Flora Tallinn vs Saburtalo

UEFA Champions League1st Qualifying Round

Flora Tallinn

Full Time
2–3
HT: 1–2

Saburtalo

Ref: S. PutrosA. Le Coq Arena, Tallinn · 14,405 cap
Fipster Pick
Home WinlowMiss
Qualifying — two-legged tieLeg 1 of 2
Aggregate:
Flora Tallinn 4 5 Saburtalo
Advances:
Saburtalo

Match recap

Saburtalo beat Flora Tallinn 3–2 in their UEFA Champions League fixture.

Fipster’s pre-match call

Predicted

2-1 Flora Tallinn win

Actual

2–3

✗ Missed

Outcome probability

Flora Tallinn 35%Draw 33%Saburtalo 32%

The upcoming 1st Qualifying Round fixture between Flora Tallinn and Saburtalo promises an intriguing battle. Both sides have shown attacking intent in recent encounters, but Flora Tallinn's home form and midfield ingenuity could prove decisive.

Match factors

Form Momentummedium

Flora Tallinn's recent scoring consistency

Flora Tallinn scored in their last 2 matches vs Saburtalo, showing positive scoring momentum at home

Form Momentummedium

Saburtalo's attacking threat from midfield

Saburtalo midfielders Sikharulashvili and Kardava have scored multiple goals recently against Flora Tallinn

Tactical Advantagemedium

Flora Tallinn's midfield creativity

Midfielders Kreida and Alamaa combine goal scoring and assist potential, key for breaking Saburtalo's defense

Statistical Edgemedium

Saburtalo's defensive vulnerability

Saburtalo conceded in all last 4 matches, indicating defensive weakness Flora Tallinn can exploit

The context

In this competition, Flora Tallinn have played two matches without a win, scoring four goals but conceding five. Saburtalo have a slightly longer run with four matches, recording one win, two draws, and one loss, scoring six and conceding seven. Their head-to-head record shows Saburtalo with one win and one draw against Flora Tallinn, indicating a competitive rivalry.

Key insights

  • V

    V. Kreida

    Flora Tallinn

    Kreida has been a key attacking presence in midfield, scoring in recent home fixtures against Saburtalo and contributing above average goal involvement.

    UEFA Champions League 26/27Scored in recent home fixture vs Saburtalo

  • S

    S. Alamaa

    Flora Tallinn

    Alamaa’s creativity shines through with both goals and assists, playing a crucial role in the team’s attacking transitions.

    UEFA Champions League 26/27Scored and assisted in recent home fixture vs Saburtalo

  • N

    N. Sikharulashvili

    Saburtalo

    Sikharulashvili has been a consistent scoring threat from midfield, netting multiple goals in recent matches against Flora Tallinn.

    UEFA Champions League 26/27Scored multiple goals in recent matches vs Flora Tallinn

  • B

    B. Kardava

    Saburtalo

    Kardava contributes both creativity and goal scoring, important for Saburtalo’s offensive efforts.

    UEFA Champions League 26/27Scored in recent home fixture vs Flora Tallinn

Analysis

Flora Tallinn have demonstrated consistent scoring in their recent matches against Saburtalo, particularly at home, which bodes well for their attacking prospects. Midfielders V. Kreida and S. Alamaa stand out for their goal contributions and creativity, essential for breaking down Saburtalo's defence. On the other hand, Saburtalo's midfielders N. Sikharulashvili and B. Kardava have been reliable goal threats, but their defence has shown vulnerability by conceding in all their last four matches. This defensive frailty could be exploited by Flora Tallinn's attacking midfielders and forwards.

Key facts

  1. 1.Flora Tallinn have scored in their last two matches against Saburtalo at home.
  2. 2.Saburtalo have conceded in all of their last four matches in this competition.
  3. 3.In head-to-head meetings, Saburtalo have one win and one draw against Flora Tallinn.
  4. 4.Flora Tallinn's midfielders Kreida and Alamaa have combined goal and assist contributions recently.
  5. 5.Saburtalo's midfielders Sikharulashvili and Kardava have been consistent scoring threats.
  6. 6.Flora Tallinn have played 2 matches in this competition (W0 D1 L1, GF 4 / GA 5).
  7. 7.Saburtalo have played 4 matches in this competition (W1 D2 L1, GF 6 / GA 7).

Prediction

The prediction favours a home win for Flora Tallinn with a 2-1 scoreline. This outcome aligns with the highest probability among possible results, reflecting Flora Tallinn's ability to score and defend effectively at home. While the confidence in this call is cautious due to limited data and missing standings, the balance of attacking and defensive factors suggests Flora Tallinn will edge this encounter.

The verdict

In summary, expect a closely fought match with Flora Tallinn leveraging their home scoring momentum and midfield creativity to overcome Saburtalo's attacking threats. A 2-1 victory for Flora Tallinn seems the most plausible outcome, promising an entertaining qualifier.

Prediction generated 14 Oct 2026, 12:56 UTC · Fipster Model v1.163

Prediction Q&A

Who did Fipster predict to win Flora Tallinn vs Saburtalo?
Fipster's AI model predicted Flora Tallinn to win against Saburtalo.
What score did Fipster predict for Flora Tallinn vs Saburtalo?
Fipster predicted a final score of Flora Tallinn 2–1 Saburtalo.
What were the win probabilities for Flora Tallinn vs Saburtalo?
Fipster's model gave Flora Tallinn a 35% chance of winning, Saburtalo a 32% chance, and a 33% chance of a draw.
How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
Fipster's model assigned this prediction 35% confidence — a low-confidence call.
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