Fiorentina vs Como
Como stuns Fiorentina with clinical display
Three goals from Liberali, Paz, and Douvikas secure a convincing win on the road.
Como took an early grip on the match with goals from M. Liberali and N. Paz before Fiorentina's M. Pongračić pulled one back just before half-time. However, T. Douvikas restored the two-goal cushion after the break to seal a 3-1 victory. Fipster's high-confidence prediction of an away win with this exact scoreline proved spot on.
Outcome probability
Fiorentina and Como face off in a Serie A regular season match where the visitors are expected to dominate. Como's recent performances and league position suggest they will outclass La Viola in this encounter.
Match factors
Como's Defensive Solidity vs Fiorentina's Struggles
Como's defense led by Jacobo Ramón Naveros and Nicolás Paz shows strong tackling and passing, likely to contain Fiorentina's attack.
Franco Mastantuono's Superior Scoring Form
Mastantuono has 3 goals in 5 games, well above league midfielder average, making him Fiorentina's main scoring outlet.
Como's Recent Away Scoring Consistency
Como has scored in 3 of last 4 away games, with key contributions from Douvikas and Baturina.
Absence of Moise Kean Weakens Como's Attack
Kean is confirmed out, reducing Como's attacking options and assist potential.
Fiorentina's Creative Midfield Playmakers
Fagioli and Ndour provide high passing accuracy and assist potential, key to unlocking Como's defense.
The context
Como currently sit 8th in the league with 10 points from 5 games, showcasing a positive goal difference of +3. Fiorentina, on the other hand, are struggling in 18th place with just 4 points from 6 games and a goal difference of -7. Historically, Como have a slight edge in their head-to-head meetings, having won 3 of their 5 encounters against Fiorentina.
Key insights
Franco Mastantuono
Fiorentina
Mastantuono leads Fiorentina’s scoring with 3 goals in 5 games, showing strong attacking form despite the team’s struggles.
Serie A 26/273 goals in 5 games, 0.6 avg per game
Anastasios Douvikas
Como
Douvikas is a key away scorer with 2 goals in 5 games, contributing significantly to Como’s offensive threat.
Serie A 26/272 goals in 5 games, 0.4 avg per game
Martin Baturina
Como
Baturina adds both goals and creativity with 2 goals and 1 assist in 5 games, vital for Como’s attacking play.
Serie A 26/272 goals and 1 assist in 5 games
- J
Jacobo Ramón Naveros
Como
Naveros provides defensive solidity and excellent passing, crucial for Como’s control in midfield and defence.
Serie A 26/2772 passes/game at 90% accuracy, 2.4 tackles/game
Analysis
Como's defensive solidity, led by Jacobo Ramón Naveros and Nicolás Paz Martínez, has been a key factor in their strong league position. Their ability to maintain possession and break down opposition attacks will test Fiorentina's fragile defence. Fiorentina's main attacking threat comes from Franco Mastantuono, who has scored 3 goals in 5 games, but the team's overall struggles may limit his impact. Como's attacking duo, Anastasios Douvikas and Martin Baturina, have been consistent scorers, particularly away from home, which bodes well for their chances in this match.
Key facts
- 1.Como are 8th in the league with 10 points from 5 games (W3 D1 L1).
- 2.Fiorentina are 18th with 4 points from 6 games (W1 D1 L4).
- 3.Como have a +3 goal difference; Fiorentina have -7.
- 4.In 5 head-to-head matches, Como have won 3 times, Fiorentina 2, with no draws.
- 5.Franco Mastantuono leads Fiorentina with 3 goals in 5 games.
- 6.Como's Anastasios Douvikas and Martin Baturina have scored 2 goals each this season.
- 7.Como's defensive duo Naveros and Paz excel in tackles and passing accuracy.
Prediction
The prediction is a confident away win for Como with a final score of 3-1. Como's superior form, better goal difference, and tactical strengths suggest they will control the game and secure a comfortable victory over Fiorentina.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Fiorentina
Away — Como
The verdict
In summary, Como's combination of defensive resilience and effective attacking options should see them through against a Fiorentina side that has yet to find its rhythm this season. Expect a clear win for the visitors, continuing their strong league campaign.
