Fluminense vs Bahia
Fluminense and Bahia settle for stalemate
Neither side could find a breakthrough in a goalless Serie A encounter.
Fluminense and Bahia played out a 0-0 draw in a match where chances were at a premium. The clean sheet shared between the teams defied Fipster's prediction of a 3-1 home win, proving the game was tighter and more cagey than anticipated.
Analysis
Fluminense and Bahia face off in what promises to be an engaging encounter between two closely matched sides. Both teams sit near the top of the league table, making this clash crucial for their ambitions this season.
Currently ranked 4th and 5th respectively, Fluminense and Bahia have a history of tight contests. Fluminense hold a slight advantage in their head-to-head record, having won 8 of their 20 meetings compared to Bahia's 6 wins and 6 draws. This fixture is part of the regular season, round 21, where every point counts.
Fluminense's home form and attacking prowess give them the upper hand. Their striker John Kennedy is in fine goal-scoring form, consistently finding the net and expected to lead the charge. Midfielder Agustín Canobbio also contributes both goals and assists, enhancing their offensive threat. Bahia, while resilient, tend to concede more goals away from home, and their key attacker Ademir will need to be at his best to challenge Fluminense's defence. The predicted scoreline of 3-1 aligns with the average goals in their head-to-head matches and reflects Fluminense's ability to capitalize on home advantage.
Prediction
The forecast is a Fluminense win with a halftime lead of 1-0, extending to a 3-1 victory by full time. The match is expected to be competitive but ultimately controlled by Fluminense, who should manage to keep the game in their favour while scoring multiple goals. A total of four cards is anticipated, suggesting a moderately physical encounter.
Outcome probability
Match factors
Fluminense's attacking edge through John Kennedy
John Kennedy's consistent scoring and central role give Fluminense a clear attacking advantage.
Bahia's creative midfielders boost chance creation
Rodrigo Nestor and Everton Ribeiro provide Bahia with strong assist potential, enhancing their scoring chances.
Fluminense's home scoring streak supports predicted win
Fluminense has scored in all recent home games, indicating strong offensive form at home.
Fluminense missing key attackers John Kennedy and Matheus Reis
John Kennedy is out due to red card and Matheus Reis is out injured, impacting attacking options.
Bahia's defensive resilience challenged by Fluminense's home form
Bahia concedes more goals away, while Fluminense scores more at home, favoring Fluminense's attack.
Key Takeaways
In summary, Fluminense's slight edge in form, home advantage, and attacking options make them favourites to claim all three points against Bahia. While Bahia will pose challenges, especially through Ademir and creative midfielders, Fluminense's consistency and goal-scoring ability should see them through to a confident 3-1 win.
- Fluminense have won 8 of 20 matches against Bahia, who have 6 wins and 6 draws.
- Fluminense are 4th in the league with 32 points from 19 games; Bahia are 5th with 31 points from 20 games.
- Head-to-head matches average 2.2 goals; the predicted 3-1 scoreline suggests a slightly higher scoring game.
- John Kennedy is a key attacking threat for Fluminense with multiple recent goals.
- Agustín Canobbio contributes both goals and assists, strengthening Fluminense's midfield.
- Bahia's Ademir is their top scorer and main offensive threat.
- Fluminense have scored in all recent home games, indicating strong offensive form at home.
- Four cards are expected in this moderately physical match.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Fluminense
Away — Bahia
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Ignacio
Yellow Card
Freytes
Pulga
Yellow Card
Martinelli
Silva
Acosta
Ademir
Juba
Jean Lucas
Hulk
Pulga
Véliz
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Palmeiras | 21 | 14 | 5 | 2 | +22 | 47 |
| 3 |  Atletico Paranaense | 21 | 11 | 4 | 6 | +9 | 37 |
| 4 |  Fluminense | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | +5 | 34 |
| 5 |  Bahia | 21 | 8 | 8 | 5 | +4 | 32 |
| 6 |  RB Bragantino | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | +6 | 31 |
Match Statistics
Fluminense
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1FábioG
- 2Samuel XavierD
- 4IgnacioD
- 6RenêD
- 7HulkF
- 8MartinelliM
- 16NonatoM
- 17A. CanobbioM
- 22J. FreytesD
- 30Y. SoteldoM
- 32L. AcostaM
Substitutes
- 3Thiago SilvaD
- 10PH GansoM
- 11J. SavarinoF
- 14G. CanoF
- 21Igor RabelloD
- 23GugaD
- 25AlissonM
- 27MarceloG
- 28RiquelmeF
- 35HérculesM
- 90K. SernaF
- 94OtávioM
Bahia
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1RonaldoG
- 5N. AcevedoM
- 6Jean LucasM
- 7AdemirM
- 9A. VélizF
- 11Rodrigo NestorM
- 16Erick PulgaM
- 21S. RamosD
- 31Roman GomezD
- 44Marcos VictorD
- 46Luciano JubaD
Substitutes
- 4KanuD
- 10Éverton RibeiroM
- 12Willian JoséF
- 15M. AraújoM
- 17G. HerreraG
- 23M. SanabriaF
- 43Luiz GustavoD
- 55SidneyM
- 57Çağatay YılmazM
- 63David MartinsM
- 67Wendel SilvaM
- 77Ruan PabloF
Fluminense
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martinelli | M | 62 | 7.3 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Samuel Xavier(C) | D | 94 | 7.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Agustín Canobbio | M | 94 | 7.2 | — | — | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2/4 |
| Hulk | F | 75 | 7.2 | — | — | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1/1 |
| Renê | D | 94 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Ignácio | D | 94 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nonato | M | 94 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | 3 | 0/1 |
| Luciano Acosta | M | 62 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2/3 |
| Juan Pablo Freytes | D | 42 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fábio | G | 94 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Yeferson Soteldo | M | 94 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0/1 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Alisson | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Otávio | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Guga | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ganso | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kevin Serna | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Marcelo Pitaluga | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Riquelme Felipe | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jefferson Savarino | F | 32 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | — | 4 | 1/2 |
| Germán Cano | F | 19 | 6.9 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Igor Rabello | D | 32 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Hércules | M | 32 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Thiago Silva | D | 20 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
Bahia
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ronaldo | G | 94 | 9.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Marcos Victor | D | 94 | 7.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Luciano Juba | D | 65 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Nicolás Acevedo(C) | M | 94 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Santiago Ramos Mingo | D | 94 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Román Gómez | D | 94 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/5 |
| Jean Lucas | M | 74 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | — |
| Rodrigo Nestor | M | 94 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Erick Pulga | M | 75 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Ademir | M | 65 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/1 |
| Alejo Véliz | F | 88 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Kanu | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Willian José | F | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mateo Sanabria | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sidney Duarte | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wendel Passos | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ruan Pablo | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Luiz Gustavo | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Guido Herrera | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kauê Furquim | M | 19 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| David Martins | M | 20 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Michel Araújo | M | 29 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Everton Ribeiro | M | 29 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |