Fiorentina vs Atalanta
Match recap
Fiorentina and Atalanta drew 1–1 in their Serie A fixture. Piccoli scored for Fiorentina; Comuzzo replied for Atalanta. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 0.81 for Fiorentina versus 1.58 for Atalanta. Fiorentina sit 15th in the Serie A table while Atalanta are 7th.
Analysis
Fiorentina host Atalanta in what promises to be a tightly contested Serie A fixture. Both teams have shown resilience this season, and with the league nearing its climax, every point counts.
Atalanta currently sit comfortably in 7th place with 58 points, boasting a superior goal difference of +24 compared to Fiorentina's 15th position and 41 points. Historically, their head-to-head record is almost neck and neck, with Atalanta holding a slight edge with 9 wins to Fiorentina's 8 in 20 meetings.
Fiorentina's attacking threat largely hinges on Moise Kean, their top scorer with 8 goals, supported by the creative midfield duo of Mandragora and Fagioli who excel in passing accuracy and tackling. Atalanta, meanwhile, have been consistent on the road, scoring in their last five away games. Defensive solidity from Fiorentina's Pongračić and the attacking prowess of Guðmundsson add further intrigue to this encounter.
Prediction
Given the balanced head-to-head record, Fiorentina's home advantage, and Atalanta's strong away form, a 1-1 draw seems the most likely outcome. The match is expected to be competitive with both sides sharing the spoils and a total of around four cards issued.
Outcome probability
Key Insights
Midfield Control by Fiorentina's Mandragora and Fagioli
Mandragora and Fagioli's high passing accuracy and tackling can dominate midfield, disrupting Atalanta's build-up.
Kean's Goal Scoring Consistency
Kean leads Fiorentina's scoring with 8 goals and consistent minutes, likely focal point for goals.
Atalanta's Away Scoring Streak
Atalanta has scored in last 5 away games, indicating strong offensive form on the road.
Pongračić's Passing and Defensive Role
Pongračić's high passing volume and defensive duels won provide Fiorentina stability from the back.
No Key Injuries Reported
Both teams have full squads available, so no injury impact expected on match dynamics.
Key Takeaways
In summary, expect a well-fought draw with moments of quality from key players on both sides. Neither team is likely to dominate, making this a classic Serie A stalemate where a single goal from either side could be cancelled out by a swift reply.
- Fiorentina and Atalanta have met 20 times: 8 wins for Fiorentina, 9 for Atalanta, and 3 draws.
- Atalanta have a superior goal difference (+24) compared to Fiorentina this season.
- Atalanta are 7th in the league with 58 points; Fiorentina are 15th with 41 points.
- Moise Kean is Fiorentina's top scorer with 8 goals in 26 appearances.
- Mandragora and Fagioli boast high passing accuracy and strong tackling stats.
- Atalanta have scored in their last 5 away matches.
- Pongračić leads Fiorentina's passing with 1887 passes at 91% accuracy.
- No key injuries reported for either team ahead of the match.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Fiorentina
Away — Atalanta
No standout top scorers flagged for Atalanta
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Piccoli
Assist: Brescianini
Bellanova
Sulemana
Yellow Card
Ahanor
Yellow Card
Samardžić
Scalvini
Brescianini
Rugani
Guðmundsson
Gosens
Sulemana
de Roon
Comuzzo (OG)
Christensen
Match Statistics
Fiorentina
4-3-3Starting XI
- 2DodôD
- 3D. RuganiD
- 4M. BrescianiniM
- 8R. MandragoraM
- 10A. GuðmundssonF
- 15P. ComuzzoD
- 17J. HarrisonF
- 21R. GosensD
- 53O. ChristensenG
- 80G. FabbianM
- 91R. PiccoliF
Substitutes
- 1L. LezzeriniG
- 5M. PongračićD
- 19M. SolomonF
- 27C. NdourM
- 29N. FortiniD
- 43David de GeaG
- 44N. FagioliM
- 61R. BraschiF
- 62L. BalboD
- 69G. PuzzoliF
Atalanta
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 4I. HienD
- 6Y. MusahM
- 7K. SulemanaF
- 8Mario PasalicM
- 10L. SamardžićF
- 15M. de RoonM
- 16R. BellanovaM
- 18G. RaspadoriF
- 42G. ScalviniD
- 57M. SportielloG
- 69H. AhanorD
Substitutes
- 5M. BakkerD
- 9G. ScamaccaF
- 13ÉdersonM
- 17C. De KetelaereF
- 19B. DjimsitiD
- 23S. KolašinacD
- 29M. CarnesecchiG
- 31F. RossiG
- 40R. ObriÄD
- 45D. VavassoriF
- 59N. ZalewskiM
- 77D. ZappacostaD
- 90N. KrstovićF
Fiorentina
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oliver Christensen | G | 87 | 8.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jack Harrison | F | 90 | 7.9 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1/3 |
| Roberto Piccoli | F | 90 | 7.3 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | — | 1/1 |
| Robin Gosens(C) | D | 76 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Daniele Rugani | D | 67 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Giovanni Fabbian | M | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2/2 |
| Dodô | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Albert Guðmundsson | F | 76 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Rolando Mandragora | M | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1/2 |
| Marco Brescianini | M | 67 | 6.6 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | — |
| Pietro Comuzzo | D | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Nicolò Fagioli | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| David De Gea | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Luca Lezzerini | G | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Niccolò Fortini | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Riccardo Braschi | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Giorgio Puzzoli | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Manor Solomon | F | 14 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1/1 |
| Marin Pongračić | D | 23 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Cher Ndour | M | 23 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Luís Balbo | D | 14 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Atalanta
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kamaldeen Sulemana | F | 81 | 7.3 | — | — | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2/2 |
| Lazar Samardžić | F | 62 | 7.3 | — | — | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0/1 |
| Isak Hien | D | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Giorgio Scalvini | D | 67 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Marco Sportiello | G | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Marten de Roon(C) | M | 81 | 6.9 | — | — | 2 | — | 2 | — |
| Yunus Musah | M | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0/2 |
| Giacomo Raspadori | F | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | 2 | — | 4 | 1/1 |
| Mario Pašalić | M | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | 5 | — | 2 | 0/1 |
| Raoul Bellanova | M | 45 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Honest Ahanor | D | 90 | 5.9 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Mitchel Bakker | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sead Kolašinac | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Éderson | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Marco Carnesecchi | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Francesco Rossi | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nikola Krstović | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nicola Zalewski | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Relja Obrić | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Berat Djimsiti | D | 23 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Dominic Vavassori | F | 9 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gianluca Scamacca | F | 9 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Charles De Ketelaere | F | 28 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Davide Zappacosta | D | 45 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 3 | — |