Galatasaray vs Kasımpaşa
Galatasaray seal win with late double
A. Bardakcı's opener set the tone before a Kasımpaşa reply was undone by two stoppage-time strikes.
Galatasaray secured a 3-1 victory over Kasımpaşa in the Süper Lig, with A. Bardakcı giving the hosts the lead just before half-time. J. Rak-Sakyi pulled one back for Kasımpaşa after the break, but Galatasaray's B. Yılmaz and M. Lemina struck in stoppage time to restore and extend the lead. Fipster's low-confidence prediction of a home win was on the money, though the final scoreline was a bit more emphatic than forecast.
Outcome probability
As the Turkish Süper Lig season progresses, Galatasaray and Kasımpaşa prepare to face off in what promises to be a competitive fixture. Both teams have shown solid form early in the campaign, setting the stage for an intriguing contest.
Match factors
Galatasaray missing top scorer Osimhen
Victor Osimhen is confirmed out injured, removing a key goal threat and shifting scoring burden to midfielders
Galatasaray's midfield leads in goals and assists
Gabriel Sara and Lucas Torreira combine strong goal and assist rates, compensating for Osimhen's absence
Kasımpaşa's Benedyczak is a consistent scoring threat
Benedyczak's 4 goals in 6 games and high minutes make him a focal point for away attacks
Galatasaray's strong home scoring streak
Galatasaray has scored in last 3 home games, showing attacking momentum despite missing striker
Kasımpaşa's wide players key for assists
Cláudio Winck and Benedyczak provide most assists, indicating reliance on wide play and crosses
The context
Galatasaray currently lead the league with 7 points from 3 games, while Kasımpaşa sit in 6th place with 5 points. Historically, Galatasaray have the upper hand in this matchup, having won 12 of their 19 meetings against Kasımpaşa. Matches between these sides tend to be lively affairs, averaging 3.7 goals per game, suggesting an open and attacking encounter.
Key insights
Gabriel Sara
Galatasaray
Gabriel Sara is a key creative hub with 2 goals and 2 assists in 5 games, stepping up in Osimhen's absence.
Süper Lig 26/272 goals and 2 assists in 5 appearances
- L
Lucas Torreira di Pascua
Galatasaray
Torreira leads assists with 2 in 5 games, providing both defensive cover and creativity.
Süper Lig 26/272 assists in 5 appearances
Adrian Benedyczak
Kasımpaşa
Benedyczak is a consistent scoring threat with 4 goals in 6 games, focal to Kasımpaşa's attack.
Süper Lig 26/274 goals in 6 appearances
Cláudio Winck
Kasımpaşa
Winck is crucial for Kasımpaşa's wide play, leading with 2 assists in 6 games.
Süper Lig 26/272 assists in 6 appearances
Analysis
Galatasaray will be without their top scorer Osimhen due to injury, shifting the goal-scoring responsibility to midfielders like Gabriel Sara and Lucas Torreira, who have been productive with goals and assists this season. Kasımpaşa rely heavily on Adrian Benedyczak, their top scorer with 4 goals in 6 games, and wide players such as Cláudio Winck who provide key assists. Both teams have shown attacking intent, but Galatasaray's strong home scoring streak and midfield creativity give them a slight edge.
Key facts
- 1.Galatasaray have won 12 of 19 meetings against Kasımpaşa.
- 2.Head-to-head matches average 3.7 goals, indicating open play.
- 3.Galatasaray lead the league with 7 points from 3 games.
- 4.Kasımpaşa are 6th with 5 points from 3 games.
- 5.Galatasaray have scored in their last 3 home games.
- 6.Adrian Benedyczak is Kasımpaşa's top scorer with 4 goals in 6 games.
- 7.Gabriel Sara has 2 goals and 2 assists in 5 games this season.
- 8.Cláudio Winck leads Kasımpaşa with 2 assists in 6 games.
Prediction
The prediction favours a home win for Galatasaray by a narrow 2-1 margin. While the probabilities for all outcomes are close, the most likely winning scoreline is 2-1, reflecting a competitive match with Galatasaray just edging it. Expect a game with multiple goals and some tactical battles in midfield.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Galatasaray
Away — Kasımpaşa
The verdict
In summary, this fixture is set to be a tight contest with Galatasaray's midfield stepping up in the absence of their main striker. Kasımpaşa will pose a threat through Benedyczak and their wide players, but the home side's attacking momentum and historical advantage should see them through to a 2-1 victory.
