Fiorentina vs Sassuolo
Match recap
Fiorentina and Sassuolo drew 0–0 in their Serie A fixture. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 1.72 for Fiorentina versus 0.87 for Sassuolo. Fiorentina sit 15th in the Serie A table while Sassuolo are 11th.
Analysis
Fiorentina host Sassuolo in what promises to be a closely contested Serie A fixture. Both teams have shown resilience this season, and with key players missing or doubtful, the match could hinge on tactical discipline and set-piece prowess.
Fiorentina sit 15th with 35 points, while Sassuolo are a bit more comfortable in 10th with 45 points. Their head-to-head record is almost neck and neck, with Fiorentina winning 8 times, Sassuolo 7, and 5 draws in 20 meetings. This parity sets the stage for a tight game.
Fiorentina's R. Piccoli is in fine form away from home, netting 4 goals in his last 5 away games, making him a key threat especially with other attackers sidelined. Meanwhile, J. Harrison's exceptional assist rate and set-piece duties provide Fiorentina with creative outlets. Sassuolo's top scorer A. Pinamonti is a doubt due to injury, which could blunt their attack, but Laurienté's consistent assists keep their offensive hopes alive. Both sides have reasons to be cautious, suggesting a low-scoring draw.
Prediction
The forecast is a 1-1 draw, with a 35% confidence level. The halftime score is expected to be goalless, reflecting a tight first half before both teams find the net in the second. Expect around four cards as tempers flare in this competitive encounter.
Outcome probability
Key Insights
Fiorentina's key attackers missing or questionable
Kean, Guðmundsson, Mandragora, and Fagioli are injured or suspended, reducing scoring and creativity options.
Piccoli's recent scoring form stands out
Piccoli's 4 goals in last 5 away games surpass team averages, making him Fiorentina's main scoring threat.
Harrison's set-piece and assist threat
Harrison's high assist rate and set-piece duties give Fiorentina a creative edge from wide and dead-ball situations.
Sassuolo's Pinamonti injury status uncertain
Pinamonti is Sassuolo's top scorer but questionable due to leg injury, potentially weakening their attack.
Sassuolo's Laurienté consistent in assists
Laurienté's steady assist numbers and chance creation provide Sassuolo with reliable offensive support.
Key Takeaways
With balanced squads and similar recent performances, neither Fiorentina nor Sassuolo are likely to dominate. The match should provide a tactical battle with moments of individual brilliance, culminating in a fair share of points for both sides.
- Fiorentina and Sassuolo have met 20 times: Fiorentina 8 wins, Sassuolo 7, 5 draws.
- Their head-to-head matches average 3.3 goals per game.
- Fiorentina are 15th in Serie A with 35 points from 32 games.
- Sassuolo hold 10th place with 45 points from 33 games.
- R. Piccoli scored 4 goals in last 5 away games, leading Fiorentina's attack.
- J. Harrison has 7 assists in last 5 games, a remarkable rate for a defender.
- A. Pinamonti, Sassuolo's top scorer with 8 goals, is questionable due to injury.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Fiorentina
Away — Sassuolo
No standout top scorers flagged for Sassuolo
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Ranieri
Yellow Card
Mandragora
Yellow Card
Volpato
Harrison
Mandragora
Pinamonti
Koné
Balbo
Laurienté
Yellow Card
Laurienté
Matić
Match Statistics
Fiorentina
4-3-3Starting XI
- 2DodôD
- 3D. RuganiD
- 6L. RanieriD
- 8R. MandragoraM
- 10A. GuðmundssonF
- 17J. HarrisonF
- 19M. SolomonF
- 27C. NdourM
- 43David de GeaG
- 44N. FagioliM
- 62L. BalboD
Substitutes
- 1L. LezzeriniG
- 4M. BrescianiniM
- 15P. ComuzzoD
- 22J. FazziniM
- 23E. KošpoD
- 53O. ChristensenG
- 60E. KouadioD
- 61R. BraschiF
- 69G. PuzzoliF
- 80G. FabbianM
Sassuolo
4-3-3Starting XI
- 6S. WalukiewiczD
- 7C. VolpatoF
- 13S. TuratiG
- 18N. MatićM
- 21J. IdzesD
- 23U. GarciaD
- 42K. ThorstvedtM
- 45A. LaurientéF
- 80T. MuharemovićD
- 90I. KonéM
- 99A. PinamontiF
Substitutes
- 3J. DoigD
- 8M'Bala NzolaF
- 12G. SatalinoG
- 16G. ZacchiG
- 19F. RomagnaD
- 20A. FaderaF
- 24L. MoroF
- 25W. CoulibalyD
- 33C. FrangellaM
- 35L. LipaniM
- 40A. VranckxM
- 44E. IannoniM
- 49A. MurićG
- 66Pedro FelipeD
Fiorentina
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicolò Fagioli | M | 95 | 8.2 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | 2/2 |
| Dodô | D | 95 | 7.7 | — | — | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3/5 |
| Luca Ranieri | D | 95 | 7.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Manor Solomon | F | 95 | 7.5 | — | — | 1 | — | 5 | 2/2 |
| Cher Ndour | M | 95 | 7.5 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | — |
| Luís Balbo | D | 75 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Daniele Rugani | D | 95 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| David De Gea(C) | G | 95 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jack Harrison | F | 66 | 6.9 | — | — | 2 | — | 2 | — |
| Rolando Mandragora | M | 67 | 6.7 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | 1/2 |
| Albert Guðmundsson | F | 95 | 6.3 | — | — | 3 | 2 | 5 | 0/1 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Giorgio Puzzoli | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Eddy Kouadio | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Eman Košpo | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Riccardo Braschi | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Luca Lezzerini | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Oliver Christensen | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Marco Brescianini | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jacopo Fazzini | M | 29 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/3 |
| Pietro Comuzzo | D | 20 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| Giovanni Fabbian | M | 28 | 6.5 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | 0/1 |
Sassuolo
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stefano Turati | G | 95 | 8.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jay Idzes | D | 95 | 7.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kristian Thorstvedt | M | 95 | 7.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Tarik Muharemović | D | 95 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nemanja Matić(C) | M | 88 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Sebastian Walukiewicz | D | 95 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Cristian Volpato | F | 65 | 6.9 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0/3 |
| Ulisses Garcia | D | 95 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Armand Laurienté | F | 88 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/2 |
| Ismael Koné | M | 74 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Andrea Pinamonti | F | 74 | 6.2 | — | — | 3 | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Edoardo Iannoni | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Giacomo Satalino | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Arijanet Murić | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Filippo Romagna | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Luca Moro | F | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Christian Frangella | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Aster Vranckx | M | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Woyo Coulibaly | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Josh Doig | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pedro Felipe | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gioele Zacchi | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Luca Lipani | M | 30 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alieu Fadera | F | 21 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M'Bala Nzola | F | 21 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |



