Genoa vs Napoli
Napoli clinch late win at Genoa
Two late strikes from De Bruyne and Vergara secure the points for Napoli.
Napoli edged out Genoa 2-0 thanks to goals from K. De Bruyne and A. Vergara in the final ten minutes. The visitors broke the deadlock at 82' before doubling their lead at 87', sealing a comfortable victory in the closing stages. Fipster had confidently tipped an away win, and while the exact scoreline was off, the prediction proved spot on.
Analysis
The new Serie A season kicks off with a tantalising clash between Genoa and Napoli. Both sides are eager to set the tone early, with Napoli looking to assert their strength and Genoa aiming to make a statement despite recent departures.
This fixture marks the first competitive match of the 2026-27 Serie A campaign. Genoa enter the season having lost R. Malinovskyi to free agency, which may impact their creative options. Napoli, also known as Gli Azzurri, come into the match with a strong squad and high expectations following a solid previous season.
Napoli hold a significant advantage based on last season's standings and statistics. They finished 2nd with 76 points and a +22 goal difference, while Genoa ended 16th with 41 points and a -10 goal difference. Napoli's points per game average of 2.00 nearly doubles Genoa's 1.08, highlighting their superior form and consistency. These factors suggest Napoli are well placed to claim victory, likely by a narrow margin given Genoa's home resilience.
Prediction
The prediction favours an away win for Napoli with a 77% confidence level. The most probable scoreline is 1-0, with Napoli scoring in the first half and maintaining the lead through to full time. The match is expected to be competitive, with a moderate number of three cards anticipated.
Outcome probability
Key Takeaways
As the season opener, this match sets the stage for what promises to be an intriguing campaign. Napoli's quality and consistency make them favourites to start with a win, while Genoa will look to build on their squad and challenge strongly at home. Expect a tight encounter with Napoli edging it by a single goal.
- Napoli finished 2nd last season with 76 points from 38 games.
- Genoa ended 16th with 41 points from 38 games.
- Napoli's goal difference was +22 compared to Genoa's -10.
- Napoli averaged 2.00 points per game last season, nearly double Genoa's 1.08.
- Genoa lost R. Malinovskyi to free agency during the summer.
- The predicted scoreline is 0-1 in favour of Napoli.
- Three cards are expected during the match.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Genoa
Away — Napoli
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Napoli has no record in this competition yet, so there is nothing to compare these totals against.
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Politano
Yellow Card
Baldanzi
Santos
Østigård
Zambo Anguissa
Politano
Colombo
Amorim
Højlund
Rafa Marín
De Bruyne
Assist: Vergara
Vásquez
Vergara
Assist: De Bruyne
Østigård
Yellow Card
Sabelli
Yellow Card
Match Statistics
Genoa
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 1J. BijlowG
- 4Alexsandro AmorimM
- 5L. ØstigårdD
- 8T. BaldanziF
- 9VítinhaF
- 15B. Norton-CuffyM
- 22J. VásquezD
- 27A. MarcandalliD
- 29L. ColomboF
- 32M. FrendrupM
- 77M. EllertssonM
Substitutes
- 2M. MitajD
- 3Aarón MartínD
- 10Junior MessiasF
- 11E. MeichtryM
- 20S. SabelliD
- 31D. PuczkaD
- 34S. OtoaD
- 39D. SommarivaG
- 71S. WiafeM
- 74Mamedi DoucoureD
- 97D. SowM
Napoli
4-3-3Starting XI
- 1A. MeretG
- 8S. McTominayM
- 13Amir RrahmaniD
- 16Rafa MarínD
- 19R. HøjlundF
- 21M. PolitanoF
- 22G. Di LorenzoD
- 27Alisson SantosF
- 37L. SpinazzolaD
- 68S. LobotkaM
- 99A. Zambo AnguissaM
Substitutes
- 2C. FavasuliD
- 6B. GilmourM
- 7David NeresF
- 11K. De BruyneM
- 14N. ContiniG
- 17M. OliveraD
- 20L. LuccaF
- 23GiovaneF
- 26A. VergaraM
- 31S. BeukemaD
- 32V. Milinković-SavićG
- 47C. GarofaloD
- 70N. LangF
Genoa
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Bijlow | G | 64 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alexsandro Amorim | M | 64 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0/1 |
| Leo Østigård | D | 64 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Morten Frendrup | M | 64 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Johan Vásquez(C) | D | 64 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mikael Ellertsson | M | 64 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/3 |
| Brooke Norton-Cuffy | M | 64 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Alessandro Marcandalli | D | 64 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Tommaso Baldanzi | F | 64 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Lorenzo Colombo | F | 64 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Vitinha | F | 64 | 5.9 | — | — | 3 | 1 | — | 0/6 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Mamedi Doucoure | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Djibril Sow | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Aarón Martín | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Stefano Sabelli | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Daniele Sommariva | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Junior Messias | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mario Mitaj | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| David Puczka | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sebastian Otoa | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Franz-Ethan Meichtry | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Samuel Wiafe | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Napoli
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amir Rrahmani | D | 64 | 7.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Giovanni Di Lorenzo(C) | D | 64 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rafa Marín | D | 64 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Stanislav Lobotka | M | 64 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Scott McTominay | M | 64 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/2 |
| Alex Meret | G | 64 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Leonardo Spinazzola | D | 64 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Frank Anguissa | M | 64 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/2 |
| Rasmus Højlund | F | 64 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Alisson Santos | F | 64 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — |
| Matteo Politano | F | 64 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| David Neres | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kevin De Bruyne | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Vanja Milinković-Savić | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nikita Contini | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sam Beukema | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mathías Olivera | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Billy Gilmour | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lorenzo Lucca | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Giovane | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Antonio Vergara | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Costantino Favasuli | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Christian Garofalo | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Noa Lang | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Genoa vs Napoli?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Napoli to win against Genoa.
- What score did Fipster predict for Genoa vs Napoli?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Genoa 0–1 Napoli.
- What were the win probabilities for Genoa vs Napoli?
- Fipster's model gave Genoa a 11% chance of winning, Napoli a 77% chance, and a 12% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 77% confidence — a high-confidence call.