Flamengo vs Internacional
Match recap
Flamengo and Internacional drew 1–1 in their Serie A fixture. de Arrascaeta scored for Flamengo; Borré replied for Internacional. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 1.82 for Flamengo versus 0.76 for Internacional. Flamengo sit 1st in the Serie A table while Internacional are 17th.
Fipster’s pre-match call
Predicted
3-0 Flamengo win
Actual
1–1
Outcome probability
Flamengo and Internacional face off in the second round of the regular season, with Flamengo looking to assert their dominance early on. Both teams have shown glimpses of quality, but Flamengo's current form and attacking firepower make them the clear favourites.
Match factors
Flamengo's potent attack vs Internacional's leaky defense
Flamengo averages nearly 2 goals per game at home, while Internacional concedes 1.43 goals away, favoring Flamengo's offensive players.
Pedro's superior scoring form
Pedro leads Flamengo with 15 goals this season, significantly above league striker average, making him the primary scoring threat.
J. Carrascal's creative influence
Carrascal has 8 assists this season and strong recent form, driving Flamengo's attacking play and linking well with Pedro and Lino.
Absence of G. de Arrascaeta weakens Flamengo midfield
Arrascaeta is confirmed out due to wrist injury, removing a key creative midfielder and shifting creative burden to others.
Internacional's key attacker J. Carbonero under pressure
Carbonero is the main scorer and assister for Internacional but faces a strong Flamengo defense, limiting his impact potential.
The context
This match is part of the regular season where Flamengo currently lead the league with an impressive points tally and goal difference. Internacional, while competitive, have struggled to match Flamengo's consistency and goal-scoring ability this season.
Key insights
Pedro
Flamengo
Pedro leads Flamengo with 15 goals this season, making him the primary scoring threat and a key factor in their attacking dominance.
Serie A 26/2715 goals in 28 appearances, 0.54 goals/game
J. Carrascal
Flamengo
Carrascal's 8 assists and strong recent form drive Flamengo's attacking play, linking well with Pedro and Samuel Lino.
Serie A 26/278 assists in 22 appearances, 0.36 assists/game
Samuel Lino
Flamengo
Samuel Lino contributes both goals and assists, adding depth to Flamengo's offensive options with 9 goals and 7 assists this season.
Serie A 26/279 goals and 7 assists in 27 appearances
J. Carbonero
Internacional
Carbonero is Internacional's main attacking threat but faces a tough challenge against Flamengo's strong defence, limiting his impact potential.
Serie A 26/277 goals and 4 assists in 27 appearances
Analysis
Flamengo boast a strong home record, averaging nearly two goals per game, while Internacional concede over 1.4 goals away from home. Flamengo's top scorer Pedro, with 15 goals this season, is in fine form and poses a significant threat. Creative midfielder J. Carrascal's eight assists underline Flamengo's attacking creativity. Meanwhile, Internacional's key attacker J. Carbonero faces a tough challenge against Flamengo's solid defence. The absence of Flamengo's G. de Arrascaeta due to injury shifts creative responsibilities but does little to dent their overall attacking threat.
Key facts
- 1.Flamengo lead the league with 61 points from 29 games (W18 D7 L4).
- 2.Flamengo have a +37 goal difference, significantly better than Internacional.
- 3.In 20 head-to-head meetings, Flamengo have won 8, Internacional 5, with 7 draws.
- 4.Flamengo average nearly 2 goals per home game this season.
- 5.Internacional concede 1.43 goals per away game on average.
- 6.Pedro is Flamengo's top scorer with 15 goals this season.
- 7.J. Carrascal leads Flamengo with 8 assists this season.
Prediction
All signs point to a comfortable home win for Flamengo, with a predicted 3-0 scoreline. The halftime score is expected to be 1-0, setting the tone for a dominant second half. Flamengo's superior form, goal difference, and attacking options make this a straightforward call.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Flamengo
Away — Internacional
The verdict
Expect Flamengo to continue their strong league campaign with a convincing win over Internacional. Their attacking prowess and home advantage should see them comfortably through, leaving Internacional to regroup and rethink their approach for upcoming fixtures.
