Flamengo vs Botafogo
Flamengo cruise to comfortable 3-0 win
Samuel Lino shines with a brace as Flamengo dominate Botafogo.
Flamengo secured a commanding 3-0 victory over Botafogo in Serie A, with Samuel Lino opening the scoring early and adding a second goal late on. J. Carrascal sealed the win with a goal in stoppage time, ensuring a comprehensive home triumph. Fipster's high-confidence prediction of a Flamengo win was spot on, though the actual scoreline was even more emphatic than forecast.
Outcome probability
Flamengo and Botafogo face off in a Brazilian league match where Flamengo's strong form and attacking threat make them clear favourites. This fixture promises a tactical battle, but the stats suggest a comfortable win for Flamengo.
Match factors
Flamengo's prolific striker Pedro leads attack
Pedro's 14 goals this season and strong away form give Flamengo a clear attacking edge
Flamengo's midfield creativity with Samuel Lino and Carrascal
Lino's 7 assists and Carrascal's recent 3 assists boost Flamengo's chance creation
J. Carrascal's recent assist surge
Carrascal has 3 assists in last 5 games, indicating rising influence in attack
Alex Telles provides attacking threat from defense for Botafogo
Telles' 3 assists and set-piece role add offensive dimension to Botafogo
No confirmed absences for either team
Full squad availability supports predicted strong performances from key players
The context
This is a regular season match in the Brazilian league, with Flamengo sitting 2nd in the table and Botafogo down in 11th. Flamengo's superior goal difference and points tally highlight their better season performance so far.
Key insights
Pedro
Flamengo
Pedro's 14 goals this season and strong away scoring form give Flamengo a clear attacking edge.
Serie A 26/2714 goals in 22 appearances, 0.64 goals/game
Samuel Lino
Flamengo
Samuel Lino's 7 assists and 6 goals provide vital creativity and goal threat from midfield.
Serie A 26/277 assists and 6 goals in 22 appearances
J. Carrascal
Flamengo
J. Carrascal's recent surge with 3 assists in last 5 games boosts Flamengo's chance creation.
Serie A 26/273 assists in 16 appearances, 0.19 goals/game
Alex Telles
Botafogo
Alex Telles offers attacking threat from defence with 3 assists and set-piece expertise.
Serie A 26/273 assists in 20 appearances
Analysis
Flamengo have dominated recent meetings against Botafogo, winning 14 of their last 20 encounters. Their goal difference of +24 compared to Botafogo's +1 reflects a team with both a potent attack and solid defence. Key players like Pedro, the league's top scorer with 14 goals, and creative midfielders Samuel Lino and J. Carrascal, who have been involved in numerous goals and assists, give Flamengo a clear edge. Botafogo's main threat comes from Arthur Cabral and Alex Telles, but their recent form and scoring drought make it tough to see them breaking down Flamengo's defence.
Key facts
- 1.Flamengo have won 14 of 20 meetings against Botafogo.
- 2.Flamengo are 2nd in the league with 45 points from 23 games.
- 3.Botafogo are 11th with 30 points from 22 games.
- 4.Flamengo's goal difference (+24) is significantly better than Botafogo's (+1).
- 5.Pedro is Flamengo's top scorer with 14 goals this season.
- 6.Samuel Lino leads Flamengo with 7 assists.
- 7.J. Carrascal has 3 assists in the last 5 games, showing good recent form.
- 8.Botafogo's Arthur Cabral has 7 goals but none in the last 5 games.
Prediction
We expect Flamengo to win 2-0, maintaining a clean sheet while capitalising on their attacking strengths. Pedro is likely to be involved in the scoring, supported by the creative efforts of Lino and Carrascal. Botafogo will struggle to find the net against Flamengo's organised defence.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Flamengo
Away — Botafogo
The verdict
In summary, Flamengo's superior form, goal difference, and key player performances point to a confident 2-0 victory over Botafogo. Expect a controlled game with Flamengo asserting dominance and securing all three points.
