Frosinone vs Lecce
Frosinone steamroll Lecce in dominant display
A commanding five-goal haul sees Frosinone cruise to a comprehensive victory over Lecce.
Frosinone put on a clinical show, running out 5-1 winners against Lecce in Serie A. Matteo Cichella opened the scoring before G. Calò added a penalty just before half-time, setting the tone for a dominant second half where A. Raimondo and D. Bîrligea (who bagged a brace) sealed the emphatic win. Joël Monteiro's effort for Lecce was little more than a consolation. Fipster called the home win with high confidence, and while the exact scoreline was off, the prediction landed comfortably.
Outcome probability
Frosinone and Lecce face off in a Serie A regular season match where the home side looks poised to extend their good run. With Frosinone sitting comfortably higher in the table, this clash promises some entertaining football and a chance for the hosts to consolidate their position.
Match factors
Lecce's midfield creativity weakened by Coulibaly's absence
L. Coulibaly is confirmed out with a thigh injury, reducing Lecce's attacking midfield options and creativity.
Frosinone's attacking form strong at home
Frosinone averages 2.25 goals per home game with recent multiple-goal performances by Raimondo and Calò.
Frosinone's defensive stalwarts likely to contain Lecce attack
Cittadini's high tackle and interception rates give Frosinone a defensive edge against Lecce's forwards.
Schmid and Calò driving Frosinone's midfield creativity
Both midfielders show above-average passing accuracy and recent goal contributions, fueling Frosinone's attack.
Lecce's defensive Veiga key to resisting Frosinone's attack
Veiga's high tackles and interceptions per game make him crucial to Lecce's defensive resilience.
The context
Currently, Frosinone occupy 6th place with 14 points from 8 games, while Lecce trail in 12th with 9 points from 7 matches. The difference in form and consistency is evident, with Frosinone boasting a positive goal difference of +4 compared to Lecce's -3. This fixture is a key opportunity for Frosinone to maintain their momentum and for Lecce to claw back some ground.
Key insights
- A
A. Raimondo
Frosinone
Raimondo is Frosinone's top attacking threat with multiple goals at home, including a recent hat-trick, making him pivotal in their offensive success.
Serie A 26/27Multiple goals in recent home fixtures including a hat-trick
- G
G. Calò
Frosinone
Calò’s passing accuracy of 81% surpasses the league average for midfielders, contributing significantly to Frosinone’s attacking creativity and goal involvement.
Serie A 26/27Passing accuracy 81% above league average for midfielders
- R
R. Schmid
Frosinone
Schmid’s recent goal involvement and high passing volume make him a key driver of Frosinone’s midfield creativity and attacking momentum.
Serie A 26/27High recent goal involvement with multiple goals in last matches
- L
L. Coulibaly
Lecce
Coulibaly’s confirmed absence due to a thigh injury reduces Lecce’s attacking midfield options and creativity, impacting their offensive threat.
Serie A 26/27Confirmed out with a thigh injury
- G
G. Cittadini
Frosinone
Cittadini’s high tackle and interception rates provide a defensive edge, helping to contain Lecce’s forwards effectively.
Serie A 26/27Tackles and interceptions per game well above league average for defenders
Analysis
Frosinone's attacking threat is spearheaded by forward A. Raimondo, who has been prolific at home with multiple goals, including a recent hat-trick. Midfielders G. Calò and R. Schmid provide creativity and goal involvement, combining high passing accuracy and work rate to fuel the attack. Defensively, G. Cittadini offers solidity with impressive tackle and interception stats, likely to frustrate Lecce's forwards. Lecce, on the other hand, are hampered by the confirmed absence of key creative midfielder L. Coulibaly due to a thigh injury, which diminishes their attacking options. Defender Danilo Veiga remains a crucial figure for Lecce's defence, but overall, the visitors face an uphill battle against a well-rounded Frosinone side.
Key facts
- 1.Frosinone are 6th in the league with 14 points from 8 games (W4 D2 L2).
- 2.Lecce sit 12th with 9 points from 7 games (W3 D0 L4).
- 3.Frosinone have a positive goal difference of +4; Lecce have -3.
- 4.A. Raimondo has scored multiple goals at home, including a hat-trick recently.
- 5.G. Calò maintains an 81% passing accuracy, above the league average for midfielders.
- 6.L. Coulibaly is out with a thigh injury, weakening Lecce's midfield creativity.
- 7.G. Cittadini averages high tackles and interceptions, anchoring Frosinone's defence.
- 8.Danilo Veiga is key to Lecce's defensive efforts with strong tackling stats.
Prediction
Expect Frosinone to take an early lead and maintain control throughout, leading 1-0 at halftime. Their superior form and home advantage should see them extend the lead, finishing comfortably with a 3-1 victory. The match is likely to feature a handful of cards, with a predicted total of four, reflecting a competitive but controlled encounter.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Frosinone
Away — Lecce
The verdict
In summary, Frosinone's blend of attacking flair and defensive resilience, combined with Lecce's injury setbacks, points to a confident home win. Fans can look forward to a lively match with Frosinone asserting their quality to secure all three points.
Prediction generated 25 Oct 2026, 19:02 UTC · Fipster Model v1.165
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Cichella
Assist: Ghedjemis
Tiago Gabriel
Yellow Card
Calò
Penalty
Ndaba
Ngom
Yellow Card
Paco Esteban
Maleh
Gandelman
Raimondo
Assist: Kvernadze
Raimondo
Ghedjemis
Bîrligea
Assist: Schmid
Goal confirmed
Schmid
Calò
Siebert
Yellow Card
Calvani
Monteiro
Assist: Gorter
Monteiro
Bîrligea
Match Statistics
Frosinone
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 3G. CalvaniD
- 7F. GhedjemisM
- 9A. RaimondoF
- 10R. SchmidM
- 14G. CalòM
- 16Matteo CichellaM
- 17G. KvernadzeM
- 20A. OyonoD
- 22L. PalmisaniG
- 30I. MonterisiD
- 71A. TerzićD
Substitutes
- 2G. CittadiniD
- 5W. AmeyD
- 11D. BîrligeaF
- 12M. PisseriG
- 24A. ZerbinF
- 25K. AkpogumaD
- 34A. El AzzouziM
- 40S. FiniF
- 70L. HasaM
- 73P. MasiniM
- 74Omar FayedD
- 79G. BracagliaD
- 89T. BobčekF
- 90E. TchatoD
- 91S. DesplanchesG
Lecce
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 3C. NdabaD
- 5J. SiebertD
- 14Y. MalehM
- 16O. GandelmanM
- 17Danilo VeigaM
- 22Paco EstebanF
- 25A. GalloM
- 30W. FalconeG
- 44Tiago GabrielD
- 79O. NgomM
- 99Joël MonteiroM
Substitutes
- 1M. BleveG
- 2A. DembéléD
- 7A. Ahmed FatahF
- 8S. FofanaM
- 9N. ŠtulićF
- 11K. N’DriF
- 18G. JeanD
- 28Olaf GorterM
- 31E. ScottD
- 32A. BorbeiG
- 77M. KabaM
Frosinone
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Raimondo | F | 70 | 8.2 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | 2 | — |
| G. Calò | M | 77 | 7.8 | 1 | — | 3 | 2 | 4 | — |
| Matteo Cichella | M | 90 | 7.8 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| G. Kvernadze | M | 90 | 7.7 | — | 1 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 3/6 |
| R. Schmid | M | 77 | 7.7 | — | 1 | 2 | — | 2 | 1/1 |
| D. Bîrligea | F | 20 | 7.5 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | — |
| F. Ghedjemis | M | 70 | 7.0 | — | 1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0/2 |
| G. Calvani | D | 80 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| Omar Fayed | D | 10 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Palmisani | G | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Terzić | D | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| A. El Azzouzi | M | 13 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Fini | F | 20 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/4 |
| A. Oyono | D | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2/2 |
| L. Hasa | M | 13 | 6.4 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| I. Monterisi | D | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| W. Amey | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Desplanches | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Tchato | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| G. Cittadini | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| G. Bracaglia | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| T. Bobček | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Zerbin | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| P. Masini | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Pisseri | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| K. Akpoguma | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Lecce
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joël Monteiro | M | 83 | 7.2 | 1 | — | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2/4 |
| A. Ahmed Fatah | F | 44 | 6.8 | — | — | 2 | 2 | — | 2/2 |
| Paco Esteban | F | 57 | 6.5 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | — |
| K. N’Dri | F | 32 | 6.5 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0/5 |
| W. Falcone | G | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Štulić | F | 33 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| A. Gallo | M | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Y. Maleh | M | 57 | 6.1 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Danilo Veiga | M | 90 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 2/4 |
| M. Kaba | M | 7 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| C. Ndaba | D | 46 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Olaf Gorter | M | 33 | 5.8 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | — |
| Tiago Gabriel | D | 90 | 5.7 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| O. Ngom | M | 90 | 5.5 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1/2 |
| O. Gandelman | M | 58 | 5.2 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| J. Siebert | D | 90 | 4.8 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| A. Borbei | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| G. Jean | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Bleve | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Fofana | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Dembélé | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Scott | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Frosinone vs Lecce?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Frosinone to win against Lecce.
- What score did Fipster predict for Frosinone vs Lecce?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Frosinone 3–1 Lecce.
- What were the win probabilities for Frosinone vs Lecce?
- Fipster's model gave Frosinone a 77% chance of winning, Lecce a 11% chance, and a 12% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 77% confidence — a high-confidence call.