Fulham vs Newcastle
Match recap
Fulham beat Newcastle 2–0 in their Premier League fixture. Diop and Cairney scored for Fulham. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 1.69 for Fulham versus 0.25 for Newcastle. Fulham sit 11th in the Premier League table while Newcastle are 12th.
Analysis
As the Premier League season draws to a close, Fulham host Newcastle in what promises to be a tightly fought encounter at Craven Cottage. Both sides are neck and neck in the standings, making every point crucial.
Fulham and Newcastle have a rich history, with Newcastle holding a slight edge in head-to-head wins. Both teams sit on 49 points, separated only by goal difference, setting the stage for a competitive clash.
Fulham's Harry Wilson stands out as a key player, leading the team in goals and assists, particularly strong at home. Newcastle's midfield maestro Bruno Guimarães will look to control the game, but Fulham's defensive disruption due to Andersen's suspension and Sessegnon's injury could be pivotal.
Prediction
Expect a cautious first half with no goals, but Fulham's home advantage and Wilson's influence should see them edge out Newcastle 2-1 by full time. The match is likely to be physical, with around four cards expected.
Outcome probability
Key Insights
Fulham's Defensive Disruption Due to Andersen Suspension
Joachim Andersen's red card suspension weakens Fulham's defense, increasing vulnerability.
Sessegnon's Injury May Limit Fulham's Attacking Width
Ryan Sessegnon's hamstring injury questions his availability, reducing Fulham's offensive threat from defense.
Wilson's Dual Threat as Top Scorer and Assister
Harry Wilson leads Fulham in goals and assists, indicating central role in attack and chance creation.
Bruno Guimarães' Midfield Control for Newcastle
Bruno's high passing and tackling stats give Newcastle control in midfield, crucial against Fulham's attack.
Newcastle's Recent Scoring Consistency
Newcastle has scored in 4 of last 5 matches, showing attacking momentum despite defensive concessions.
Key Takeaways
In summary, Fulham's attacking edge and home comfort should just tip the scales against a resilient Newcastle side. Fans can anticipate a close game with moments of quality and tension until the final whistle.
- Newcastle leads head-to-head with 11 wins to Fulham's 7 in 20 matches.
- Average goals per head-to-head match is 2.5, indicating moderate scoring.
- Fulham and Newcastle both have 49 points, ranked 13th and 11th respectively.
- Fulham's Joachim Andersen is suspended due to a recent red card.
- Harry Wilson is Fulham's top scorer with 10 goals and 6 assists this season.
- Bruno Guimarães is Newcastle's key midfielder with strong passing and tackling stats.
- Newcastle has scored in 4 of their last 5 matches, showing attacking form.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Fulham
Away — Newcastle
No standout top scorers flagged for Newcastle
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Diop
Murphy
Kevin
Guimarães
Yellow Card
Guimarães
Osula
Wissa
Yellow Card
Bobb
Smith Rowe
Muniz
Woltemade
Cairney
Assist: Wilson
Burn
Diop
Robinson
Yellow Card
Cuenca
Yellow Card
Match Statistics
Fulham
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1B. LenoG
- 3C. BasseyD
- 9Rodrigo MunizF
- 14Oscar BobbM
- 16S. BergeM
- 17A. IwobiM
- 21T. CastagneD
- 22KevinM
- 31I. DiopD
- 32E. Smith RoweM
- 33A. RobinsonD
Substitutes
- 2K. TeteD
- 6H. ReedM
- 7R. JiménezF
- 8H. WilsonF
- 10T. CairneyM
- 15Jorge CuencaD
- 23B. LecomteG
- 24Joshua KingM
- 30R. SessegnonM
Newcastle
3-5-2Starting XI
- 1N. PopeG
- 3L. HallM
- 4S. BotmanD
- 12M. ThiawD
- 18W. OsulaF
- 23J. MurphyM
- 27N. WoltemadeF
- 28J. WillockM
- 33D. BurnD
- 39Bruno GuimarãesM
- 41J. RamseyM
Substitutes
- 2K. TrippierD
- 9Y. WissaF
- 10A. GordonF
- 11H. BarnesM
- 20A. ElangaF
- 26J. RuddyG
- 32A. RamsdaleG
- 37A. MurphyD
- 62S. NeaveF
Fulham
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Timothy Castagne | D | 99 | 7.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Alex Iwobi | M | 99 | 7.6 | — | — | 4 | 1 | 3 | 3/4 |
| Antonee Robinson | D | 99 | 7.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Issa Diop | D | 86 | 7.5 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Oscar Bobb | M | 72 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1/1 |
| Sander Berge | M | 99 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 1/1 |
| Calvin Bassey | D | 99 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Emile Smith Rowe | M | 72 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Bernd Leno(C) | G | 99 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kevin | M | 60 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 3/5 |
| Rodrigo Muniz | F | 72 | 6.2 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | 1/1 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Kenny Tete | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ryan Sessegnon | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Benjamin Lecomte | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Harrison Reed | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tom Cairney | M | 39 | 7.9 | 1 | — | 3 | 1 | 2 | — |
| Harry Wilson | F | 27 | 6.9 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Joshua King | M | 27 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Jorge Cuenca | D | 13 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Raúl Jiménez | F | 27 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
Newcastle
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sven Botman | D | 99 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| William Osula | F | 66 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Jacob Ramsey | M | 99 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/2 |
| Bruno Guimarães(C) | M | 66 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| Nick Woltemade | F | 77 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 0/2 |
| Nick Pope | G | 99 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Malick Thiaw | D | 99 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Joe Willock | M | 99 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| Dan Burn | D | 84 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jacob Murphy | M | 45 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Lewis Hall | M | 99 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | 1/2 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Aaron Ramsdale | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kieran Trippier | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| John Ruddy | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Anthony Gordon | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alex Murphy | D | 15 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Anthony Elanga | F | 33 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Yoane Wissa | F | 33 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Sean Neave | F | 22 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Harvey Barnes | M | 54 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |