Flamengo vs Mirassol
Flamengo cruise to comfortable win
Carrascal and Paquetá secure a straightforward 2-0 victory at home
Flamengo delivered a solid performance in Serie A, with early goals from J. Carrascal and Lucas Paquetá setting the tone before the break. The 2-0 scoreline reflected their control without the need for a goal glut. Fipster's prediction of a home win was spot on, though the margin was less emphatic than forecast.
Outcome probability
Flamengo face Mirassol in a clash where the gulf in quality and form is glaring. With Flamengo sitting comfortably near the top of the table and Mirassol struggling in the lower reaches, this match promises to be a showcase of Flamengo's attacking prowess.
Match factors
Flamengo's potent attacking trio
Pedro and Samuel Lino lead Flamengo's scoring and assist charts, creating a strong offensive threat
Flamengo's superior scoring rate
Flamengo averages over 2 goals per game at home, significantly higher than Mirassol's 1.31
Samuel Lino's recent scoring surge
Samuel Lino scored 4 goals in last 5 matches, boosting Flamengo's attacking momentum
Absence of Bruno Henrique weakens Flamengo's attack
Bruno Henrique is out due to suspension, reducing Flamengo's attacking depth
Mirassol's defensive vulnerabilities
Mirassol concedes 1.54 goals per game, struggling defensively against strong attacks
The context
This fixture is part of the regular season, round 4, where Flamengo currently hold 48 points and second place, while Mirassol languish in 18th with 24 points. Their recent head-to-head meetings favour Flamengo, who have won two of the three encounters, scoring twice as many goals as Mirassol.
Key insights
Pedro
Flamengo
Pedro leads Flamengo's scoring with 14 goals this season and boasts a strong away goal rate, making him a constant threat.
Serie A 26/2714 goals in 22 appearances, 0.64 goals/game
Samuel Lino
Flamengo
Samuel Lino's recent form is electric, netting 4 goals in his last 5 games, adding significant firepower to Flamengo's attack.
Serie A 26/276 goals in 22 appearances, 0.27 goals/game
J. Carrascal
Flamengo
Carrascal's creativity shines with 4 assists this season and 2 goals in recent matches, providing key support in midfield.
Serie A 26/273 goals in 16 appearances, 0.19 goals/game; 4 assists in 16 appearances, 0.25 assists/game
Analysis
Flamengo's attacking trio, led by Pedro and Samuel Lino, have been in fine form, combining for a significant portion of the team's goals and assists. Pedro, the league's top scorer for Flamengo with 14 goals, has been particularly clinical away from home. Samuel Lino's recent scoring surge adds further threat. Mirassol's defensive vulnerabilities, conceding over 1.5 goals per game, make them susceptible to Flamengo's firepower. The absence of Bruno Henrique due to suspension slightly weakens Flamengo's attack but does little to dampen their overall dominance.
Key facts
- 1.Flamengo have won 2 of 3 recent meetings against Mirassol, scoring 10 goals to 5.
- 2.Flamengo rank 2nd in the league with 48 points; Mirassol are 18th with 24 points.
- 3.Flamengo boast a +27 goal difference compared to Mirassol's -10.
- 4.Flamengo average over 2 goals per game at home, while Mirassol concede 1.54 goals per game.
- 5.Pedro is Flamengo's top scorer with 14 goals this season, including strong away form.
- 6.Samuel Lino has scored 4 goals in his last 5 matches, boosting Flamengo's attack.
- 7.Mirassol have struggled defensively, conceding frequently this season.
- 8.Bruno Henrique is suspended, slightly weakening Flamengo's attacking options.
Prediction
We expect Flamengo to take an early lead and maintain control throughout, leading 2-0 at halftime and extending their advantage to a 4-0 fulltime scoreline. The match is also likely to see around four cards, reflecting a competitive but controlled encounter.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Flamengo
Away — Mirassol
No standout top scorers flagged for Mirassol
The verdict
In summary, Flamengo's superior form, attacking quality, and home advantage set the stage for a comfortable win over Mirassol. Expect a dominant display that reinforces Flamengo's status as one of the league's top sides this season.
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Carrascal
Assist: Pedro
Pulgar
Paquetá
Assist: Carrascal
Carlos Eduardo
Evertton Araújo
Walter
Yellow Card
João Victor
Yellow Card
Igor Formiga
Pedro
Carrascal
André Luís
Cazonatti
Denilson
Yellow Card
Lino
Match Statistics
Flamengo
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1A. RossiG
- 2G. VarelaD
- 3Léo OrtizD
- 4Léo PereiraD
- 5E. PulgarM
- 6Ayrton LucasD
- 9PedroF
- 15J. CarrascalM
- 16Samuel LinoM
- 20Lucas PaquetáM
- 21JorginhoM
Substitutes
- 7Luiz AraújoF
- 8SaúlM
- 10G. de ArrascaetaM
- 11EvertonF
- 13DaniloD
- 22Emerson RoyalD
- 27Bruno HenriqueF
- 42AndrewG
- 49DyogoG
- 52Evertton AraújoM
- 77Johnny GóesD
- 99LorranM
Mirassol
5-4-1Starting XI
- 3Willian MachadoD
- 6ReinaldoD
- 9André LuísF
- 17FernandinhoM
- 22WalterG
- 27DenilsonM
- 32Igor FormigaD
- 34João VictorD
- 44GabrielD
- 55Gustavo CazonattiM
- 96Carlos EduardoM
Substitutes
- 2Lucas OliveiraD
- 5JapaM
- 7ShaylonM
- 10ChicoM
- 12Victor LuísD
- 18EliasD
- 19Gustavo SilvaM
- 20Daniel BorgesD
- 23Alex MuralhaG
- 30Bruno SantosF
- 77AlessonF
- 80WallissonM
Flamengo
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Carrascal | M | 73 | 9.0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Lucas Paquetá | M | 90 | 8.2 | 1 | — | 4 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Léo Pereira | D | 90 | 7.7 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Ayrton Lucas | D | 90 | 7.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| Pedro | F | 73 | 7.4 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 4 | 2/3 |
| Léo Ortiz | D | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Samuel Lino | M | 82 | 7.2 | — | — | 2 | — | 4 | 0/1 |
| G. Varela | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Jorginho | M | 90 | 7.1 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — |
| E. Pulgar | M | 31 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Evertton Araújo | M | 15 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Rossi | G | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Saúl | M | 17 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| G. de Arrascaeta | M | 44 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/1 |
| Everton | F | 8 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Bruno Henrique | F | 17 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dyogo | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Andrew | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Luiz Araújo | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Emerson Royal | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Danilo | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Johnny Góes | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lorran | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Mirassol
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Willian Machado | D | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 5/5 |
| Reinaldo | D | 90 | 7.1 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | 0/1 |
| Gabriel | D | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/2 |
| Denilson | M | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Bruno Santos | F | 11 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Shaylon | M | 44 | 6.4 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| Fernandinho | M | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 2/3 |
| Gustavo Cazonatti | M | 79 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Igor Formiga | D | 66 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | 1/1 |
| Elias | D | 24 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Chico | M | 11 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| João Victor | D | 90 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Carlos Eduardo | M | 46 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/2 |
| André Luís | F | 79 | 5.9 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/2 |
| Alex Muralha | G | 44 | 5.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Walter | G | 46 | 5.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Wallisson | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alesson | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Japa | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gustavo Silva | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Daniel Borges | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Victor Luís | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lucas Oliveira | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |