Finland vs Belarus
Finland and Belarus settle for stalemate
A goalless draw keeps both sides locked in a tight contest.
Finland and Belarus played out a 0-0 draw in the UEFA Nations League, with neither side able to find the net. This result defied Fipster's high-confidence prediction of a 2-1 home win, proving that sometimes the ball just refuses to budge.
Outcome probability
Finland and Belarus face off in a League C match where both sides will be eager to improve their standings. Finland come into this fixture buoyed by a commanding opening win, while Belarus will be looking to bounce back after a disappointing start.
Match factors
Finland's dominant recent away performance
Finland scored 7 goals and kept a clean sheet in last away match, showing strong offensive and defensive form
J. Pohjanpalo's clinical finishing
Pohjanpalo scored a hat-trick in last match with high rating 9.86, indicating excellent form
Finland's creative attackers linking well
Svanbäck and Walta combined for 3 goals and 3 assists last match, enhancing Finland's attacking threat
No confirmed injuries for either team
Both teams have full squads available, so no impact from missing players expected
The context
In the league phase so far, Finland have made a statement with a 7-0 victory, placing them top of the table with 3 points and a healthy goal difference. Belarus, on the other hand, have yet to find their footing, having lost their opening match 0-2 and sitting without points.
Key insights
- J
J. Pohjanpalo
Finland
Pohjanpalo's clinical finishing was on full display with a hat-trick and a 9.86 rating, making him Finland's key attacking threat.
UEFA Nations League 26/273 goals, 9.86 rating in last match
- A
A. Svanbäck
Finland
Svanbäck's creativity shines through with 1 goal and 2 assists, linking well with Finland's forwards.
UEFA Nations League 26/271 goal, 2 assists, 34 passes in last match
- L
L. Walta
Finland
Walta's contribution of 2 goals and an assist highlights his importance in Finland's attacking midfield.
UEFA Nations League 26/272 goals, 1 assist, 9.7 rating in last match
Analysis
The probabilities for this match are intriguingly close, with home and away wins nearly neck and neck. However, Finland's aggregate chance of winning edges out Belarus, supported by their dominant offensive display in the competition so far. Key players like J. Pohjanpalo, who netted a hat-trick in the last match, and creative forces such as A. Svanbäck and L. Walta, who combined for multiple goals and assists, give Finland a tactical advantage. Belarus will need to tighten their defence and find a way to break through Finland's well-organised setup.
Key facts
- 1.Finland won their opening League C match 7-0, leading the table with 3 points.
- 2.Belarus lost their first League C match 0-2 and have yet to score in the competition.
- 3.Finland have a superior goal difference (+7) compared to Belarus.
- 4.J. Pohjanpalo scored a hat-trick in Finland's last match, earning a 9.86 rating.
- 5.A. Svanbäck contributed 1 goal and 2 assists in the previous game, showing creative influence.
- 6.L. Walta scored twice and assisted once in Finland's last outing.
- 7.Finland average 3 points per game in this competition, while Belarus have none.
Prediction
We predict Finland will clinch a 2-1 victory, continuing their strong form in the league phase. The home side's attacking prowess and solid defensive record make them favourites to take all three points in this encounter.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Finland
Away — Belarus
The verdict
This match promises to be a competitive affair, but Finland's early season momentum and attacking firepower should see them through. Belarus will no doubt put up a fight, but the hosts look set to maintain their lead at the top of League C with a narrow win.
Prediction generated 26 Sep 2026, 20:44 UTC · Fipster Model v1.162
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
FIFA world ranking
Kamara
Pohjanpalo
Barkovskiy
Shumanskiy
Shumanskiy
Yellow Card
Lisakovich
Walta
Marhiev
Goal cancelled
Lukashov
Yellow Card
Kairinen
Yellow Card
Ståhl
Yellow Card
Selyava
Keskinen
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Switzerland | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 3 |
| 2 |  Albania | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 3 |  Belarus | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 4 |  Italy | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
Match Statistics
Finland
4-3-3Starting XI
- 1L. HrádeckýG
- 3A. StåhlD
- 4T. MiettinenD
- 6G. KamaraM
- 10L. WaltaF
- 11A. MarhievM
- 13J. LähteenmäkiD
- 14K. KairinenM
- 18T. KeskinenF
- 20J. PohjanpaloF
- 21V. KoskiD
Substitutes
- 2M. PeltolaD
- 5S. MiettinenD
- 7S. VäänänenM
- 8R. LodM
- 9A. SvanbäckF
- 12V. SinisaloG
- 15L. VäisänenD
- 16A. SuhonenM
- 17R. MahutaD
- 19B. KällmanF
- 22D. HåkansM
- 23L. BergströmG
Belarus
4-4-2Starting XI
- 2K. PecheninD
- 5V. KalininD
- 7A. ShumanskiyM
- 8A. SelyavaM
- 9M. EbongM
- 11G. BarkovskiyF
- 13K. GomanovD
- 17V. LisakovichF
- 19A. LukashovM
- 20Z. VolkovD
- 21F. LapoukhovG
Substitutes
- 1P. PavlyuchenkoG
- 3A. SvirepaM
- 4V. BocherovM
- 6R. BegunovD
- 10V. GromykoM
- 12A. KudravetsG
- 14E. YablonskiyM
- 15E. ParkhomenkoD
- 16A. KovalevM
- 18T. SimanenkaF
- 22D. GalyataM
- 23T. MelnichenkoF
Finland
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Hrádecký | G | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| V. Koski | D | 90 | 7.1 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| G. Kamara | M | 46 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| S. Väänänen | M | 24 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| A. Marhiev | M | 66 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| J. Lähteenmäki | D | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| B. Källman | F | 31 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Suhonen | M | 24 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| D. Håkans | M | 44 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/1 |
| T. Miettinen | D | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| J. Pohjanpalo | F | 59 | 6.4 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| K. Kairinen | M | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| A. Ståhl | D | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 3 | 1 | 1 | — |
| T. Keskinen | F | 88 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 2/3 |
| A. Svanbäck | F | 2 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Walta | F | 66 | 6.0 | — | — | 2 | — | 2 | — |
| S. Miettinen | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| V. Sinisalo | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Bergström | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Peltola | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Lod | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Väisänen | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Mahuta | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Belarus
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| V. Kalinin | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | — |
| A. Kovalev | M | 29 | 7.1 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| T. Melnichenko | F | 29 | 7.0 | — | — | 3 | 1 | 1 | — |
| F. Lapoukhov | G | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Z. Volkov | D | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| K. Gomanov | D | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| V. Gromyko | M | 28 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | — |
| K. Pechenin | D | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| E. Yablonskiy | M | 3 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Selyava | M | 87 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| M. Ebong | M | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/1 |
| A. Lukashov | M | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/4 |
| V. Lisakovich | F | 62 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/1 |
| G. Barkovskiy | F | 61 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Shumanskiy | M | 61 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| A. Svirepa | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Kudravets | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| V. Bocherov | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Parkhomenko | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| T. Simanenka | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Galyata | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| P. Pavlyuchenko | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Begunov | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Finland vs Belarus?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Finland to win against Belarus.
- What score did Fipster predict for Finland vs Belarus?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Finland 2–1 Belarus.
- What were the win probabilities for Finland vs Belarus?
- Fipster's model gave Finland a 95% chance of winning, Belarus a 2% chance, and a 3% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 95% confidence — a high-confidence call.