraithM
- 10J. DonleyF
- 14I. PriceM
- 16Patrick KellyM
- 18Tom AtchesonD
- 19S. CharlesM
- 22C. BrownD
Substitutes
- 2T. DevlinM
- 6J. ThompsonM
- 8C. MarshallF
- 11P. SmythF
- 12C. HazardG
- 13K. MorrisonM
- 15Ruairi McConvilleD
- 17P. McNairD
- 20B. SpencerD
- 21J. MagennisF
- 23B. Peacock-FarrellG
Georgia
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Mamardashvili | G | 90 | 7.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| G. Kochorashvili | M | 90 | 7.4 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| L. Lochoshvili | D | 85 | 7.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| O. Kiteishvili | M | 13 | 7.2 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | — |
| G. Chakvetadze | M | 44 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| L. Dvali | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Goglichidze | D | 85 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Mekvabishvili | M | 77 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| K. Kvaratskhelia | F | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2/7 |
| J. Tabidze | D | 5 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| I. Beriashvili | D | 5 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| G. Kvernadze | M | 77 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1/3 |
| Z. Davitashvili | F | 13 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| G. Mikautadze | M | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | 3 | 2 | — | — |
| S. Kharebashvili | M | 46 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| O. Kakabadze | M | 90 | 5.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/2 |
| L. Gugeshashvili | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| B. Zivzivadze | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Kereselidze | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| G. Gagua | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| G. Mamageishvili | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| I. Yegoian | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| G. Tsitaishvili | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Northern Ireland
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Charles | M | 90 | 8.2 | 1 | — | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1/2 |
| P. Charles | G | 90 | 7.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| T. Hume | M | 90 | 7.7 | — | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0/1 |
| I. Price | M | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2/4 |
| B. Spencer | D | 17 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Ruairi McConville | D | 18 | 7.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Ballard | D | 95 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tom Atcheson | D | 86 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| C. Brown | D | 72 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Magennis | F | 17 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| E. Galbraith | M | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Patrick Kelly | M | 73 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| J. Devenny | M | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| J. Donley | F | 73 | 6.4 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| K. Morrison | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| T. Devlin | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| C. Hazard | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| P. Smyth | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Thompson | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| B. Peacock-Farrell | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| C. Marshall | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| P. McNair | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Georgia vs Northern Ireland?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Georgia to win against Northern Ireland.
- What score did Fipster predict for Georgia vs Northern Ireland?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Georgia 2–1 Northern Ireland.
- What were the win probabilities for Georgia vs Northern Ireland?
- Fipster's model gave Georgia a 43% chance of winning, Northern Ireland a 28% chance, and a 29% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 43% confidence — a low-confidence call.