FK Jablonec vs Slovácko
Jablonec edges Slovácko in tight contest
A solitary strike from M. Cedidla secures all three points for the home side.
FK Jablonec claimed a narrow 1-0 victory over Slovácko in the Czech Liga, thanks to M. Cedidla's decisive goal just after the hour mark. The match was a closely fought affair with little room for error, and Jablonec's slim margin was enough to see them through. Fipster's prediction of a home win was on the money, albeit with a slightly different scoreline in mind.
Outcome probability
The new Czech league season kicks off with FK Jablonec facing Slovácko in what promises to be a competitive encounter. Both teams are eager to set the tone early, with Jablonec bolstered by the arrival of free agent J. Sláma, aiming to leverage their stronger squad to claim the opening three points.
Match factors
Home Win Most Probable
Sum of home win probabilities is highest at 0.41, led by 2-1 scoreline.
Halftime Score Consistent
Modal halftime score 0-0 is consistent with fulltime 2-1.
Cards Prediction
Modal total cards is 4, with 30% probability.
The context
This fixture marks the beginning of the 2026 campaign, with neither side having played a league game yet. FK Jablonec finished last season with a notably better goal difference and points-per-game ratio than Slovácko, suggesting a slight edge. The summer transfer window saw Jablonec add J. Sláma to their ranks, potentially strengthening their lineup for this opener.
Key insights
- J
J. Sláma
FK Jablonec
New signing expected to add depth and stability to Jablonec's midfield.
Recently joined as a free agent, no season stats yet.
Analysis
Looking at the teams' comparative strengths, FK Jablonec hold a clear advantage in goal difference and points per game from last season, indicating a more potent attack and solid defence. Slovácko, while competitive, have struggled to match that level. The prediction models favour a home win with a 2-1 scoreline, reflecting a closely fought match but with Jablonec likely to come out on top. The expected total of four cards hints at a spirited contest with some robust challenges.
Key facts
- 1.FK Jablonec finished last season with a significantly better goal difference than Slovácko.
- 2.Jablonec have a points-per-game advantage of 1.70 compared to Slovácko's 0.86 last season.
- 3.Jablonec have strengthened their squad with the free agent signing of J. Sláma.
- 4.The predicted final score is 2-1 in favour of FK Jablonec.
- 5.The match is expected to see around four total cards, indicating a competitive encounter.
Prediction
The forecast is for FK Jablonec to secure a 2-1 victory over Slovácko. While the confidence in this call is low, the home win probability leads the pack, making this the most plausible outcome. The halftime score is uncertain, but a goalless first half followed by a decisive second half seems likely.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — FK Jablonec
Away — Slovácko
The verdict
As the season opener, this match sets the stage for what could be an intriguing campaign. FK Jablonec's slight edge on paper and their summer signing give them the nod to start with a win, but Slovácko will be keen to spoil the party. Expect a competitive game with a few cards and a narrow victory for the home side.
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Heča
Red Card
Havlík
Yellow Card
Polidar
Red Card
Okeke
Růsek
Chramosta
Tekijaški
Yellow Card
Blahút
Niarchos
Cedidla
Assist: Suchan
Suchan
Dolžnikov
Trávník
Ceesay
Red Card
Nebyla
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Slavia Praha | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +9 | 9 |
| 2 |  FK Jablonec | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 9 |
| 3 |  Mlada Boleslav | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | +4 | 8 |
| 14 |  Pardubice | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -4 | 1 |
| 15 |  Slovácko | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -6 | 1 |
| 16 |  Zlin | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -6 | 0 |
Match Statistics
FK Jablonec
3-4-1-2Starting XI
- 4N. TekijaškiD
- 6N. OkekeM
- 7V. TchanturishviliM
- 9A. RůsekF
- 10J. SuchanF
- 15D. PavlovićD
- 18M. CedidlaD
- 19J. ChramostaF
- 21M. PolidarM
- 25S. NebylaM
- 99K. MihelakG
Substitutes
- 1J. HanušG
- 8F. ZorvanM
- 13R. SedláčekM
- 14D. SoučekD
- 20J. SlámaD
- 22Roman HorákM
- 23E. SobolD
- 27F. VechetaF
- 42M. MalenšekF
- 44L. JawoF
- 57F. NovákD
Slovácko
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 2Gigli NdefeM
- 4A. StojchevskiD
- 7G. NiarchosF
- 10M. TrávníkM
- 15P. BlahútM
- 20M. HavlíkF
- 21Š. SlončíkD
- 22J. BehiratcheD
- 26T. KostadinovM
- 27A. DolžnikovF
- 29M. HečaG
Substitutes
- 6M. ŠviderskýM
- 9A. MarinelliF
- 11F. HorskýF
- 13O. CeesayF
- 16G. SossehM
- 19Tomáš KrálD
- 23D. ŠtěpánekD
- 24M. KoscelníkD
- 33A. UrbanG
- 34P. HalouskaG
FK Jablonec
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martin Cedidla | D | 94 | 8.3 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Jan Suchan | F | 77 | 7.6 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 5 | — |
| Nemanja Tekijaški(C) | D | 94 | 7.2 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | 1/1 |
| Dušan Pavlović | D | 94 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Vakhtang Chanturishvili | M | 94 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Klemen Mihelak | G | 94 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nelson Okeke | M | 45 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sebastian Nebyla | M | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Antonín Růsek | F | 45 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jan Chramosta | F | 45 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Matěj Polidar | M | 49 | 5.6 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Roman Horák | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Eduard Sobol | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Daniel Souček | D | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Filip Vecheta | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jan Hanuš | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Matej Malenšek | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Filip Novák | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Richard Sedláček | M | 49 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Jiří Sláma | D | 49 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| Filip Zorvan | M | 17 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lamin Jawo | F | 49 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Slovácko
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tihomir Kostadinov | M | 94 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1/2 |
| Simon Sloncik | D | 94 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Giannis Niarchos | F | 58 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Andrej Stojchevski | D | 94 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Jocelin Behiratche | D | 94 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Michal Trávník(C) | M | 80 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/1 |
| Marek Havlík | F | 9 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Artur Dolznikov | F | 79 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 0/3 |
| Patrik Blahút | M | 58 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Gigli Ndefe | M | 94 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/2 |
| Milan Heča | G | 7 | 3.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Urban Alexandr | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Filip Horský | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Martin Šviderský | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| David Štěpánek | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tomas Kral | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gibril Sosseh | M | 14 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Martin Koscelník | D | 36 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Alan Marinelli | F | 15 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Pavel Halouska | G | 85 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ousman Ceesay | F | 25 | 5.7 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |