Fulham vs Crystal Palace
Palace snatch victory in Fulham thriller
T. Mitchell's brace and Chilwell's strike secure a 3-2 win away from home.
Fulham started brightly with Joshua King opening the scoring early on, and César Palacios restoring their lead before the break. However, Crystal Palace fought back with T. Mitchell netting twice, including a crucial goal just after the interval, and B. Chilwell sealing the win late on. This 3-2 result defied Fipster's medium-confidence prediction of a narrow Fulham victory.
Outcome probability
The new Premier League season kicks off with Fulham facing Crystal Palace in what promises to be a closely contested encounter. Both teams have refreshed their squads over the summer, setting the stage for an intriguing battle as they look to start the campaign on a positive note.
Key facts
- 1.Fulham finished higher than Crystal Palace in the league last season.
- 2.Fulham have a better goal difference by six goals compared to Crystal Palace.
- 3.Fulham signed S. Charles and Gonzalo García during the summer transfer window.
- 4.Crystal Palace signed A. Khalaili and Óscar Mingueza but lost M. Lacroix and M. Guéhi.
- 5.The predicted final score is 1-0 in favour of Fulham.
- 6.The halftime score is expected to be 1-0, consistent with the fulltime prediction.
- 7.The match is expected to see around three yellow cards.
The context
Fulham have bolstered their ranks with the arrivals of S. Charles and Gonzalo García, aiming to improve on last season's finish. Meanwhile, Crystal Palace have seen some changes too, signing A. Khalaili and Óscar Mingueza, but also losing key players M. Lacroix and M. Guéhi. These moves will undoubtedly influence how both sides approach this opening fixture.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Fulham
Away — Crystal Palace
Analysis
Looking at the broader picture, Fulham hold a slight edge with a better goal difference and a higher league finish last season compared to Crystal Palace. The Eagles will need to overcome these challenges and integrate their new signings effectively. The predicted scoreline of 1-0 suggests a tight match where defensive organisation and set-piece efficiency could be decisive.
Prediction
The forecast is for Fulham to clinch a narrow 1-0 victory, with the decisive goal likely coming in the first half. The match is expected to feature a moderate number of cards, around three, reflecting a competitive but controlled contest.
The verdict
As the season opener, this fixture sets the tone for both teams. Fulham's slight advantage in squad depth and last season's standing gives them the upper hand, but Crystal Palace will be eager to prove their mettle. Expect a tactical, closely fought game with Fulham just shading it.
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
King
Goal cancelled
Mitchell
Assist: Nketiah
Palacios
Nketiah
Mitchell
Palacios
Mitchell
Timber
Chilwell
Assist: Kamada
Bobb
Charles
Robinson
Iwobi
Yeremy Pino
Kamada
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Manchester City | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | +8 | 15 |
| 14 |  Sunderland | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -4 | 4 |
| 15 |  Crystal Palace | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -5 | 4 |
| 16 |  Aston Villa | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -5 | 4 |
| 19 |  Tottenham | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -6 | 2 |
| 20 |  Fulham | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 1 |
Match Statistics
Fulham
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1B. LenoG
- 3C. BasseyD
- 5J. AndersenD
- 7Gonzalo GarcíaF
- 8César PalaciosM
- 14Oscar BobbM
- 17A. IwobiM
- 19S. CharlesM
- 21T. CastagneD
- 24Joshua KingM
- 33A. RobinsonD
Substitutes
- 9Rodrigo MunizF
- 11KevinF
- 15H. LarssonM
- 16S. BergeM
- 20Manuel ÁngelM
- 22D. AffengruberD
- 23B. LecomteG
- 30R. SessegnonM
- 32E. Smith RoweM
Crystal Palace
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 1D. HendersonG
- 3T. MitchellM
- 5A. DisasiD
- 6J. CanvotD
- 9E. NketiahF
- 10Yeremy PinoM
- 18D. KamadaM
- 20A. WhartonM
- 23Q. TimberM
- 25A. KhalailiM
- 26C. RichardsD
Substitutes
- 12Z. GozoF
- 17T. TomiyasuD
- 19W. HughesM
- 22J. Strand LarsenF
- 24D. OsorioM
- 28C. DoucouréM
- 30Óscar MinguezaD
- 33B. ChilwellD
- 44W. BenítezG
Fulham
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| César Palacios | M | 62 | 8.0 | 1 | — | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1/3 |
| Joshua King | M | 90 | 7.9 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2/3 |
| A. Iwobi | M | 83 | 6.8 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| J. Andersen | D | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Oscar Bobb | M | 79 | 6.7 | — | — | 3 | 1 | 4 | 2/5 |
| A. Robinson | D | 79 | 6.6 | — | — | 2 | — | 2 | 1/2 |
| S. Charles | M | 79 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 1/1 |
| Gonzalo García | F | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | 5 | — | 1 | 2/4 |
| Rodrigo Muniz | F | 7 | 6.4 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | — |
| T. Castagne | D | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0/1 |
| S. Berge | M | 28 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| C. Bassey | D | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| B. Leno | G | 90 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Sessegnon | M | 11 | 5.9 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 0/2 |
| H. Larsson | M | 11 | 5.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Smith Rowe | M | 11 | 5.8 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/2 |
| B. Lecomte | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Affengruber | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Manuel Ángel | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kevin | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Crystal Palace
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Mitchell | M | 74 | 7.8 | 2 | — | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1/2 |
| D. Henderson | G | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| B. Chilwell | D | 16 | 7.2 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| E. Nketiah | F | 46 | 7.1 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0/2 |
| A. Disasi | D | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| J. Canvot | D | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Kamada | M | 89 | 6.6 | — | 1 | — | — | 2 | — |
| Yeremy Pino | M | 89 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | 3 | 0/1 |
| J. Strand Larsen | F | 44 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| C. Richards | D | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| W. Hughes | M | 16 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Óscar Mingueza | D | 1 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Wharton | M | 90 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Q. Timber | M | 74 | 6.0 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| A. Khalaili | M | 90 | 6.0 | — | — | 2 | — | — | 1/3 |
| D. Osorio | M | 1 | 5.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| C. Doucouré | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| T. Tomiyasu | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Z. Gozo | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| W. Benítez | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Fulham vs Crystal Palace?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Fulham to win against Crystal Palace.
- What score did Fipster predict for Fulham vs Crystal Palace?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Fulham 1–0 Crystal Palace.
- What were the win probabilities for Fulham vs Crystal Palace?
- Fipster's model gave Fulham a 48% chance of winning, Crystal Palace a 26% chance, and a 26% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 48% confidence — a medium-confidence call.