FK Jablonec vs Baník Ostrava
Jablonec cruise to comfortable win
A commanding 3-0 victory sees Jablonec assert their dominance over Baník Ostrava.
FK Jablonec delivered a convincing performance in the Czech Liga, securing a 3-0 win over Baník Ostrava. F. Novák opened the scoring just before half-time, setting the tone for the second half where A. Růsek and M. Polidar added further goals. While Fipster predicted a home win with medium confidence, the actual scoreline was more emphatic than the modest 1-0 forecast.
Outcome probability
As the new season kicks off, FK Jablonec and Baník Ostrava prepare to face off in what promises to be a closely fought encounter. Both teams have made some summer moves, with Jablonec signing J. Sláma and losing A. Alégué, while Baník Ostrava welcome A. Traoré and bid farewell to O. Kričfaluši. This match will set the tone for their campaigns ahead.
Key facts
- 1.FK Jablonec signed J. Sláma and lost A. Alégué during the summer.
- 2.Baník Ostrava signed A. Traoré and lost O. Kričfaluši in the off-season.
- 3.FK Jablonec finished higher in the league standings last season than Baník Ostrava.
- 4.Jablonec have a significantly better goal difference than Baník Ostrava.
- 5.Jablonec average 1.70 points per game compared to Baník Ostrava's 0.83 last season.
- 6.The predicted final score is 1-0 in favour of FK Jablonec.
- 7.The halftime score is also expected to be 1-0.
- 8.Four cards are predicted, indicating a competitive match.
The context
Last season's performances have set expectations for this fixture. FK Jablonec finished higher in the league standings and boast a significantly better goal difference, suggesting a more potent attack and solid defence. Baník Ostrava, meanwhile, will be looking to improve on their previous campaign and make a statement early on with their new signing A. Traoré.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — FK Jablonec
Away — Baník Ostrava
Analysis
The statistical edge lies with FK Jablonec, who have a notable points-per-game advantage and a stronger goal difference compared to Baník Ostrava. The predicted scoreline of 1-0 reflects a tight match where Jablonec's defensive solidity and home advantage could be decisive. The halftime score is also expected to be 1-0, indicating an early breakthrough that Jablonec will aim to protect. The forecast of four cards suggests a competitive and physical game.
Prediction
We anticipate FK Jablonec to clinch a narrow 1-0 victory, leveraging their summer signing J. Sláma and overall squad strength. Baník Ostrava will put up a fight, but the home side's consistency and tactical discipline should see them through in this season opener.
The verdict
This match sets the stage for what could be an intriguing season for both sides. FK Jablonec start with a slight advantage, but Baník Ostrava's new additions could make future encounters more unpredictable. For now, expect a disciplined and closely contested game with Jablonec edging it by the smallest of margins.
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Míček
Yellow Card
Alioum
Yellow Card
Goal cancelled
Mihelak
Novák
Assist: Sedláček
Card upgrade confirmed
Chaluš
Red Card
Jedlička
Yellow Card
Růsek
Assist: Polidar
Holzer
Gilbert
Kubala
Jurečka
Polidar
Assist: Hollý
Míček
Hollý
Goal cancelled
Alioum
Goal cancelled
Sedláček
Novák
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Slavia Praha | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | +18 | 20 |
| 7 |  Sparta Praha | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | +6 | 15 |
| 8 |  FK Jablonec | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 14 |
| 9 |  Hradec Králové | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 14 |
| 10 |  Plzen | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | +1 | 10 |
| 11 |  Baník Ostrava | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -10 | 10 |
| 12 |  Bohemians 1905 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -2 | 9 |
Match Statistics
FK Jablonec
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 4N. TekijaškiD
- 7V. TchanturishviliM
- 9A. RůsekM
- 13R. SedláčekM
- 15D. PavlovićD
- 17S. AlioumM
- 21M. PolidarM
- 24D. HollýF
- 25S. NebylaM
- 57F. NovákD
- 99K. MihelakG
Substitutes
- 1J. HanušG
- 6N. OkekeM
- 8F. ZorvanM
- 14D. SoučekD
- 16H. AhlM
- 18M. CedidlaD
- 19J. ChramostaF
- 20J. SlámaD
- 23E. SobolD
- 27F. VechetaF
- 44L. JawoF
Baník Ostrava
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 5J. BoulaM
- 7D. GilbertM
- 8A. TraoréM
- 15V. JurečkaM
- 23M. JedličkaG
- 28F. KubalaF
- 34A. BeweneM
- 37M. ChalušD
- 42J. MíčekD
- 44Y. SkybaD
- 95D. HolzerM
Substitutes
- 1V. BudinskýG
- 16M. DyachukD
- 17M. FrydrychD
- 19F. ŠanclM
- 22V. SkrkonF
- 55Artúr MusákM
- 81M. KmeťD
- 83R. NoghaM
FK Jablonec
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Polidar | M | 90 | 9.0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0/1 |
| F. Novák | D | 81 | 8.3 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | — |
| A. Růsek | M | 90 | 8.2 | 1 | — | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1/1 |
| N. Tekijaški | D | 90 | 7.8 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — |
| D. Pavlović | D | 90 | 7.8 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | — |
| R. Sedláček | M | 81 | 7.5 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | — |
| J. Hanuš | G | 49 | 7.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Nebyla | M | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | 2 | — | 7 | — |
| V. Tchanturishvili | M | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 0/2 |
| K. Mihelak | G | 41 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Alioum | M | 73 | 7.0 | — | — | 3 | — | 4 | 0/2 |
| F. Zorvan | M | 9 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Hollý | F | 73 | 6.9 | — | 1 | 2 | — | 2 | — |
| E. Sobol | D | 9 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| H. Ahl | M | 17 | 6.7 | — | — | 3 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| L. Jawo | F | 17 | 6.7 | — | — | 2 | — | — | 2/3 |
| J. Chramosta | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Okeke | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| F. Vecheta | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Cedidla | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Sláma | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Souček | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Baník Ostrava
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Traoré | M | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | 1/2 |
| D. Gilbert | M | 62 | 6.7 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | 1/2 |
| M. Jedlička | G | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Y. Skyba | D | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| V. Jurečka | M | 62 | 6.4 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| J. Míček | D | 72 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| V. Skrkon | F | 28 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Bewene | M | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/2 |
| M. Dyachuk | D | 18 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Nogha | M | 34 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| F. Šancl | M | 28 | 5.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Kmeť | D | 28 | 5.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Boula | M | 90 | 5.7 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| D. Holzer | M | 56 | 5.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| F. Kubala | F | 62 | 5.5 | — | — | 3 | — | — | 1/2 |
| M. Chaluš | D | 50 | 5.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| V. Budinský | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Artúr Musák | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Frydrych | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win FK Jablonec vs Baník Ostrava?
- Fipster's AI model predicted FK Jablonec to win against Baník Ostrava.
- What score did Fipster predict for FK Jablonec vs Baník Ostrava?
- Fipster predicted a final score of FK Jablonec 1–0 Baník Ostrava.
- What were the win probabilities for FK Jablonec vs Baník Ostrava?
- Fipster's model gave FK Jablonec a 60% chance of winning, Baník Ostrava a 20% chance, and a 20% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 60% confidence — a medium-confidence call.