Gençlerbirliği S.K. vs Amed
Gençlerbirliği and Amed share spoils in thriller
A late equaliser from Thalisson Kelven rescues a point for Gençlerbirliği against resilient Amed.
Amed took an early lead through D. Sabia's penalty before Rafael Luís levelled for Gençlerbirliği after the break. S. Ballet restored Amed's advantage, but Thalisson Kelven's 90+2' strike ensured a 2-2 draw. This result defied Fipster's high-confidence prediction of a narrow home win.
Outcome probability
As the regular season unfolds, Gençlerbirliği S.K. and Amed prepare to face off in what promises to be a closely contested match. Both teams have shown glimpses of quality, but the home side's recent form suggests they have the upper hand.
Match factors
Gift Orban's Prolific Scoring Form
Gift Orban leads with 6 goals in 5 games, a major threat for Amed's attack
Gençlerbirliği's Home Scoring Consistency
Gençlerbirliği has scored in all recent home games, supporting their predicted 2 goals
Dimitrios Goutas' Set-Piece Threat
Goutas' assist and defensive solidity provide Gençlerbirliği a dual advantage
Amed's Doubtful Midfielder Yira Sor
Yira Sor's doubtful status may reduce midfield creativity for Amed if he misses out
Ousmane Diabate's Dual Role Impact
Diabate's scoring and assist contributions combined with high minutes make him pivotal
The context
Gençlerbirliği S.K. currently sit second in the league with 7 points from 3 games, boasting an unbeaten record of two wins and a draw. Amed, on the other hand, are positioned 12th with 3 points from 2 games, having won one and lost one. The points-per-game advantage clearly favours Gençlerbirliği, who have been particularly effective on home turf.
Key insights
Gift Orban
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Leads the league with 6 goals in 5 games, boasting a strong home scoring rate of 1.67 goals per game, making him a major threat.
Süper Lig 26/276 goals in 5 appearances, 349 mins, 1 yellow card
Dimitrios Goutas
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Provides defensive stability and offensive threat with 1 assist in 5 games, contributing to set-piece effectiveness.
Süper Lig 26/271 assist in 5 appearances, 450 mins, 1 yellow card
Ousmane Diabate
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Key creative and scoring midfielder with 1 goal and 1 assist in 5 games, playing high minutes despite disciplinary risks.
Süper Lig 26/271 goal and 1 assist in 5 appearances, 420 mins, 3 yellows
Analysis
The prediction leans heavily towards a home win, supported by a dominant 76% probability for Gençlerbirliği S.K. to claim victory. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, with a halftime lead of 1-0 indicating a steady progression for the hosts. Key to this forecast is the prolific form of Gift Orban, who leads the league with six goals in five games and boasts an impressive home scoring rate of 1.67 goals per game. Additionally, Dimitrios Goutas offers both defensive solidity and offensive threat through set-pieces, while Ousmane Diabate's dual role in scoring and assisting adds further firepower. Amed's midfield creativity may be hampered by the doubtful status of Yira Sor, potentially tipping the balance further in favour of Gençlerbirliği.
Key facts
- 1.Gençlerbirliği S.K. are second in the league with 7 points from 3 games (W2 D1 L0).
- 2.Amed are twelfth with 3 points from 2 games (W1 D0 L1).
- 3.Gençlerbirliği S.K. have a points-per-game advantage of 2.33 over Amed's 1.50.
- 4.Gift Orban leads the league with 6 goals in 5 games, averaging 1.2 goals per game.
- 5.Gençlerbirliği S.K. have scored in all recent home games, showing consistent attacking form.
- 6.Dimitrios Goutas contributes both defensively and offensively with 1 assist in 5 games.
- 7.Ousmane Diabate plays a pivotal role with 1 goal and 1 assist in 5 games.
- 8.Amed's Yira Sor is doubtful, potentially impacting their midfield creativity.
Prediction
Expect Gençlerbirliği S.K. to take an early lead and maintain control, finishing the match 2-1. The home side's consistent scoring at home and key player contributions should see them edge out Amed in this encounter.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Away — Amed
The verdict
In summary, Gençlerbirliği S.K.'s strong home form and attacking prowess make them the favourites to secure all three points against Amed. While Amed will undoubtedly fight hard, the home side's quality and momentum are likely to prove decisive.
Prediction generated 20 Sep 2026, 19:03 UTC · Fipster Model v1.161
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Thalisson Kelven
Yellow Card
Eğribayat
Yellow Card
Sabia
Penalty
Dursun
Meraş
Yellow Card
Rafael LuÃs
Dellova
Yellow Card
Soyalp
Yellow Card
Baltacı
Yellow Card
Khalil
Üzüm
Yellow Card
Üzüm
Ballet
Assist: Raveloson
Lafont
Yellow Card
Rafael LuÃs
Tongya
Sabia
Dellova
Krasniqi
Soyalp
Thalisson Kelven
Assist: Tiago Gouveia
Tiago Gouveia
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Galatasaray | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +5 | 7 |
| 2 |  Gençlerbirliği S.K. | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +2 | 7 |
| 3 |  Fenerbahçe | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 6 |
| 11 |  Gaziantep FK | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 12 |  Amed | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 13 |  Beşiktaş | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
Match Statistics
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 2Thalisson KelvenD
- 6D. GoutasD
- 7Tiago GouveiaF
- 9Pedro MendesF
- 10F. TongyaF
- 42Ousmane DiabateM
- 70İ. EğribayatG
- 77A. DursunM
- 83Rafael LuÃsM
- 88F. ÜzümM
- 90M. BaltacıD
Substitutes
- 3Y. AydarD
- 12V. OrakpoF
- 15A. ÇelikD
- 17Arda Aslan ErkM
- 23G. AkkanG
- 45P. MartorF
- 48S. UçanM
- 52G. ErdemM
- 53M. ÇavuşoğluD
Amed
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 4D. BatesD
- 5L. DellovaD
- 7E. KrasniqiD
- 8F. SoyalpM
- 10S. BalletM
- 17U. MeraşD
- 22R. RavelosonM
- 40A. LafontG
- 74M. KhalilM
- 91D. SabiaM
- 99G. OrbanF
Substitutes
- 3M. AcerD
- 6C. ÜstündagM
- 21M. YeşilD
- 27B. BozanG
- 45M. DiagneF
- 47K. DemirtaşD
- 81A. BülbülD
- 93R. LutinM
- 97B. KizildemirM
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rafael Luis | M | 77 | 7.9 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | — | — |
| Ousmane Diabate | M | 77 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Pedro Mendes | F | 77 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Thalisson | D | 77 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Metehan Baltacı | D | 77 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fıratcan Üzüm | M | 66 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Dimitris Goutas(C) | D | 77 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 2/2 |
| İrfan Can Eğribayat | G | 77 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Abdurrahim Dursun | M | 45 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Franco Tongya | F | 77 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/2 |
| Tiago Gouveia | F | 77 | 5.6 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1/8 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Gökhan Akkan | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ensar Çavuşoğlu | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Göktug Erdem | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Arda Cagan Celik | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Victor Orakpo | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Prince Martor | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Erk Arda Aslan | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Yiğit Hamza Aydar | D | 11 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Salih Uçan | M | 32 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Amed
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Ballet | M | 77 | 8.3 | 1 | — | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3/6 |
| Dia Saba | M | 77 | 7.9 | 1 | — | 4 | 2 | 3 | 1/2 |
| Lumbardh Dellova | D | 77 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Umut Meraş | D | 77 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 3 | — |
| Ermal Krasniqi | D | 77 | 7.0 | — | — | 2 | — | 2 | 1/1 |
| Gift Orban | F | 77 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Rayan Raveloson | M | 77 | 6.9 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 2 | — |
| Furkan Soyalp | M | 77 | 6.9 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Mohamed Khalil | M | 61 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 3/3 |
| Alban Lafont(C) | G | 77 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| David Robert Bates | D | 77 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Berk Kızıldemir | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mbaye Diagne | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Burak Bozan | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kahraman Demirtaş | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mehmet Yeşil | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Miraç Acer | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Cem Üstündag | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rayan Lutin | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ali Turap Bülbül | D | 16 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/2 |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Gençlerbirliği S.K. vs Amed?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Gençlerbirliği S.K. to win against Amed.
- What score did Fipster predict for Gençlerbirliği S.K. vs Amed?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Gençlerbirliği S.K. 2–1 Amed.
- What were the win probabilities for Gençlerbirliği S.K. vs Amed?
- Fipster's model gave Gençlerbirliği S.K. a 95% chance of winning, Amed a 2% chance, and a 3% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 95% confidence — a high-confidence call.