Prediction generated 11 Oct 2026, 12:33 UTC · Fipster Model v1.163
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Chalobah
Valle
Yellow Card
Liberali
Assist: Caqueret
Paz
Assist: Valle
Paz
Yellow Card
Pongračić
Jacobo Ramón Naveros
Yellow Card
Goal cancelled
Valle
Douvikas
Assist: Paz
Paz
Pote
Viery
Ndour
Yellow Card
Álex Jiménez
Mastantuono
Mastantuono
Yellow Card
Ndour
da Cunha
Liberali
Match Statistics
Fiorentina
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 3R. DrăgușinD
- 5M. PongračićD
- 20Álex JiménezD
- 25A. NjieM
- 27C. NdourM
- 28PoteM
- 30Franco MastantuonoM
- 32Mateo PellegrinoF
- 33VieryD
- 43David de GeaG
- 44N. FagioliM
Substitutes
- 2DodôD
- 4M. BrescianiniM
- 17João MárioD
- 19L. LezzeriniG
- 21ValdeD
- 23BetoF
- 29W. GnontoF
- 42C. Inao OulaïM
- 53O. ChristensenG
- 72B. MazzeoF
Como
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1J. ButezG
- 2M. KempfD
- 3Álex ValleD
- 6Luis MillaM
- 7L. da CunhaM
- 8M. CaqueretM
- 9T. DouvikasF
- 10N. PazM
- 28I. SmolčićD
- 30M. LiberaliM
- 99T. ChalobahD
Substitutes
- 4Jacobo Ramón NaverosD
- 5M. PerroneM
- 13A. DossenaD
- 15A. LahdoM
- 16KaikiD
- 17Jesús RodríguezF
- 18E. GoldanigaD
- 20M. BaturinaM
- 21S. RicciM
- 22M. VigoritoG
- 27Yan CoutoD
- 42J. AddaiF
- 53Willy Kambwala NdengushiD
- 97Robert SánchezG
Fiorentina
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Pongračić | D | 90 | 7.1 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | — | 1/1 |
| N. Fagioli | M | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2/2 |
| David de Gea | G | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pote | M | 63 | 6.6 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1/1 |
| W. Gnonto | F | 27 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Mateo Pellegrino | F | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1/1 |
| Franco Mastantuono | M | 69 | 6.4 | — | — | 2 | — | 2 | 4/7 |
| Beto | F | 11 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Drăgușin | D | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| M. Brescianini | M | 21 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| C. Ndour | M | 79 | 6.1 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | — |
| Dodô | D | 21 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Álex Jiménez | D | 69 | 6.0 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/2 |
| Valde | D | 26 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Viery | D | 64 | 5.6 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| A. Njie | M | 90 | 5.2 | — | — | 4 | — | 1 | 1/4 |
| B. Mazzeo | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| João Mário | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Lezzerini | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| O. Christensen | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| C. Inao Oulaï | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Como
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Paz | M | 61 | 8.8 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1/2 |
| T. Douvikas | F | 90 | 7.8 | 1 | — | 3 | 2 | — | — |
| M. Caqueret | M | 90 | 7.7 | — | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | — |
| M. Liberali | M | 83 | 7.6 | 1 | — | 4 | 1 | — | 1/1 |
| J. Butez | G | 90 | 7.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Luis Milla | M | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2/4 |
| I. Smolčić | D | 90 | 7.1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| M. Perrone | M | 29 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| M. Kempf | D | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. da Cunha | M | 83 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1/1 |
| Jacobo Ramón Naveros | D | 76 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Ricci | M | 7 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/2 |
| Kaiki | D | 44 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 2/3 |
| Willy Kambwala Ndengushi | D | 7 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Álex Valle | D | 46 | 6.0 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | 0/2 |
| T. Chalobah | D | 14 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Lahdo | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Robert Sánchez | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Goldaniga | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Vigorito | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Dossena | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Yan Couto | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Baturina | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Addai | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jesús Rodríguez | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Fiorentina vs Como?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Como to win against Fiorentina.
- What score did Fipster predict for Fiorentina vs Como?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Fiorentina 1–3 Como.
- What were the win probabilities for Fiorentina vs Como?
- Fipster's model gave Fiorentina a 2% chance of winning, Como a 95% chance, and a 3% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 95% confidence — a high-confidence call.