Genoa vs Como
Match recap
Como beat Genoa 2–0 in their Serie A fixture. Douvikas and Diao scored for Como. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 0.59 for Genoa versus 0.98 for Como. Genoa sit 16th in the Serie A table while Como are 4th.
Analysis
Genoa host Como in what promises to be a closely fought Serie B encounter. With both teams eager to climb the table, expect a tactical battle peppered with moments of individual brilliance.
Como currently sit 5th with 58 points, comfortably ahead of Genoa's 13th place and 39 points. Historically, their meetings have been tight, with Como holding a slight edge and most matches ending in draws.
Como's attacking prowess, led by midfielder N. Paz who boasts 12 goals this season and an impressive recent scoring streak, gives them the edge. Genoa's injury woes, including the absence of key midfielder Malinovskyi, weaken their creativity. Meanwhile, Genoa's Aarón Martín remains a threat with his set-piece deliveries, but Como's solid defence and superior goal difference suggest they will prevail.
Prediction
We predict a 2-1 away win for Como, with a halftime score of 0-1. The match is expected to be competitive, but Como's form and key player contributions should see them edge out Genoa.
Outcome probability
Key Insights
Como's Midfield Firepower vs Genoa's Injuries
Como's top scorer Nico Paz is fit and in form, while Genoa misses key creative midfielder Malinovskyi due to suspension, weakening Genoa's midfield creativity.
Como's Superior Goal Scoring Form
Como's leading scorers have higher recent goal rates and better home scoring streaks compared to Genoa's attackers, supporting predicted away win.
Genoa's Defensive and Midfield Absences
Genoa missing key defender Østigård and midfielder Malinovskyi reduces defensive stability and attacking support, increasing vulnerability.
Genoa's Mixed Recent Form
Genoa has scored in recent matches but also conceded frequently, indicating defensive frailty despite some attacking threat.
Aarón Martín's Set-Piece Threat for Genoa
Genoa's Martín is a key assist provider with strong set-piece delivery, potentially unlocking Como's defense despite overall team struggles.
Key Takeaways
In summary, Como's consistent form and attacking firepower, combined with Genoa's injury setbacks, point towards an away victory. Fans can expect a spirited contest, but Como should take the spoils.
- Como rank 5th with 58 points; Genoa 13th with 39 points.
- In 5 head-to-head matches, Como won once, Genoa none, with 4 draws.
- Como has a +29 goal difference; Genoa has -6 this season.
- Como's N. Paz scored 12 goals, including 10 in last 5 games.
- Genoa's Aarón Martín leads with 5 assists, strong on set-pieces.
- Genoa missing key midfielder Malinovskyi due to suspension.
- Como's T. Douvikas has 7 goals in last 5 home games.
- Total cards expected around 4, indicating a competitive match.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Genoa
Away — Como
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Douvikas
Assist: da Cunha
Diego Carlos
Yellow Card
Diao
Yellow Card
Bijlow
Paz
Diego Carlos
Otoa
Diao
Assist: Caqueret
Ekhator
Amorim
Sabelli
Douvikas
Diao
Kempf
Yellow Card
Junior Messias
Yellow Card
Baturina
Match Statistics
Genoa
3-5-2Starting XI
- 4Alexsandro AmorimM
- 5L. ØstigårdD
- 9VítinhaF
- 16J. BijlowG
- 20S. SabelliM
- 21J. EkhatorF
- 22J. VásquezM
- 27A. MarcandalliD
- 32M. FrendrupM
- 34S. OtoaD
- 77M. EllertssonM
Substitutes
- 1N. LealiG
- 3Aarón MartínD
- 10Junior MessiasF
- 13N. ZätterströmD
- 14J. OnanaM
- 17R. MalinovskyiM
- 29L. ColomboF
- 39D. SommarivaG
- 70M. CornetF
- 73P. MasiniM
- 80Jacopo GrossiM
- 99W. L. OuedraogoD
Como
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1J. ButezG
- 3Álex ValleD
- 10N. PazM
- 11T. DouvikasF
- 14Jacobo Ramón NaverosD
- 20M. BaturinaM
- 23M. PerroneM
- 28I. SmolčićD
- 33L. da CunhaM
- 34Diego CarlosD
- 38Assane DiaoM
Substitutes
- 2M. KempfD
- 5E. GoldanigaD
- 6M. CaqueretM
- 7Álvaro MorataF
- 15A. LahdoM
- 17Jesús RodríguezF
- 18Alberto MorenoD
- 19N. KühnF
- 21N. TörnqvistG
- 22M. VigoritoG
- 44N. ČavlinaG
- 77I. Van der BremptD
Genoa
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vitinha | F | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 2/4 |
| Alexsandro Amorim | M | 70 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 2/2 |
| Jeff Ekhator | F | 70 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| Alessandro Marcandalli | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Johan Vásquez(C) | M | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 3/5 |
| Leo Østigård | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Morten Frendrup | M | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Sebastian Otoa | D | 57 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Stefano Sabelli | M | 81 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/3 |
| Justin Bijlow | G | 45 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mikael Ellertsson | M | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/2 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Jacopo Grossi | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Patrizio Masini | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wedtoin Latif Ouedraogo | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nils Zätterström | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mamedi Doucoure | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Aarón Martín | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Daniele Sommariva | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jean Onana | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Junior Messias | F | 33 | 7.0 | — | — | 2 | — | — | 1/1 |
| Maxwel Cornet | F | 9 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Lorenzo Colombo | F | 20 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ruslan Malinovskyi | M | 20 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Nicola Leali | G | 45 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Como
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anastasios Douvikas | F | 81 | 7.6 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/2 |
| Lucas Da Cunha(C) | M | 90 | 7.5 | — | 1 | — | — | 2 | 1/1 |
| Jean Butez | G | 90 | 7.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jacobo Ramón | D | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Álex Valle | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Martin Baturina | M | 89 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | 4 | 2/2 |
| Ivan Smolčić | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Assane Diao | M | 81 | 6.7 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/3 |
| Diego Carlos | D | 57 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/1 |
| Máximo Perrone | M | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nico Paz | M | 45 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | — | — | 2/2 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Adrian Lahdo | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jesús Rodriguez | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alberto Moreno | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nikola Čavlina | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Noel Törnqvist | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nicolas-Gerrit Kühn | F | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Mauro Vigorito | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Edoardo Goldaniga | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Marc Kempf | D | 33 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alvaro Morata | F | 9 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ignace Van der Brempt | D | 9 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Maxence Caqueret | M | 45 | 6.5 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1 | — |