Frosinone vs Venezia

Serie AMatchweek 3
Full Time
32
HT: 20
Ref: Mario Perri, ItalyStadio Benito Stirpe, Frosinone · 16,310 cap
Fipster Pick
Home WinlowHit
Full-time story

Frosinone hold on in five-goal thriller

A brace from Raimondo sets the tone before a late Kvernadze strike seals the win.

Frosinone secured a narrow 3-2 victory over Venezia in a pulsating Serie A encounter. A. Raimondo's double in the first half gave the hosts a strong start, but Venezia fought back with goals from J. Yeboah and R. Sagrado after the break. Ultimately, G. Kvernadze's goal in the 83rd minute proved decisive, ensuring Frosinone edged out their opponents. Fipster's low-confidence prediction of a home win was on the money, even if the scoreline was far more dramatic than expected.

FıpsterSelf-Score Card
Underconfident✓ Hit
Fipster's Pick
10
Final Result
32
HT 2–0
50%Fair
C
OutcomeExact scoreBoth scoredGoalsHalftime
Fipster's self review6 Sept 2026

Outcome probability

Frosinone 35%Draw 33%Venezia 32%

The new season kicks off with Frosinone facing Venezia in what promises to be a closely contested encounter. Both teams are eager to make a positive start after the summer break, with fresh squads and new ambitions.

Key facts

  1. 1.Frosinone and Venezia have not played any league matches this season yet.
  2. 2.Venezia have signed A. Rrahmani to strengthen their squad.
  3. 3.The most probable fulltime scoreline overall is 1-1, indicating a tight match.
  4. 4.The next most likely scoreline is a 1-0 win for Frosinone.
  5. 5.The prediction favours a narrow home victory with a low confidence level.
  6. 6.No prior league meetings this season between the two sides.
  7. 7.Total cards predicted in the match are four, suggesting a competitive but controlled game.

The context

Neither side has played a league match this season, so this fixture marks their first competitive outing in the campaign. Venezia have bolstered their ranks with the arrival of A. Rrahmani, aiming to strengthen their defensive options. Frosinone, meanwhile, enter the match unchanged in personnel but keen to leverage home advantage.

Player Insights

Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists

HomeFrosinone

G. Calò

G. Calò

Midfielder

Frosinone

Total Passes
219
5 played
5 starts
429 mins
~86 mins/game

AwayVenezia

Kike Pérez

Kike Pérez

Midfielder

Venezia

Total Passes
279
5 played
5 starts
422 mins
~84 mins/game
J. Schingtienne

J. Schingtienne

Defender

Venezia

Total Passes
255
5 played
5 starts
444 mins
~89 mins/game
F. Stanković

F. Stanković

Goalkeeper

Venezia

Total Passes
230
5 played
5 starts
444 mins
~89 mins/game

Analysis

The probabilities suggest a very tight game, with a home win slightly edging out other outcomes. The most likely scoreline overall is a 1-1 draw, but the next most probable result is a 1-0 victory for Frosinone. This points to a match where defences could dominate and chances may be at a premium. The lack of recent head-to-head data adds an element of unpredictability, but Frosinone’s slight edge in the stats hints at a narrow win.

Prediction

Expect Frosinone to grind out a 1-0 victory in this opener. The match is likely to be a cagey affair with limited goals, but the home side should just have enough to claim the three points. A cautious call, but one that fits the data and the early-season dynamics.

The verdict

As the season gets underway, this fixture sets the tone for a competitive campaign. Frosinone’s narrow win would give them a solid platform, while Venezia will look to bounce back quickly. Either way, fans can anticipate a tight and tactical battle.

Prediction Q&A

Who did Fipster predict to win Frosinone vs Venezia?
Fipster's AI model predicted Frosinone to win against Venezia.
What score did Fipster predict for Frosinone vs Venezia?
Fipster predicted a final score of Frosinone 1–0 Venezia.
What were the win probabilities for Frosinone vs Venezia?
Fipster's model gave Frosinone a 35% chance of winning, Venezia a 32% chance, and a 33% chance of a draw.
How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
Fipster's model assigned this prediction 35% confidence — a low-confidence call.