Genoa vs AC Milan
Your time to shine.
Fancy your chances? Challenge a mate on this game.
Challenge a friendGenoa face off against AC Milan in the 11th round of the regular season, with both sides eager to improve their league standing. The match promises a tactical battle, with Milan's stronger form and goal difference suggesting a slight edge.
The context
AC Milan currently sit 5th in the league with 21 points from 10 games, while Genoa are 13th with 10 points from 9 games. Historically, Milan have dominated this fixture, winning 11 of the 20 meetings against Genoa, who have managed just 3 wins.
Match factors
AC Milan's attacking depth vs Genoa's defense
AC Milan's top scorers have strong recent form and scoring rates, while Genoa lacks top scorers, favoring Milan's attack
Strahinja Pavlović's defensive dominance
Pavlović's passing accuracy (91%) and duel win rate (72%) exceed league averages, providing Milan a defensive edge
Alphadjo Cissè's recent scoring streak
Cissè scored 2 goals in last 5 games, showing strong form and likelihood to score again
Genoa's doubt over Ellertsson's fitness
Ellertsson is doubtful with an ankle injury; if fit, he could influence midfield both defensively and offensively
Adrien Rabiot's dual threat role
Rabiot contributes both goals (4) and assists (3), making him a key creative and scoring threat for Milan
Analysis
The first half is expected to be cagey, with a 0-0 halftime scoreline the most probable outcome. Milan's attacking depth, led by Alphadjo Cissè who has 4 goals in 6 games, contrasts with Genoa's struggles to find the net. Midfielder Adrien Rabiot-Provost adds both goals and assists for Milan, making them a threat in the final third. Genoa's M. Ellertsson is doubtful with an ankle injury, which could weaken their midfield balance. Defensively, Milan's Strahinja Pavlović boasts impressive passing accuracy and duel success, providing a solid foundation for the Rossoneri.
Key insights
Alphadjo Cissè
AC Milan
Leading scorer with 4 goals in 6 games, showing strong recent form and a key attacking threat.
Serie A 26/274 goals in 6 appearances, 0.67 goals/game
- A
Adrien Rabiot-Provost
AC Milan
A dual threat with 4 goals and 3 assists, vital for Milan's creative and scoring play.
Serie A 26/274 goals and 3 assists in 7 appearances
- S
Strahinja Pavlović
AC Milan
Exceptional defensive presence with 91% passing accuracy and 72% duel win rate, bolstering Milan's backline.
Serie A 26/2791% passing accuracy, 72% duel win rate
M. Ellertsson
Genoa
Doubtful with an ankle injury; his presence could influence Genoa's midfield both offensively and defensively if fit.
Serie A 26/27Recent goal and assist contributions
Prediction
We predict AC Milan to clinch a 2-1 victory after a tight first half. The Rossoneri's superior goal difference and recent form should see them edge out Genoa in a closely fought encounter, with goals coming in the second half.
Key facts
- 1.AC Milan have won 11 of 20 meetings against Genoa, with 6 draws and 3 Genoa wins.
- 2.AC Milan are 5th in the league with 21 points from 10 games (W6 D3 L1).
- 3.Genoa are 13th with 10 points from 9 games (W3 D1 L5).
- 4.AC Milan have a goal difference of +9, while Genoa have -5.
- 5.Alphadjo Cissè is AC Milan's top scorer with 4 goals in 6 appearances.
- 6.Adrien Rabiot-Provost has contributed 4 goals and 3 assists for AC Milan this season.
- 7.Strahinja Pavlović has a passing accuracy of 91% and a duel win rate of 72%.
The verdict
While the match looks finely balanced on paper, Milan's attacking prowess and defensive solidity give them the slight advantage. Genoa will need to overcome injury doubts and find a way to contain Milan's key players if they are to avoid defeat.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Genoa
Away — AC Milan
Prediction generated 1 Nov 2026, 18:59 UTC · Fipster Model v1.166
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Prediction Q&A
- Who does Fipster predict will win Genoa vs AC Milan?
- Fipster's AI model predicts AC Milan to win against Genoa.
- What is the predicted score for Genoa vs AC Milan?
- Fipster predicts a final score of Genoa 1–2 AC Milan.
- What are the win probabilities for Genoa vs AC Milan?
- Fipster's model gives Genoa a 31% chance of winning, AC Milan a 38% chance, and a 31% chance of a draw.
- How confident is Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigns this prediction 38% confidence — a low-confidence call.