Prediction generated 11 Oct 2026, 17:22 UTC · Fipster Model v1.163
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Mercado
Yellow Card
Paquetá
Yellow Card
Ronaldo
Yellow Card
Vitinho
Yellow Card
Borré
Assist: Carbonero
Emerson Royal
Bruno Henrique
Ronaldo
Vitinho
de la Cruz
Yellow Card
Paquetá
Everton
de Arrascaeta
Penalty
de la Cruz
Mercado
Carbonero
Borré
Varela
Yellow Card
Lino
Yellow Card
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Flamengo | 31 | 20 | 7 | 4 | +36 | 67 |
| 2 |  Palmeiras | 31 | 19 | 9 | 3 | +32 | 66 |
| 16 |  Corinthians | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | -7 | 32 |
| 17 |  Internacional | 31 | 7 | 11 | 13 | -7 | 32 |
| 18 |  Gremio | 31 | 7 | 10 | 14 | -10 | 31 |
Match Statistics
Flamengo
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1A. RossiG
- 3Léo OrtizD
- 4Léo PereiraD
- 5E. PulgarM
- 10G. de ArrascaetaM
- 11EvertonM
- 18N. de la CruzM
- 20Lucas PaquetáM
- 22Emerson RoyalD
- 26Alex SandroD
- 27Bruno HenriqueF
Substitutes
- 2G. VarelaD
- 6Ayrton LucasD
- 9PedroF
- 15J. CarrascalM
- 16Samuel LinoM
- 19G. PlataF
- 42AndrewG
- 44VitãoD
- 51Daniel SalesD
- 52Evertton AraújoM
- 64WallaceF
- 81Douglas TellesF
Internacional
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 1S. RochetG
- 7J. CarboneroF
- 10Alan PatrickF
- 15Bruno GomesD
- 16RonaldoM
- 19R. BorréF
- 25G. MercadoD
- 26A. BernabéiM
- 27PaulinhoM
- 28VitinhoM
- 41Victor GabrielD
Substitutes
- 4F. TorresD
- 8Bruno HenriqueM
- 9AlerrandroF
- 17TabataF
- 18JuninhoD
- 24AnthoniG
- 29Thiago MaiaM
- 31AllexM
- 32Diego EsserG
- 35B. AguirreD
- 44Victor JoaoF
- 47Gustavo PradoM
Flamengo
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Giorgian De Arrascaeta | M | 101 | 7.3 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 5 | 1/3 |
| Alex Sandro | D | 101 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | 1/1 |
| Léo Pereira | D | 101 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | — |
| Everton | M | 64 | 6.9 | — | — | 3 | — | — | 4/4 |
| Nicolás de la Cruz | M | 73 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Léo Ortiz | D | 101 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/2 |
| Erick Pulgar | M | 101 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Bruno Henrique(C) | F | 45 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Lucas Paquetá | M | 64 | 6.3 | — | — | 3 | 1 | — | 1/2 |
| Emerson Royal | D | 45 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Agustín Rossi | G | 101 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Wallace Yan | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Daniel Sales | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Vitão | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ayrton Lucas | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Andrew | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gonzalo Plata | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Douglas Costa Telles | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Guillermo Varela | D | 56 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jorge Carrascal | M | 37 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/2 |
| Samuel Lino | M | 37 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| Evertton Araujo | M | 28 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Pedro | F | 56 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/2 |
Internacional
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rafael Borré | F | 86 | 7.6 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2/2 |
| Victor Gabriel | D | 101 | 7.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ronaldo | M | 57 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Sergio Rochet | G | 101 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Bruno Gomes | D | 101 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Paulinho Paula | M | 101 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/3 |
| Alan Patrick(C) | F | 101 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Johan Carbonero | F | 86 | 6.7 | — | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2/4 |
| Gabriel Mercado | D | 81 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Vitinho | M | 57 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Alexandro Bernabei | M | 101 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1/2 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Diego Esser | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Anthoni | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gustavo Prado | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Allex | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Juninho | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Joao Victor | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Bruno Tabata | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alerrandro | F | 15 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Thiago Maia | M | 15 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Félix Torres | D | 20 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Bruno Henrique | M | 44 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Braian Aguirre | D | 44 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Flamengo vs Internacional?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Flamengo to win against Internacional.
- What score did Fipster predict for Flamengo vs Internacional?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Flamengo 3–0 Internacional.
- What were the win probabilities for Flamengo vs Internacional?
- Fipster's model gave Flamengo a 93% chance of winning, Internacional a 3% chance, and a 4% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 93% confidence — a high-confidence call.