Fulham vs Bournemouth
Match recap
Bournemouth beat Fulham 1–0 in their Premier League fixture. Rayan scored for Bournemouth. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 1.33 for Fulham versus 0.82 for Bournemouth. Fulham sit 11th in the Premier League table while Bournemouth are 6th.
Analysis
Fulham host Bournemouth in what promises to be a closely contested Premier League fixture. Both teams have shown resilience this season, and with key players in form, a tight match is on the cards.
Bournemouth currently sit 6th with 52 points, edging out Fulham who are 10th with 48 points. Historically, Bournemouth have the upper hand with 7 wins to Fulham's 2 in 13 meetings, but recent form and home advantage could level the playing field.
Fulham rely heavily on R. Jiménez and H. Wilson for goals, both boasting impressive stats and recent form. Bournemouth's E. Kroupi leads their scoring charts, but the potential absence of A. Semenyo due to injury could blunt their attacking threat. Defensive absences for Fulham may expose them, but their strong home form balances this out. The predicted 1-1 scoreline reflects these evenly matched factors.
Prediction
The highest probability outcome is a 1-1 draw, with a 34% confidence level. A goalless first half is expected, followed by goals from both sides in the second half. The match is also likely to see around four cards, indicating a competitive but fair contest.
Outcome probability
Key Insights
Fulham's attacking reliance on Jiménez and Wilson
Jiménez and Wilson are central to Fulham's goal threat; their form and fitness will shape attacking success.
Bournemouth's Semenyo injury status critical
Semenyo's questionable fitness could reduce Bournemouth's midfield goal threat significantly.
Bournemouth's superior scoring rate
Bournemouth averages 1.6 goals/game vs Fulham's 1.3, indicating a slight offensive edge.
Fulham's home form stronger than away
Fulham scores more and wins more at home, suggesting home advantage in this fixture.
Defensive absences weaken Fulham's backline
Missing defenders Bassey and Tete may expose Fulham to Bournemouth's attackers.
Key Takeaways
In summary, expect a balanced game with both teams sharing points. Key players' fitness and form will be crucial, but neither side looks likely to dominate, making a 1-1 draw the most plausible result.
- Bournemouth lead head-to-head with 7 wins to Fulham's 2 in 13 matches.
- Head-to-head matches average 3.0 goals, indicating moderate scoring potential.
- Bournemouth rank 6th with 52 points; Fulham 10th with 48 points this season.
- Fulham's R. Jiménez has scored 9 goals in 34 appearances this season.
- Bournemouth's E. Kroupi is their top scorer with 11 goals in 29 games.
- Fulham's H. Wilson is both top scorer and assist provider with 10 goals and 6 assists.
- Fulham's defensive absences may weaken their backline against Bournemouth's attack.
- The predicted total cards for the match is 4, suggesting a competitive game.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Fulham
Away — Bournemouth
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Tavernier
Yellow Card
Card upgrade
Christie
Red Card
Evanilson
Card upgrade
Andersen
Red Card
Smith Rowe
Muniz
Yellow Card
Rayan
Assist: Smith
Lukić
Yellow Card
Wilson
Chukwueze
Scott
Yellow Card
Cairney
Robinson
Yellow Card
Tavernier
Kroupi
Rayan
King
Yellow Card
Castagne
Scott
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Arsenal | 38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | +44 | 85 |
| 5 |  Liverpool | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | +10 | 60 |
| 6 |  Bournemouth | 38 | 13 | 18 | 7 | +4 | 57 |
| 7 |  Sunderland | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | -6 | 54 |
| 10 |  Chelsea | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | +6 | 52 |
| 11 |  Fulham | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | -4 | 52 |
| 12 |  Newcastle | 38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | -2 | 49 |
Match Statistics
Fulham
Starting XI
- 1B. LenoG
- 3C. BasseyD
- 5J. AndersenD
- 8H. WilsonM
- 9Rodrigo MunizF
- 10T. CairneyM
- 19S. ChukwuezeM
- 20S. LukićM
- 21T. CastagneD
- 32E. Smith RoweM
- 33A. RobinsonD
Substitutes
- 2K. TeteD
- 6H. ReedM
- 14Oscar BobbM
- 16S. BergeM
- 18J. Kusi-AsareF
- 22KevinF
- 23B. LecomteG
- 24Joshua KingM
- 31I. DiopD
Bournemouth
Starting XI
- 1Đ. PetrovićG
- 3A. TruffertD
- 5M. SenesiD
- 8A. ScottM
- 9EvanilsonF
- 10R. ChristieM
- 15A. SmithD
- 16M. TavernierM
- 22E. KroupiM
- 23J. HillD
- 37RayanM
Substitutes
- 7D. BrooksM
- 11B. DoakF
- 12T. AdamsM
- 18B. DiakitéD
- 19J. KluivertF
- 21A. AdliF
- 26E. ÜnalF
- 27A. TóthM
- 29C. MandasG
Fulham
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Timothy Castagne | D | 83 | 7.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Tom Cairney(C) | M | 76 | 7.5 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1/1 |
| Calvin Bassey | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Antonee Robinson | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Saša Lukić | M | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Bernd Leno | G | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Harry Wilson | M | 62 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | 1/1 |
| Emile Smith Rowe | M | 45 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Samuel Chukwueze | M | 62 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Rodrigo Muniz | F | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — |
| Joachim Andersen | D | 52 | 6.0 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Kenny Tete | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sander Berge | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Harrison Reed | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Benjamin Lecomte | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Joshua King | M | 14 | 7.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Kevin | F | 28 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 4/6 |
| Oscar Bobb | M | 28 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 0/2 |
| Jonah Kusi-Asare | F | 13 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Issa Diop | D | 45 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Bournemouth
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcos Senesi | D | 90 | 7.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Adrien Truffert | D | 90 | 7.5 | — | — | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2/2 |
| Rayan | M | 79 | 7.3 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1/2 |
| Marcus Tavernier | M | 78 | 7.3 | — | — | 3 | 2 | 2 | — |
| James Hill | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Alex Scott | M | 89 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Đorđe Petrović | G | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Adam Smith(C) | D | 90 | 6.6 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | — |
| Evanilson | F | 43 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Eli Junior Kroupi | M | 79 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Ryan Christie | M | 41 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Justin Kluivert | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Bafodé Diakité | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Christos Mandas | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ben Gannon-Doak | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alex Tóth | M | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Tyler Adams | M | 47 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Enes Ünal | F | 11 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| David Brooks | M | 11 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/3 |
| Amine Adli | F | 12 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |