Flamengo vs Vitoria
Flamengo secure comfortable win over Vitoria
Early strike from E. Pulgar sets the tone before Bruno Henrique seals the deal.
Flamengo claimed a solid 2-0 victory against Vitoria in Serie A, with E. Pulgar opening the scoring in the first half and Bruno Henrique adding a late second to confirm the win. The result matched Fipster's prediction of a home win, though the exact scoreline was slightly off. Flamengo controlled the match well enough to avoid any scares and take the three points as expected.
Analysis
Flamengo face Vitoria in what looks set to be a one-sided affair in the 22nd round of the league. With Flamengo sitting comfortably in second place and Vitoria struggling in 13th, the odds heavily favour the home side.
This match pits a high-flying Flamengo against a Vitoria side that has found consistency elusive this season. Flamengo have the upper hand in their head-to-head record, having won 12 of their 19 encounters, and their goal difference advantage suggests a strong attacking and defensive setup.
Flamengo's midfield maestros, Jorginho and Samuel Lino, have been instrumental in controlling play and creating chances, while Pedro continues to lead the attack with clinical finishing. Vitoria's defensive frailties, compounded by key absences, make them vulnerable to Flamengo's potent offense. The statistical edge is clear: Flamengo's superior points per game and goal difference underpin the prediction of a 3-0 home win.
Prediction
Expect Flamengo to take an early lead and maintain control throughout, with a halftime score of 1-0. The home side should extend their advantage in the second half, finishing comfortably at 3-0. The match is also likely to see around four cards, reflecting a competitive but controlled encounter.
Outcome probability
Match factors
Flamengo's attacking midfield dominance
Flamengo's midfielders like Jorginho and Samuel Lino control play and create multiple chances
Pedro's prolific scoring form
Pedro consistently scores and leads Flamengo's attack with multiple goals in recent matches
Vitoria's defensive absences weaken backline
Vitoria missing key defenders out reduces defensive stability against Flamengo's attack
Flamengo's strong home scoring streak
Flamengo has scored in 4 of last 5 home games, supporting predicted 3-0 win
Key Takeaways
All signs point to Flamengo continuing their strong run with a decisive victory over Vitoria. Their attacking prowess and home advantage should prove too much for the visitors, who will need to regroup quickly after this setback.
- Flamengo have won 12 of 19 meetings against Vitoria.
- Average goals in head-to-head matches is 3.3, favouring a high-scoring game.
- Flamengo rank 2nd with 39 points; Vitoria are 13th with 26 points.
- Flamengo's goal difference is +19 compared to Vitoria's -5.
- Flamengo average 1.95 points per game, Vitoria 1.30 points per game.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Flamengo
Away — Vitoria
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Pulgar
Assist: Léo Pereira
Zé Vitor
Yellow Card
Erick
Matheuzinho
de Arrascaeta
Walace
Jorginho
Pedro
Lino
Plata
Yellow Card
Bruno Henrique
Assist: Carrascal
Rene
Carrascal
Zé Vitor
Match Statistics
Flamengo
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1A. RossiG
- 2G. VarelaD
- 3Léo OrtizD
- 4Léo PereiraD
- 5E. PulgarM
- 6Ayrton LucasD
- 9PedroF
- 10G. de ArrascaetaM
- 15J. CarrascalM
- 16Samuel LinoM
- 21JorginhoM
Substitutes
- 8SaúlM
- 13DaniloD
- 19G. PlataF
- 20Lucas PaquetáM
- 22Emerson RoyalD
- 27Bruno HenriqueF
- 42AndrewG
- 49DyogoG
- 52Evertton AraújoM
- 64WallaceF
- 77Johnny GóesD
- 99LorranM
Vitoria
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1Lucas ArcanjoG
- 2E. BrítezD
- 6E. MartínezM
- 10MatheuzinhoM
- 15WalaceM
- 33ErickM
- 70FabianoD
- 83JamersonD
- 88Zé VitorM
- 91ReneF
- 95CaíqueD
Substitutes
- 7MarinhoF
- 8T. PochettinoM
- 11OsvaldoF
- 12D. TarziaD
- 13RamonD
- 23FabrícioF
- 26EdenilsonM
- 35FintelmanG
- 41Wendell SacramentoM
- 71Yuri SenaG
- 79Renato KayzerF
- 98MateusinhoD
Flamengo
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jorge Carrascal | M | 86 | 8.3 | — | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4/4 |
| Erick Pulgar | M | 93 | 8.0 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/2 |
| Léo Pereira | D | 93 | 7.3 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | — |
| Giorgian de Arrascaeta(C) | M | 65 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 5 | 1/2 |
| Jorginho | M | 74 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Ayrton Lucas | D | 93 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 3/3 |
| Léo Ortiz | D | 93 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| Guillermo Varela | D | 93 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Samuel Lino | M | 74 | 6.6 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| Agustín Rossi | G | 93 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pedro | F | 74 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Dyogo Alves | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lorran | M | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Danilo | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Emerson Royal | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Johnny Goes | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Andrew | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Saúl Ñíguez | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wallace Yan | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Bruno Henrique | F | 19 | 7.9 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Evertton Araujo | M | 19 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Lucas Paquetá | M | 28 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/1 |
| Gonzalo Plata | F | 19 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
Vitoria
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caique Gonçalves | D | 93 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lucas Arcanjo(C) | G | 93 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Emanuel Brítez | D | 93 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Emmanuel Martínez | M | 93 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1/2 |
| Jamerson | D | 93 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/2 |
| Fabiano Souza | D | 93 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| Renê Sousa | F | 80 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/2 |
| Matheuzinho | M | 45 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Erick | M | 45 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Zé Vitor | M | 92 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Walace | M | 69 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Ramon | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Osvaldo | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alexandre Fintelman | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wendell dos Santos Sacramento | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Renato Kayzer | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Edenilson | M | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mateusinho | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Yuri Sena | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Marinho | F | 48 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Tomás Pochettino | M | 24 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fabrício Santos | F | 13 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Diego Tarzia | D | 48 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |