GAP Connah S Quay FC vs Ballkani

UEFA Europa Conference League1st Qualifying Round
Ref: J. I. JonssonEssity Stadium, Y Fflint / Flint, Flintshire · 1,164 cap
Fipster Pick
Home WinhighMiss
Qualifying — two-legged tieLeg 1 of 2
Aggregate:
GAP Connah S Quay FC 2 3 Ballkani
Advances:
Ballkani

Match recap

GAP Connah S Quay FC and Ballkani drew 0–0 in their UEFA Europa Conference League fixture.

Fipster’s pre-match call

Predicted

1-0 GAP Connah S Quay FC win

Actual

0–0

✗ Missed

Outcome probability

GAP Connah S Quay FC 73%Draw 14%Ballkani 13%

This first qualifying round clash between GAP Connah S Quay FC and Ballkani promises a tactical battle with both sides eager to make their mark early in the competition.

Match factors

Form Momentummedium

Connah S Quay's recent scoring streak

Connah S Quay have scored in their last away match and show positive scoring momentum despite limited games

Form Momentumhigh

Ballkani's consistent scoring and conceding

Ballkani have scored in 3 of their last 4 matches but also conceded in 3, indicating open games

Tactical Advantagemedium

Connah S Quay's home defensive solidity

Connah S Quay have kept a clean sheet in their only recent home game, suggesting defensive strength at home

Statistical Edgemedium

Ballkani's stronger home scoring record

Ballkani average 3 goals per home game, significantly higher than their away scoring, indicating home advantage

The context

Connah S Quay have played two matches in this competition so far, managing a draw and a loss with a total of two goals scored and three conceded. Ballkani, on the other hand, have been more active with four matches, winning twice, drawing once, and losing once, scoring seven goals but conceding six. Their previous head-to-head meetings show Ballkani with a slight edge, having won once and drawn once against Connah S Quay.

Key insights

  • M

    Max Woodcock

    GAP Connah S Quay FC

    Max Woodcock has been a key contributor in attack, scoring a penalty in a recent away match against Ballkani and showing above average goal threat under pressure.

    UEFA Europa Conference League 26/27Scored a penalty in recent away match vs Ballkani

  • H

    H. Mehasseb

    GAP Connah S Quay FC

    H. Mehasseb has demonstrated attacking threat from midfield or forward positions, contributing to the team's scoring in high-pressure games including a goal in a recent home match against Ballkani.

    UEFA Europa Conference League 26/27Scored in recent home match vs Ballkani

Analysis

Connah S Quay have demonstrated solid defensive capabilities at home, keeping a clean sheet in their recent home fixture. Their recent scoring streak, including a goal in their last away match, suggests they have the attacking edge needed to break down Ballkani's defence. Ballkani have been involved in open games, scoring in three of their last four matches but also conceding in three, which could play into Connah S Quay's hands. The home side's defensive resilience combined with their positive scoring momentum makes them favourites to clinch a narrow victory.

Key facts

  1. 1.Connah S Quay have played 2 matches in this competition (W0 D1 L1, GF 2 / GA 3)
  2. 2.Ballkani have played 4 matches in this competition (W2 D1 L1, GF 7 / GA 6)
  3. 3.In 2 head-to-head meetings, Connah S Quay have won 0, Ballkani have won 1, with 1 draw
  4. 4.Connah S Quay kept a clean sheet in their recent home game
  5. 5.Ballkani have scored in 3 of their last 4 matches but also conceded in 3
  6. 6.Connah S Quay have scored in their last away match, showing positive momentum
  7. 7.Ballkani average 3 goals per home game, higher than their away scoring
  8. 8.The predicted total cards for the match is 4

Prediction

We predict a 1-0 win for Connah S Quay, with the decisive goal coming in the first half and the home side holding on to their lead through disciplined defending. The match is expected to be tight, with a total of four cards likely as both teams contest fiercely.

The verdict

In summary, Connah S Quay's home defensive strength and recent form should see them edge out Ballkani in a closely fought encounter. Expect a tight game with limited goals but plenty of competitive spirit.

Prediction generated 14 Oct 2026, 12:59 UTC · Fipster Model v1.163

Prediction Q&A

Who did Fipster predict to win GAP Connah S Quay FC vs Ballkani?
Fipster's AI model predicted GAP Connah S Quay FC to win against Ballkani.
What score did Fipster predict for GAP Connah S Quay FC vs Ballkani?
Fipster predicted a final score of GAP Connah S Quay FC 1–0 Ballkani.
What were the win probabilities for GAP Connah S Quay FC vs Ballkani?
Fipster's model gave GAP Connah S Quay FC a 73% chance of winning, Ballkani a 13% chance, and a 14% chance of a draw.
How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
Fipster's model assigned this prediction 73% confidence — a high-confidence call.