FK Jablonec vs NK Varazdin

UEFA Europa Conference League2nd Qualifying Round

FK Jablonec

Full Time
2–0
HT: 1–0

NK Varazdin

Ref: Florjan Lata, AlbaniaStadion Střelnice, Jablonec nad Nisou · 6,280 cap
Fipster Pick
Home WinlowHit
Full-time story

Jablonec secure solid 2-0 win

A composed performance sees Jablonec comfortably dispatch Varazdin in the Conference League.

FK Jablonec claimed a straightforward 2-0 victory over NK Varazdin in the UEFA Europa Conference League, with an own goal by R. Punčec putting the hosts ahead before D. Pavlović doubled the lead after the break. The result matched Fipster's prediction of a home win, albeit with a slightly different scoreline, confirming Jablonec's control throughout the match.

Qualifying — two-legged tieLeg 2 of 2Decisive leg
First leg:
NK Varazdin 3 2 FK Jablonec
Aggregate:
FK Jablonec 4 3 NK Varazdin
Advances:
FK Jablonec
FıpsterSelf-Score Card
Underconfident✓ Hit
Fipster's Pick✓
2–1
Final Result
2–0
HT 1–0
50%Fair
C
✓Outcome✗Exact Score✗BTTS✗Over/Under 2.5✗Halftime
Fipster's self review30 Jul 2026

Analysis

The upcoming 2nd Qualifying Round fixture between FK Jablonec and NK Varazdin promises a tight contest, with both sides eager to progress. Expect a competitive match with goals from both teams.

In this competition, FK Jablonec have played one match, suffering a narrow defeat while scoring twice. NK Varazdin, on the other hand, have won their opening match with a 3-2 scoreline. The teams have met once before, with Varazdin claiming the sole victory.

The prediction leans towards a home win for FK Jablonec with a 2-1 scoreline, reflecting the highest probability among winning outcomes at 41.5%. The 2-1 result holds the highest individual likelihood at 17.3%, surpassing other home win scores. Confidence is moderate at 35%, indicating a reasonable expectation of this outcome. Level after 90 minutes and Fipster expects extra time to settle nothing either — this one has penalty shootout written all over it, with FK Jablonec tipped to hold their nerve from the spot. The graded markets reflect the score at the end of extra time, and any penalty-shootout call is a who-goes-through tip, not a scored prediction.

Prediction

Expect FK Jablonec to secure a narrow 2-1 victory over NK Varazdin, with both teams likely to find the net in a closely fought encounter.

Outcome probability

FK Jablonec 35%Draw 33%NK Varazdin 32%

Match factors

Statsmedium

Draw Probability

Draw aggregated probability is 0.246, with 1-1 as the most probable draw scoreline at 14.7%.

Statsmedium

Modal Fulltime Scoreline

1-1 is the most probable fulltime scoreline overall at 14.7%.

Key Takeaways

While NK Varazdin have the edge in their head-to-head record and recent competition form, FK Jablonec's home advantage and goal-scoring potential make them favourites to progress. Fans should brace for a tense match that could well be decided by penalties.

  • FK Jablonec have played 1 match in this competition (0W 0D 1L, GF 2 / GA 3).
  • NK Varazdin have played 1 match in this competition (1W 0D 0L, GF 3 / GA 2).
  • In 1 head-to-head meeting, FK Jablonec have won 0, NK Varazdin have won 1, with 0 draws.
  • The highest probability outcome is a home win at 41.5%.
  • The most likely specific scoreline is 2-1 in favour of FK Jablonec at 17.3%.
  • Draw probability stands at 24.6%, with 1-1 as the most probable draw scoreline at 14.7%.
  • The overall most probable fulltime scoreline is 1-1 at 14.7%.
  • The match is in the 2nd Qualifying Round of the competition.
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