Genoa vs Frosinone
Genoa claw back to deny Frosinone
A late first-half strike and a second-half equaliser settle the points in a gritty Serie A draw.
Frosinone took an early lead through G. Kvernadze's 14th-minute goal, but Genoa responded just after the break with J. Vásquez's equaliser. Despite L. Colombo missing a penalty in stoppage time of the first half, Genoa managed to secure a share of the spoils at 1-1. This result defied Fipster's high-confidence prediction of a Frosinone away win, proving the home side's resilience.
Outcome probability
The new season kicks off with Genoa facing off against newly promoted Frosinone. Both teams have reshaped their squads over the summer, setting the stage for an intriguing clash as they look to start their campaigns on a positive note.
Key facts
- 1.Genoa finished 16th in Serie A last season with 41 points from 38 games.
- 2.Frosinone are newly promoted to this division for the new season.
- 3.Genoa have signed D. Sow and taken M. Mitaj and T. Baldanzi on loan over the summer.
- 4.Frosinone have strengthened with R. Schmid, A. Zerbin, and P. Masini on loan.
- 5.The predicted final score is a 3-1 away win for Frosinone.
- 6.Halftime score is expected to be 0-2 in favour of Frosinone.
- 7.The match is forecast to have around four total cards.
The context
Genoa, having finished 16th in Serie A last season with 41 points, have made several changes including signing D. Sow and bringing in M. Mitaj and T. Baldanzi on loan. They have also parted ways with R. Malinovskyi, N. Leali, and loaned out P. Masini. Meanwhile, Frosinone, newly promoted to this division, have strengthened their squad with the arrivals of R. Schmid, A. Zerbin, and P. Masini on loan. This match marks their first competitive fixture in this league, setting the tone for their campaign ahead.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Genoa
Away — Frosinone
Analysis
The prediction strongly favours an away win for Frosinone, with a 79% combined probability for that outcome. The most likely scoreline is 3-1 in favour of Frosinone, with a halftime score of 2-0 suggesting they will establish control early on. Genoa's points-per-game advantage from last season does not seem to translate into this fixture, possibly due to Frosinone's fresh momentum and summer reinforcements. The match is also expected to be competitive in discipline, with an anticipated total of four cards.
Prediction
Expect Frosinone to start the season with a statement win, taking a 2-0 lead into halftime and finishing 3-1. Genoa may find the net once but will struggle to contain the visitors' attacking threat. The game promises some robust challenges, reflected in the predicted four cards.
The verdict
This season opener sets an exciting tone, with Frosinone looking to make their mark in a higher division. Genoa will need to regroup quickly after this setback if they are to improve on last season's finish. Fans can look forward to a lively encounter with plenty of action both on and off the ball.
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Kvernadze
Assist: Schmid
Cittadini
Yellow Card
Colombo
Missed Penalty · Assist: Colombo
Baldanzi
Cittadini
Ehizibue
Yellow Card
Vásquez
Assist: Sow
Ehizibue
Bracaglia
Yellow Card
Vásquez
Yellow Card
Colombo
Schmid
Raimondo
Ghedjemis
Sow
Ellertsson
Vásquez
Red Card
Vásquez
Yellow Card
Kvernadze
Match Statistics
Genoa
3-5-2Starting XI
- 1J. BijlowG
- 3K. EhizibueM
- 5L. ØstigårdD
- 8T. BaldanziM
- 18M. OsmajićF
- 22J. VásquezD
- 27A. MarcandalliD
- 29L. ColomboF
- 32M. FrendrupM
- 77M. EllertssonM
- 97D. SowM
Substitutes
- 2M. MitajD
- 4Alexsandro AmorimM
- 9VítinhaF
- 10Junior MessiasF
- 11E. MeichtryM
- 16C. DramehD
- 20S. SabelliD
- 25H. TraorèM
- 31D. PuczkaD
- 34S. OtoaD
- 39D. SommarivaG
- 71S. WiafeM
- 92S. El ShaarawyF
- 99F. StolzG
Frosinone
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 2G. CittadiniD
- 3G. CalvaniD
- 7F. GhedjemisM
- 9A. RaimondoF
- 10R. SchmidM
- 14G. CalòM
- 17G. KvernadzeM
- 20A. OyonoD
- 22L. PalmisaniG
- 73P. MasiniM
- 79G. BracagliaD
Substitutes
- 5W. AmeyD
- 11D. BîrligeaF
- 12M. PisseriG
- 16Matteo CichellaM
- 24A. ZerbinF
- 25K. AkpogumaD
- 30I. MonterisiD
- 34A. El AzzouziM
- 40S. FiniF
- 70L. HasaM
- 71A. TerzićD
- 74Omar FayedD
- 89T. BobčekF
- 90E. TchatoD
- 91S. DesplanchesG
Genoa
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Johan Vásquez(C) | D | 86 | 7.3 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | — | — |
| Leo Østigård | D | 91 | 7.2 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | — |
| Justin Bijlow | G | 91 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Djibril Sow | M | 79 | 6.9 | — | 1 | — | — | 4 | — |
| Mikael Ellertsson | M | 80 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Alessandro Marcandalli | D | 91 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Morten Frendrup | M | 91 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| Tommaso Baldanzi | M | 45 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Kingsley Ehizibue | M | 60 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| Milutin Osmajić | F | 91 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| Lorenzo Colombo | F | 70 | 5.6 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0/1 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Franz Stolz | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Hamed Junior Traorè | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Stefano Sabelli | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Daniele Sommariva | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Cody Drameh | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mario Mitaj | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| David Puczka | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sebastian Otoa | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Samuel Wiafe | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Junior Messias | F | 46 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | 2/3 |
| Alexsandro Amorim | M | 12 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Vitinha | F | 21 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/2 |
| Franz-Ethan Meichtry | M | 11 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Stephan El Shaarawy | F | 31 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Frosinone
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Giorgi Kvernadze | M | 87 | 8.0 | 1 | — | 2 | 2 | 6 | 1/4 |
| Gabriele Calvani | D | 91 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Giacomo Calò | M | 91 | 6.9 | — | — | 3 | 1 | 2 | — |
| Lorenzo Palmisani | G | 91 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Giorgio Cittadini | D | 45 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Patrizio Masini | M | 91 | 6.5 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — |
| Antonio Raimondo | F | 71 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gabriele Bracaglia(C) | D | 91 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Farès Ghedjemis | M | 72 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1/5 |
| Romano Schmid | M | 71 | 6.3 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Anthony Oyono | D | 91 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/3 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Wisdom Amey | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Matteo Cichella | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Omar Fayed | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Aleksa Terzić | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kevin Akpoguma | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Matteo Pisseri | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alessio Zerbin | F | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Daniel Bîrligea | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Enzo Tchato Mbiayi | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Anouar El Azzouzi | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sebastiano Desplanches | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ilario Monterisi | D | 46 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | — |
| Tomáš Bobček | F | 20 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Seydou Fini | F | 19 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Luis Hasa | M | 20 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Genoa vs Frosinone?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Frosinone to win against Genoa.
- What score did Fipster predict for Genoa vs Frosinone?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Genoa 1–3 Frosinone.
- What were the win probabilities for Genoa vs Frosinone?
- Fipster's model gave Genoa a 2% chance of winning, Frosinone a 95% chance, and a 3% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 95% confidence — a high-confidence call.