Fulham vs Aston Villa
Match recap
Fulham beat Aston Villa 1–0 in their Premier League fixture. Sessegnon scored for Fulham. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 1.06 for Fulham versus 0.71 for Aston Villa. Fulham sit 11th in the Premier League table while Aston Villa are 4th.
Analysis
Fulham host Aston Villa in what promises to be a competitive Premier League clash. Both teams have shown resilience this season, and with key players in form, a tight game is on the cards.
Fulham sit 12th with 45 points, while Aston Villa are pushing for a top-four finish in 4th place with 58 points. Historically, Villa have a slight edge in their head-to-head record, but recent form suggests a balanced contest.
Villa rely heavily on Ollie Watkins, their top scorer with 11 goals, and Matty Rogers, the leading assist provider. Fulham's attack may be hampered by questionable fitness of Jiménez and Chukwueze, while their defensive organisation could be impacted if Andersen misses. Both sides have solid defensive units, making goals hard to come by.
Prediction
The most probable outcome is a 1-1 draw, with a goalless first half expected. The match should see around four cards, reflecting a competitive but fair contest. Confidence in this prediction stands at 43%, acknowledging the evenly matched nature of the teams.
Outcome probability
Key Insights
Impact of Key Injuries on Fulham Attack
Jiménez and Chukwueze are questionable due to injuries, potentially weakening Fulham's goal threat.
Villa's Reliance on Watkins and Rogers
Watkins leads scoring and Rogers leads assists, their form crucial for Villa's attacking success.
Fulham's Defensive Leadership at Risk
Andersen's injury absence could reduce Fulham's defensive organization and passing from the back.
Iwobi's Consistent Creative Output
Iwobi's steady assists and goals, combined with high minutes, make him a key creative outlet for Fulham.
Villa's Defensive Stability with Cash and Konsa
Cash and Konsa provide solid defensive stats and passing, key to containing Fulham's attack.
Key Takeaways
In summary, expect a closely contested match with both sides sharing points. Key players like Watkins and Rogers for Villa, and creative outlets like Iwobi for Fulham, will be crucial. Fans should prepare for a tactical battle rather than a goal fest.
- Fulham and Aston Villa have met 20 times: 8 wins for Fulham, 11 for Villa, and 1 draw.
- Their head-to-head matches average 2.5 goals, aligning with the predicted 1-1 scoreline.
- Aston Villa currently rank 4th with 58 points; Fulham are 12th with 45 points.
- Ollie Watkins is Aston Villa's top scorer with 11 goals this season.
- Matty Rogers leads Aston Villa with 5 assists and high minutes played.
- Fulham's Andersen is a key defensive leader with 85% passing accuracy, injury status uncertain.
- Fulham's Iwobi provides creativity with 3 assists and 4 goals this season.
- Villa's defensive duo Cash and Konsa offer stability with strong defensive stats.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Fulham
Away — Aston Villa
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Sessegnon
Castagne
Yellow Card
Torres
Yellow Card
Jiménez
Bogarde
Tielemans
Buendía
McGinn
Smith Rowe
Chukwueze
Watkins
Sessegnon
Wilson
Yellow Card
Douglas Luiz
Yellow Card
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | +44 | 85 | |
| 3 | 38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | +19 | 71 | |
| 4 | 38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | +7 | 65 | |
| 5 | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | +10 | 60 | |
| 10 | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | +6 | 52 | |
| 11 | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | -4 | 52 | |
| 12 | 38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | -2 | 49 |
Match Statistics
Fulham
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1B. LenoG
- 3C. BasseyD
- 5J. AndersenD
- 7R. JiménezF
- 8H. WilsonM
- 16S. BergeM
- 19S. ChukwuezeM
- 20S. LukićM
- 21T. CastagneD
- 30R. SessegnonD
- 32E. Smith RoweM
Substitutes
- 6H. ReedM
- 9Rodrigo MunizF
- 10T. CairneyM
- 14Oscar BobbM
- 18J. Kusi-AsareF
- 23B. LecomteG
- 24Joshua KingM
- 31I. DiopD
- 33A. RobinsonD
Aston Villa
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 2M. CashD
- 4E. KonsaD
- 7J. McGinnM
- 8Y. TielemansM
- 10E. BuendíaM
- 11O. WatkinsF
- 12L. DigneD
- 14Pau TorresD
- 23E. MartínezG
- 26L. BogardeM
- 27M. RogersM
Substitutes
- 3V. LindelöfD
- 5T. MingsD
- 6R. BarkleyM
- 18T. AbrahamF
- 19J. SanchoF
- 21Douglas LuizM
- 22I. MaatsenD
- 31L. BaileyF
- 40M. BizotG
Fulham
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joachim Andersen(C) | D | 90 | 8.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Ryan Sessegnon | D | 81 | 7.5 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/1 |
| Samuel Chukwueze | M | 76 | 7.5 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0/1 |
| Bernd Leno | G | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sander Berge | M | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Emile Smith Rowe | M | 76 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Harry Wilson | M | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 3/5 |
| Calvin Bassey | D | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Timothy Castagne | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Raul Jimenez | F | 66 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0/1 |
| Sasa Lukic | M | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0/1 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Issa Diop | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tom Cairney | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Harrison Reed | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Benjamin Lecomte | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jonah Kusi-Asare | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rodrigo Muniz | F | 24 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Oscar Bobb | M | 14 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/1 |
| Antonee Robinson | D | 9 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Joshua King | M | 14 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
Aston Villa
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emiliano Martinez | G | 90 | 7.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pau Torres | D | 90 | 7.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Youri Tielemans | M | 74 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| John McGinn(C) | M | 74 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | 5 | 1/1 |
| Ezri Konsa | D | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Emiliano Buendía | M | 74 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Ollie Watkins | F | 81 | 6.5 | — | — | 3 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Matty Cash | D | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Lucas Digne | D | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Lamare Bogarde | M | 74 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Morgan Rogers | M | 90 | 5.9 | — | — | 2 | — | — | 1/3 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Ian Maatsen | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tyrone Mings | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Marco Bizot | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Victor Lindelof | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Douglas Luiz | M | 16 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| Ross Barkley | M | 16 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Leon Bailey | F | 16 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Jadon Sancho | F | 16 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tammy Abraham | F | 9 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/1 |