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Goal Disallowed - handball
Lino
Assist: Jorginho
Telles
Montoro
Araújo
Edenílson
Goal Disallowed - offside
de Arrascaeta
Cabral
Vitinho
Marçal
Yellow Card
Lino
Assist: Carrascal
Pedro
Justino
Yellow Card
Carrascal
Assist: Everton
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Flamengo | 27 | 17 | 6 | 4 | +31 | 57 |
| 2 |  Palmeiras | 27 | 16 | 8 | 3 | +26 | 56 |
| 13 |  Corinthians | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | -1 | 32 |
| 14 |  Botafogo | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | -3 | 32 |
| 15 |  Mirassol | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | -11 | 29 |
Match Statistics
Flamengo
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1A. RossiG
- 3Léo OrtizD
- 4Léo PereiraD
- 5E. PulgarM
- 6Ayrton LucasD
- 7Luiz AraújoM
- 9PedroF
- 10G. de ArrascaetaM
- 16Samuel LinoM
- 21JorginhoM
- 22Emerson RoyalD
Substitutes
- 2G. VarelaD
- 11EvertonF
- 13DaniloD
- 15J. CarrascalM
- 20Lucas PaquetáM
- 42AndrewG
- 49DyogoG
- 52Evertton AraújoM
- 61João Victor CunhaD
- 77Johnny GóesD
- 99LorranM
Botafogo
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 2VitinhoM
- 5N. FerraresiD
- 8Danilo SantosM
- 10Álvaro MontoroF
- 12Gabriel BatistaG
- 13Alex TellesM
- 19Arthur CabralF
- 21MarçalD
- 34G. JustinoD
- 75HuguinhoM
- 88EdenílsonF
Substitutes
- 6C. MedinaM
- 7Júnior SantosF
- 17WarlesonG
- 25AllanM
- 33L. MonzónD
- 37K. BarriaF
- 42Kadu SantosD
- 59Kauan ToledoM
- 62CleberG
- 77L. VillalbaF
- 90DaniloF
- 91Domingos AndradeM
Flamengo
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Lino | M | 93 | 9.6 | 2 | — | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0/1 |
| Agustín Rossi | G | 93 | 8.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Erick Pulgar | M | 93 | 7.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Jorginho | M | 93 | 7.5 | — | 1 | — | — | 3 | — |
| Emerson Royal | D | 93 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Ayrton Lucas | D | 93 | 7.2 | — | — | 3 | 1 | — | — |
| Léo Pereira | D | 93 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Giorgian de Arrascaeta(C) | M | 75 | 7.0 | — | — | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2/2 |
| Léo Ortiz | D | 93 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pedro Guilherme | F | 88 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 4 | 0/3 |
| Luiz Araújo | M | 57 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Johnny Goes | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| João Victor | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lorran | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dyogo Alves | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Evertton Araujo | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Andrew | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Everton | F | 5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | — |
| Guillermo Varela | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Danilo | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jorge Carrascal | M | 18 | 8.3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Lucas Paquetá | M | 36 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/1 |
Botafogo
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Huguinho | M | 93 | 7.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 2/4 |
| Vitinho | M | 77 | 7.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 3 | 3/4 |
| Danilo Santos | M | 93 | 7.2 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | 1/1 |
| Arthur Cabral | F | 77 | 7.2 | — | — | 4 | 2 | 1 | 4/5 |
| Nahuel Ferraresi | D | 93 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Edenilson | F | 66 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 0/1 |
| Alex Telles(C) | M | 21 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gabriel Justino | D | 93 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Álvaro Montoro | F | 45 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/4 |
| Gabriel Batista | G | 93 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Marçal | D | 93 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 0/2 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Kauan Toledo | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Allan | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Warleson | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Domingos Andrade | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Cléber Lucas | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kadu Santos | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kadir Barría | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lucas Monzón | D | 72 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Danilo | F | 48 | 6.6 | — | — | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1/1 |
| Júnior Santos | F | 16 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2/2 |
| Lucas Villalba | F | 16 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Cristian Medina | M | 27 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Flamengo vs Botafogo?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Flamengo to win against Botafogo.
- What score did Fipster predict for Flamengo vs Botafogo?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Flamengo 2–0 Botafogo.
- What were the win probabilities for Flamengo vs Botafogo?
- Fipster's model gave Flamengo a 95% chance of winning, Botafogo a 2% chance, and a 3% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 95% confidence — a high-confidence call.