Fluminense vs Coritiba
Savarino's hat-trick powers Fluminense
Fluminense cruise to a commanding 4-0 victory over Coritiba.
J. Savarino was the star of the show, netting a first-half goal before adding two more after the break to secure a dominant win for Fluminense. L. Acosta capped off the scoring with a stoppage-time strike, sealing a comprehensive 4-0 triumph. Fipster's high-confidence prediction of a home win was spot on, though the actual scoreline was even more emphatic than forecast.
Outcome probability
Fluminense and Coritiba face off in this Regular Season - 29 fixture, with Fluminense tipped to take a commanding lead early on and maintain control throughout the match.
Match factors
Fluminense missing key attackers
John Kennedy and Germán Cano are confirmed out, reducing attacking options
Hulk's prolific recent scoring form
Hulk scored 4 goals in last 5 games, well above league average for attackers
Fluminense's creative midfielders dominate assists
Acosta and Canobbio provide strong assist potential, linking well with forwards
Coritiba's Pedro Rocha in good scoring form
Pedro Rocha scored 3 goals in last 5 matches, key threat despite team struggles
Josué's high assist rate for Coritiba
Josué leads Coritiba with 10 assists, crucial for creating chances
The context
Fluminense currently sit 5th in the league with 45 points, while Coritiba are 9th with 38 points. Their head-to-head record shows Fluminense with a slight edge, having won 8 of their 20 meetings compared to Coritiba's 4, with 8 draws. The average goals per match between these sides is 3.0, indicating a tendency for open play and scoring opportunities.
Key insights
Hulk
Fluminense
Hulk has been in prolific form, scoring 4 goals in his last 5 games, making him a key attacking threat.
Serie A 26/274 goals in last 5 games, 0.8 avg goals/game last 5
L. Acosta
Fluminense
Acosta leads Fluminense’s assists with 4 this season, providing creative spark and key passes.
Serie A 26/274 assists in 22 games, 0.18 avg assists/game
Pedro Rocha
Coritiba
Pedro Rocha is Coritiba’s top scorer with 8 goals, including 3 in his last 5 matches, posing a threat despite team struggles.
Serie A 26/278 goals in 27 games, 0.3 avg goals/game
Josué
Coritiba
Josué is the main creative force for Coritiba with 10 assists, crucial for chance creation.
Serie A 26/2710 assists in 25 games, 0.4 avg assists/game
Analysis
Fluminense's attacking prowess is highlighted by Hulk, who has netted 4 goals in his last 5 games, making him a key threat. The creative midfield duo of L. Acosta and A. Canobbio provide strong assist potential, linking well with the forwards. Coritiba's Pedro Rocha is in decent form with 3 goals in his last 5 matches, and Josué leads their assists tally with 10 this season. However, Fluminense's superior goal difference (+6 compared to Coritiba's -6) and home advantage suggest they will control the game and keep Coritiba at bay.
Key facts
- 1.Fluminense have won 8 of 20 meetings against Coritiba, who have won 4, with 8 draws.
- 2.Head-to-head matches average 3.0 total goals, with Fluminense scoring 35 and Coritiba 24.
- 3.Fluminense are 5th in the league with 45 points from 27 games (W12 D9 L6).
- 4.Coritiba are 9th with 38 points from 28 games (W10 D8 L10).
- 5.Fluminense have a +6 goal difference; Coritiba have -6.
Prediction
The prediction is for Fluminense to lead 1-0 at halftime and extend their advantage to a 3-0 victory by full time. The match is expected to feature around 4 cards, reflecting a competitive but controlled encounter. Fluminense's dominance in both attack and defence should see them comfortably secure the three points.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Fluminense
Away — Coritiba
The verdict
With strong recent form, key players firing, and a favourable head-to-head record, Fluminense look set to deliver a comprehensive win over Coritiba. Expect a confident performance and a clean sheet to round off the match.
Prediction generated 20 Sep 2026, 21:00 UTC · Fipster Model v1.161
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Jacy
Savarino
Assist: Hulk
Savarino
Assist: Silva
Breno Lopes
Rocha
PH Ganso
Savarino
Assist: Serna
Bustos
Fonseca
Savarino
Guga
Hércules
Melo
Yellow Card
Hulk
Acosta
Assist: Wesley Nata
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Flamengo | 29 | 18 | 7 | 4 | +32 | 61 |
| 2 |  Palmeiras | 29 | 17 | 9 | 3 | +27 | 60 |
| 3 |  Fluminense | 29 | 14 | 9 | 6 | +12 | 51 |
| 4 |  Atletico Paranaense | 29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | +11 | 50 |
| 8 |  Santos | 29 | 11 | 9 | 9 | +2 | 42 |
| 9 |  Coritiba | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | -10 | 38 |
| 10 |  RB Bragantino | 29 | 10 | 7 | 12 | +1 | 37 |
Match Statistics
Fluminense
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1FábioG
- 3Thiago SilvaD
- 7HulkF
- 8MartinelliM
- 10PH GansoM
- 11J. SavarinoM
- 13Guilherme AranaD
- 23GugaD
- 29J. MillánD
- 35HérculesM
- 90K. SernaM
Substitutes
- 2Samuel XavierD
- 4IgnacioD
- 19R. CastilloF
- 21Igor RabelloD
- 22J. FreytesD
- 27MarceloG
- 32L. AcostaM
- 34Wesley NataF
- 44JemmesD
- 46Julio FidelisD
- 94OtávioM
Coritiba
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 5N. FonsecaM
- 6Felipe JonatanD
- 10JosuéM
- 14F. BustosD
- 19S. GómezM
- 21Thiago SantosM
- 22Pedro RangelG
- 26Bruno MeloD
- 32Pedro RochaF
- 55JacyD
- 77Breno LopesM
Substitutes
- 2TingaD
- 3MaiconD
- 4Rodrigo MoledoD
- 13KeillerG
- 18Paulo RobertoM
- 28FabinhoF
- 36Vini PaulistaF
- 39GustavoM
- 50TissiM
- 66Rodrigo GeladoD
- 78Renato MarquesF
- 99Rodrigo RodriguesF
Fluminense
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Savarino | M | 79 | 9.8 | 3 | — | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1/1 |
| L. Acosta | M | 28 | 8.1 | 1 | — | 2 | 2 | — | — |
| J. Millán | D | 90 | 7.8 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — |
| Thiago Silva | D | 90 | 7.8 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | — |
| K. Serna | M | 90 | 7.7 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1/4 |
| Hulk | F | 89 | 7.7 | — | 1 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1/1 |
| Guilherme Arana | D | 90 | 7.6 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | — |
| Guga | D | 79 | 7.6 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | — |
| Hércules | M | 79 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Martinelli | M | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 3/4 |
| Samuel Xavier | D | 11 | 7.1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Wesley Nata | F | 1 | 7.1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 2 | — |
| PH Ganso | M | 62 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1/1 |
| Otávio | M | 11 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fábio | G | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Castillo | F | 11 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Julio Fidelis | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jemmes | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Freytes | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Igor Rabello | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ignacio | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Marcelo | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Coritiba
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josué | M | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | 2 | — | 2 | 2/2 |
| Pedro Rangel | G | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fabinho | F | 28 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 2/2 |
| Thiago Santos | M | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Felipe Jonatan | D | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Vini Paulista | F | 16 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Fonseca | M | 74 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/2 |
| Pedro Rocha | F | 62 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| S. Gómez | M | 90 | 6.1 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| F. Bustos | D | 74 | 6.0 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Rodrigo Moledo | D | 66 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Paulo Roberto | M | 28 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Breno Lopes | M | 62 | 5.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jacy | D | 24 | 5.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tinga | D | 16 | 5.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Bruno Melo | D | 90 | 5.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Maicon | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rodrigo Rodrigues | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gustavo | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Renato Marques | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rodrigo Gelado | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tissi | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Keiller | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Fluminense vs Coritiba?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Fluminense to win against Coritiba.
- What score did Fipster predict for Fluminense vs Coritiba?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Fluminense 3–0 Coritiba.
- What were the win probabilities for Fluminense vs Coritiba?
- Fipster's model gave Fluminense a 85% chance of winning, Coritiba a 7% chance, and a 8% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 85% confidence — a high-confidence call.