Gençlerbirliği S.K. vs Erzurumspor FK
Gençlerbirliği snatch draw against Erzurumspor
A late reply from A. Traoré rescues a point for the home side.
Erzurumspor FK took the lead shortly after the break through E. Tozlu, but Gençlerbirliği S.K. fought back with a 66th-minute strike from A. Traoré to level the scores. The 1-1 draw defied Fipster's medium-confidence prediction of an away win, proving the home side's resilience in this Süper Lig encounter.
Outcome probability
The new season kicks off with an intriguing clash between Gençlerbirliği S.K. and newly promoted Erzurumspor FK. Both sides are eager to set the tone early, with Erzurumspor looking to make an immediate impact after their promotion, while Gençlerbirliği aim to assert their presence following last season's efforts.
Key facts
- 1.Gençlerbirliği S.K. finished 14th in the Süper Lig last season with 34 points from 34 games.
- 2.Erzurumspor FK are newly promoted to this league.
- 3.Erzurumspor FK have a better goal difference than Gençlerbirliği S.K. from last season.
- 4.Gençlerbirliği S.K. signed Kévin Rodrigues as a free agent during the summer.
- 5.Erzurumspor FK added E. Owusu (transfer) and E. Taşkıran (free agent) to their squad.
- 6.Gençlerbirliği S.K. lost M. Mimaroğlu on a free transfer.
- 7.The predicted final score is 1-2 in favour of Erzurumspor FK.
- 8.The match is expected to feature around three cards, indicating a moderately physical game.
The context
Gençlerbirliği S.K. finished 14th in the Süper Lig last season, accumulating 34 points from 34 games. Erzurumspor FK, stepping up from a lower division, bring fresh energy and new signings such as E. Owusu and E. Taşkıran, aiming to prove their mettle at this higher level. Gençlerbirliği have also made changes, including the arrival of Kévin Rodrigues and the departure of M. Mimaroğlu, shaping their squad for the challenges ahead.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Away — Erzurumspor FK
Analysis
While Gençlerbirliği have a points-per-game advantage from last season, Erzurumspor's superior goal difference and fresh additions suggest they could edge this encounter. The predicted 2-1 scoreline reflects a close contest, with Erzurumspor's attacking potential likely to tip the scales. The match is expected to feature a moderate number of cards, indicating a competitive but controlled affair.
Prediction
The forecast sees Erzurumspor FK clinching a 2-1 victory over Gençlerbirliği S.K. This outcome is based on aggregate probabilities favouring the away side, with the 1-2 scoreline being the most probable exact result. Expect a tightly contested match with Erzurumspor just shading it in the final moments.
The verdict
As the season opener, this fixture promises excitement and a glimpse of what’s to come. Erzurumspor FK look set to make a positive statement with a narrow win, while Gençlerbirliği will be keen to bounce back quickly. Fans can anticipate a spirited encounter that sets the tone for the campaign ahead.
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Yumlu
Yellow Card
Tozlu
Pedro Pereira
Yellow Card
Traoré
Assist: Diabate
Ülgün
Yellow Card
Ülgün
Fettahoğlu
Tozlu
Koïta
Owusu
Yellow Card
Goal Disallowed - offside
Rodríguez
Ovacıklı
Giorbelidze
Tiago Gouveia
Diabate
Yellow Card
Mujakić
Yellow Card
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +5 | 7 | |
| 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +2 | 7 | |
| 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 6 | |
| 16 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 1 | |
| 17 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -7 | 1 | |
| 18 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -4 | 0 |
Match Statistics
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
4-3-3Starting XI
- 4Ž. ŽužekD
- 6D. GoutasD
- 7Tiago GouveiaF
- 10F. TongyaM
- 13Pedro PereiraD
- 14A. TraoréF
- 20S. KoïtaF
- 35O. ÜlgünM
- 42Ousmane DiabateM
- 70İ. EğribayatG
- 77A. DursunD
Substitutes
- 2Thalisson KelvenD
- 3Y. AydarD
- 8E. KemaloğluM
- 17Arda Aslan ErkM
- 23G. AkkanG
- 45P. MartorF
- 48S. UçanM
- 52G. ErdemM
- 88F. ÜzümD
- 90M. BaltacıD
Erzurumspor FK
5-4-1Starting XI
- 1E. TaşkıranG
- 4A. GerxhaliuD
- 6B. BaiyeM
- 10E. TozluF
- 15G. GiorbelidzeD
- 18N. MujakićD
- 22M. YumluD
- 42E. OwusuM
- 53O. OvacıklıD
- 65M. RodríguezM
- 99M. FettahoğluM
Substitutes
- 2F. EboseleD
- 3Y. KırtayD
- 5C. AkpınarM
- 8S. AkgünM
- 9G. KerkF
- 19I. DiabateF
- 20Miguel CardosoF
- 23C. BayrakD
- 31M. OrbanićG
- 90N. AxundzadəF
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adama Malouda Traoré | F | 96 | 7.6 | 1 | — | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2/4 |
| Tiago Gouveia | F | 92 | 7.3 | — | — | 3 | 2 | 3 | 3/4 |
| Žan Žužek | D | 96 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Ousmane Diabate | M | 96 | 7.0 | — | 1 | 3 | — | 1 | — |
| Sekou Koita | F | 80 | 6.9 | — | — | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1/1 |
| Franco Tongya | M | 96 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 0/1 |
| Abdurrahim Dursun | D | 96 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pedro Pereira | D | 96 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| İrfan Can Eğribayat | G | 96 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dimitris Goutas(C) | D | 96 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Oğulcan Ülgün | M | 71 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Göktug Erdem | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Yiğit Hamza Aydar | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Thalisson | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gökhan Akkan | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Prince Martor | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Metehan Baltacı | D | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fıratcan Üzüm | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Erk Arda Aslan | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ensar Kemaloğlu | M | 16 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Salih Uçan | M | 25 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
Erzurumspor FK
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eren Tozlu | F | 71 | 7.5 | 1 | — | 4 | 2 | — | 0/1 |
| Amar Gerxhaliu | D | 96 | 7.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Orhan Ovacıklı | D | 85 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| Ertuğrul Taşkıran | G | 96 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Brandon Baiye | M | 96 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Guram Giorbelidze | D | 89 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Nihad Mujakić | D | 96 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/2 |
| Martín Rodríguez | M | 85 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1/1 |
| Mustafa Yumlu(C) | D | 96 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Mustafa Fettahoglu | M | 71 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Elisha Owusu | M | 96 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Yakup Kırtay | D | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Cengizhan Bayrak | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Matija Orbanić | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sefa Akgün | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Murat Cem Akpinar | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gyrano Kerk | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nariman Akhundzade | F | 11 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Festy Ebosele | D | 11 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Miguel Cardoso | F | 25 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Ibrahim Diabaté | F | 25 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |






