Flora Tallinn vs The New Saints

UEFA Europa Conference League2nd Qualifying Round

Flora Tallinn

Full Time
1–0
HT: 1–0

The New Saints

Ref: K. KarlssonA. Le Coq Arena, Tallinn · 14,405 cap
Fipster Pick
Home WinhighHit
Qualifying — two-legged tieLeg 1 of 2
Aggregate:
The New Saints 1 1 Flora Tallinn (pens)
Advances:
Flora Tallinn

Match recap

Flora Tallinn beat The New Saints 1–0 in their UEFA Europa Conference League fixture.

Fipster’s pre-match call

Predicted

1-0 Flora Tallinn win

Actual

1–0

✓ Called it

Outcome probability

Flora Tallinn 67%Draw 17%The New Saints 16%

Flora Tallinn and The New Saints face off in the 2nd Qualifying Round of competition 848, with Flora Tallinn aiming to build on their recent success against this opponent.

Match factors

Statistical Edgehigh

Flora Tallinn's strong home defensive record

Flora Tallinn concedes 0 goals per game at home with 75% clean sheets, boosting chances of a clean sheet

Form Momentumhigh

Flora Tallinn's recent scoring consistency

Flora Tallinn scored in 3 of last 4 matches, including a 1-0 win vs The New Saints

Tactical Advantagemedium

Midfield creativity key for Flora Tallinn

R. Valdmets and S. Zenjov form a creative midfield duo, crucial for breaking down The New Saints' defense

Injury Impacthigh

Full squad availability for both teams

No confirmed injuries or suspensions for either team, so strongest lineups expected

The context

Flora Tallinn have played four matches in this competition, winning three and scoring seven goals while conceding just one. The New Saints have played two matches, winning one and losing one, with a goal tally of one scored and one conceded. The teams have met once before, with Flora Tallinn coming out on top.

Key insights

  • R

    R. Valdmets

    Flora Tallinn

    Scored the only goal in the recent 1-0 win against The New Saints, proving decisive in tight matches.

    UEFA Europa Conference League 26/271 goal in this competition this season

  • S

    S. Zenjov

    Flora Tallinn

    Provided the assist for the winning goal, showcasing his creative vision in midfield.

    UEFA Europa Conference League 26/27Key creative midfielder in Flora Tallinn's attack

  • E

    E. Grünvald

    Flora Tallinn

    Has been crucial in maintaining defensive solidity with a 75% clean sheet rate at home.

    UEFA Europa Conference League 26/27Conceded only 0.25 goals per game on average

Analysis

Flora Tallinn's defensive solidity is a key factor, boasting a 75% clean sheet rate at home and conceding only 0.25 goals per game on average. Their midfield creativity, led by R. Valdmets and S. Zenjov, has been crucial in tight matches, including the previous 1-0 win over The New Saints. Both teams have full squads available, so expect a competitive but closely fought encounter.

Key facts

  1. 1.Flora Tallinn have won 3 of 4 matches in this competition, scoring 7 and conceding 1.
  2. 2.The New Saints have played 2 matches in this competition (W1 D0 L1, GF 1 / GA 1).
  3. 3.Flora Tallinn won the only previous meeting against The New Saints.
  4. 4.Flora Tallinn concedes 0 goals per game at home with 75% clean sheets.
  5. 5.R. Valdmets scored the only goal in the recent 1-0 win vs The New Saints.
  6. 6.S. Zenjov provided the assist for the winning goal in that match.
  7. 7.No confirmed injuries or suspensions for either team.

Prediction

The most probable outcome is a narrow 1-0 victory for Flora Tallinn, reflecting their strong home form and ability to keep The New Saints at bay. The halftime and fulltime scoreline predictions align, suggesting a tight match decided by a single goal.

The verdict

Flora Tallinn's combination of defensive resilience and midfield creativity should see them edge this contest. The New Saints will need to find a way past a well-organised defence if they are to avoid a second defeat to this opponent in the competition.

Prediction generated 13 Oct 2026, 10:48 UTC · Fipster Model v1.163

Prediction Q&A

Who did Fipster predict to win Flora Tallinn vs The New Saints?
Fipster's AI model predicted Flora Tallinn to win against The New Saints.
What score did Fipster predict for Flora Tallinn vs The New Saints?
Fipster predicted a final score of Flora Tallinn 1–0 The New Saints.
What were the win probabilities for Flora Tallinn vs The New Saints?
Fipster's model gave Flora Tallinn a 67% chance of winning, The New Saints a 16% chance, and a 17% chance of a draw.
How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
Fipster's model assigned this prediction 67% confidence — a high-confidence call.
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