Prediction generated 19 Sep 2026, 19:00 UTC · Fipster Model v1.158
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Rafael Leão
Yellow Card
Mendes
Yellow Card
Demirbay
Yellow Card
Sánchez
Yellow Card
Bardakcı
Assist: Batrakov
Kol
Yellow Card
Baldursson
Yellow Card
Yalçın
Kol
Torreira
Red Card
Batrakov
Rafael Leão
Rak-Sakyi
Demirbay
Gül
Bardakcı
Karapo
Gabriel Sara
Lemina
Assist: Osimhen
Yılmaz
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Galatasaray | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +5 | 7 |
| 2 |  Gençlerbirliği S.K. | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +2 | 7 |
| 5 |  Rizespor | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 |
| 6 |  Kasımpaşa | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +1 | 5 |
| 7 |  Başakşehir | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 |
Match Statistics
Galatasaray
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1U. ÇakırG
- 4I. JakobsD
- 6D. SánchezD
- 8Gabriel SaraM
- 11Y. AkgünM
- 21D. GülF
- 27Rafael LeãoM
- 34L. TorreiraM
- 42A. BardakcıD
- 53B. YılmazD
- 83A. BatrakovM
Substitutes
- 3E. BitshiabuD
- 7R. SallaiF
- 10L. SanéF
- 17E. ElmalıD
- 20İ. GündoğanM
- 23K. AyhanD
- 24J. YılmazG
- 45V. OsimhenF
- 74Renato NhagaM
- 99M. LeminaM
Kasımpaşa
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1A. GianniotisG
- 2Cláudio WinckD
- 7A. KolM
- 9A. BenedyczakF
- 14K. MouangaD
- 16A. BaldurssonM
- 26K. DemirbayM
- 27M. IlieD
- 45A. KarapoD
- 50G. YalçınM
- 51Elson MendesM
Substitutes
- 4A. ArousD
- 5J. JessenD
- 8A. MüjdeM
- 10H. HajradinovićM
- 11T. DiarraF
- 17J. Rak-SakyiF
- 19M. RaffertyM
- 25A. YanarG
- 66E. BozM
- 99M. BektasF
Galatasaray
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barış Alper Yılmaz | D | 95 | 8.3 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2/6 |
| Abdülkerim Bardakcı(C) | D | 77 | 8.0 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | — | 1/1 |
| Rafael Leão | M | 67 | 7.5 | — | — | 3 | 2 | 2 | 4/6 |
| Gabriel Sara | M | 88 | 7.2 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 5 | 1/2 |
| Aleksey Batrakov | M | 67 | 7.2 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2/2 |
| Ismail Jakobs | D | 95 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Yunus Akgün | M | 95 | 6.9 | — | — | 2 | — | 2 | 2/4 |
| Davinson Sánchez | D | 95 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Deniz Gül | F | 77 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1/2 |
| Uğurcan Çakır | G | 95 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lucas Torreira | M | 65 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Jankat Yılmaz | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| İlkay Gündoğan | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Roland Sallai | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Renato Nhaga | M | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| El Chadaille Bitshiabu | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kaan Ayhan | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Leroy Sané | F | 18 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| Eren Elmalı | D | 28 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Victor Osimhen | F | 18 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Mario Lemina | M | 28 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
Kasımpaşa
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andreas Gianniotis | G | 95 | 8.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ayberk Karapo | D | 78 | 7.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/3 |
| Matei Ilie | D | 95 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Cláudio Winck(C) | D | 95 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/2 |
| Adrian Benedyczak | F | 95 | 6.9 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Andri Fannar Baldursson | M | 95 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ali Yavuz Kol | M | 58 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 3/5 |
| Kerem Demirbay | M | 70 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| Elson Mendes | M | 95 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kevin Mouanga | D | 95 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Güven Yalçın | M | 57 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Atakan Mujde | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Adem Arous | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Marcus Rafferty | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ali Emre Yanar | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Emirhan Boz | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Muhammed Bektaş | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jesurun Rak-Sakyi | F | 37 | 7.9 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | — | — |
| Thiemoko Diarra | F | 38 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| Haris Hajradinović | M | 25 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Jakob Jessen | D | 17 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Galatasaray vs Kasımpaşa?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Galatasaray to win against Kasımpaşa.
- What score did Fipster predict for Galatasaray vs Kasımpaşa?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Galatasaray 2–1 Kasımpaşa.
- What were the win probabilities for Galatasaray vs Kasımpaşa?
- Fipster's model gave Galatasaray a 35% chance of winning, Kasımpaşa a 32% chance, and a 33% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 35% confidence — a low-confidence call.