Fiorentina vs Sassuolo

Serie AMatchweek 34
Ref: Livio Marinelli, ItalyStadio Artemio Franchi, Firenze · 43,147 cap
Fipster Pick
DrawlowHit

Match recap

Fiorentina and Sassuolo drew 0–0 in their Serie A fixture. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 1.72 for Fiorentina versus 0.87 for Sassuolo. Fiorentina sit 15th in the Serie A table while Sassuolo are 11th.

FıpsterSelf-Score Card
Underconfident✓ Hit
Fipster's Pick
11
HT 0–0
Final Result
00
HT 0–0
70%Good
B
OutcomeExact ScoreBTTSOver/Under 2.5Halftime
Fipster's self review27 Apr 2026

Analysis

Fiorentina host Sassuolo in what promises to be a closely contested Serie A fixture. Both teams have shown resilience this season, and with key players missing or doubtful, the match could hinge on tactical discipline and set-piece prowess.

Fiorentina sit 15th with 35 points, while Sassuolo are a bit more comfortable in 10th with 45 points. Their head-to-head record is almost neck and neck, with Fiorentina winning 8 times, Sassuolo 7, and 5 draws in 20 meetings. This parity sets the stage for a tight game.

Fiorentina's R. Piccoli is in fine form away from home, netting 4 goals in his last 5 away games, making him a key threat especially with other attackers sidelined. Meanwhile, J. Harrison's exceptional assist rate and set-piece duties provide Fiorentina with creative outlets. Sassuolo's top scorer A. Pinamonti is a doubt due to injury, which could blunt their attack, but Laurienté's consistent assists keep their offensive hopes alive. Both sides have reasons to be cautious, suggesting a low-scoring draw.


Prediction

The forecast is a 1-1 draw, with a 35% confidence level. The halftime score is expected to be goalless, reflecting a tight first half before both teams find the net in the second. Expect around four cards as tempers flare in this competitive encounter.

Outcome probability

Fiorentina 33%Draw 35%Sassuolo 32%

Key Insights

Injury Impacthigh

Fiorentina's key attackers missing or questionable

Kean, Guðmundsson, Mandragora, and Fagioli are injured or suspended, reducing scoring and creativity options.

Statistical Edgehigh

Piccoli's recent scoring form stands out

Piccoli's 4 goals in last 5 away games surpass team averages, making him Fiorentina's main scoring threat.

Tactical Advantagemedium

Harrison's set-piece and assist threat

Harrison's high assist rate and set-piece duties give Fiorentina a creative edge from wide and dead-ball situations.

Injury Impactmedium

Sassuolo's Pinamonti injury status uncertain

Pinamonti is Sassuolo's top scorer but questionable due to leg injury, potentially weakening their attack.

Form Momentummedium

Sassuolo's Laurienté consistent in assists

Laurienté's steady assist numbers and chance creation provide Sassuolo with reliable offensive support.

Key Takeaways

With balanced squads and similar recent performances, neither Fiorentina nor Sassuolo are likely to dominate. The match should provide a tactical battle with moments of individual brilliance, culminating in a fair share of points for both sides.

  • Fiorentina and Sassuolo have met 20 times: Fiorentina 8 wins, Sassuolo 7, 5 draws.
  • Their head-to-head matches average 3.3 goals per game.
  • Fiorentina are 15th in Serie A with 35 points from 32 games.
  • Sassuolo hold 10th place with 45 points from 33 games.
  • R. Piccoli scored 4 goals in last 5 away games, leading Fiorentina's attack.
  • J. Harrison has 7 assists in last 5 games, a remarkable rate for a defender.
  • A. Pinamonti, Sassuolo's top scorer with 8 goals, is questionable due to injury.

Player Insights

Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists

HomeFiorentina

R. Piccoli

R. Piccoli

Attacker

Fiorentina

Total Goals
3
League avg: 1.04
29 played
14 starts
1489 mins
~51 mins/game

AwaySassuolo

No standout top scorers flagged for Sassuolo